Inter Milan vs Fiorentina
Italy - Serie A
Inter Milan are creating the better shooting profile with average 7.29 overall shots and 2.3 xG. Their season scoring average is 3 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.
Result Probability
The result market leans toward Inter Milan at 68%. The points profile supports that read: Inter Milan average 3 PPG and Fiorentina average 1 PPG in the comparable split.
- 22/03/2026, 19:45Serie AFiorentina1 - 1Inter Milan22/03/2026, 19:45Serie AFiorentina
1 - 1
Inter Milan - 29/10/2025, 19:45Serie AInter Milan3 - 0Fiorentina29/10/2025, 19:45Serie AInter Milan
3 - 0
Fiorentina - 10/02/2025, 19:45Serie AInter Milan2 - 1Fiorentina10/02/2025, 19:45Serie AInter Milan
2 - 1
Fiorentina - 06/02/2025, 19:45Serie AFiorentina3 - 0Inter Milan06/02/2025, 19:45Serie AFiorentina
3 - 0
Inter Milan - 28/01/2024, 19:45Serie AFiorentina0 - 1Inter Milan28/01/2024, 19:45Serie AFiorentina
0 - 1
Inter Milan
Key Statistics
Avg. Goals
Well above avg
4.79League 2.96
Over 2.5 Goals
Well above avg
100%League 60%
Both Teams Score
Well above avg
71%League 56%
Cards
Below average
3.00League 3.40
Corners
Average
10.17League 9.44
Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Inter Milan average 9 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 9.44, which points to sustained attacking territory.
Over / Under
0.5
1+ gol
OVER100%UNDER0%1.5
2+ gol
OVER92%UNDER8%2.5
3+ gol
OVER85%UNDER15%3.5
4+ gol
OVER57%UNDER43%
The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 100% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.
Team Performance
Inter Milan
Home
Fiorentina
Away
Points & Results
- 2.71PPG0.57
- 86%Wins14%
- 43%First to Score14%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game3.001.14
- Conceded/game1.292.43
- xG2.301.81
- xGA1.181.50
Trends
- 71%Both Score71%
- 29%Clean Sheet0%
- 17/10/2026, 16:00Serie ABologna1 - 3Inter MilanW17/10/2026, 16:00Serie ABologna
1 - 3
Inter MilanW - 10/10/2026, 16:00Serie AInter Milan3 - 0ParmaW10/10/2026, 16:00Serie AInter Milan
3 - 0
ParmaW - 19/09/2026, 16:00Serie ARoma2 - 2Inter MilanD19/09/2026, 16:00Serie ARoma
2 - 2
Inter MilanD - 14/09/2026, 18:45Serie AInter Milan5 - 3UdineseW14/09/2026, 18:45Serie AInter Milan
5 - 3
UdineseW - 05/09/2026, 16:00Serie AInter Milan3 - 2NapoliW05/09/2026, 16:00Serie AInter Milan
3 - 2
NapoliW - 30/08/2026, 18:45Serie ACagliari0 - 1Inter MilanW30/08/2026, 18:45Serie ACagliari
0 - 1
Inter MilanW - 22/08/2026, 16:30Serie AInter Milan4 - 1MonzaW22/08/2026, 16:30Serie AInter Milan
4 - 1
MonzaW
Inter Milan scored in 7/7 recent form matches and averaged 3 goals.
- 18/10/2026, 13:00Serie AFiorentina1 - 3ComoL18/10/2026, 13:00Serie AFiorentina
1 - 3
ComoL - 10/10/2026, 13:00Serie AGenoa2 - 1FiorentinaL10/10/2026, 13:00Serie AGenoa
2 - 1
FiorentinaL - 20/09/2026, 10:30Serie AFiorentina1 - 1NapoliD20/09/2026, 10:30Serie AFiorentina
1 - 1
NapoliD - 11/09/2026, 18:45Serie AVenezia2 - 4FiorentinaW11/09/2026, 18:45Serie AVenezia
2 - 4
FiorentinaW - 05/09/2026, 13:00Serie AFiorentina1 - 2TorinoL05/09/2026, 13:00Serie AFiorentina
1 - 2
TorinoL - 29/08/2026, 16:30Serie AFiorentina0 - 3FrosinoneL29/08/2026, 16:30Serie AFiorentina
0 - 3
FrosinoneL - 24/08/2026, 18:45Serie ARoma4 - 0FiorentinaL24/08/2026, 18:45Serie ARoma
4 - 0
FiorentinaL
Fiorentina scored in 5/7 recent form matches and averaged 1.14 goals.
Inter Milan is +163% better in terms of Scored/game
Inter Milan is +88% better in terms of Conceded/game
Inter Milan is +27% better in terms of xG
Inter Milan is +27% better in terms of xGA
Inter Milan is +151% better in terms of First-Half Form
Inter Milan is +135% better in terms of Offsides
Fiorentina is +0% better in terms of Corners
Fiorentina is +18% better in terms of Cards
Inter Milan is +34% better in terms of Shots on Target
| # | Form | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Milan | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 9 | +12 | 19 | |
| 2 | Lazio | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 4 | +10 | 19 | |
| 3 | Roma | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 3 | +13 | 17 | |
| 4 | Milan | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 7 | +7 | 15 | |
| 5 | Como | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 14 | |
| 6 | Frosinone | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 13 | |
| 7 | Cagliari | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 13 | |
| 8 | Juventus | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 11 | |
| 9 | Napoli | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 10 | |
| 10 | Torino | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 10 | |
| 11 | Atalanta | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 9 | |
| 12 | Lecce | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 9 | |
| 13 | Sassuolo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 8 | |
| 14 | Monza | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 7 | |
| 15 | Bologna | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 5 | |
| 16 | Udinese | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 4 | |
| 17 | Genoa | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 4 | |
| 18 | Parma | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 | |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 4 | |
| 20 | Venezia | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 3 |
Inter Milan vs Fiorentina: Statistics and Analysis - Serie A 2026/2027
On this page you can check all the key statistics for Inter Milan vs Fiorentina - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.
This Serie A match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 11:30.
The fixture is part of game week 8th of the Serie A season. Inter Milan currently sits in position 1st of the Serie A table. Fiorentina occupies position 19th.
Stat Probabilities for Inter Milan vs Fiorentina
Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:
Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Inter Milan vs Fiorentina at 71%.
Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Inter Milan and Fiorentina point to a 100% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.
For our tips built on these numbers, see the Inter Milan vs Fiorentina prediction page.
Who is the favorite in Inter Milan vs Fiorentina?
According to the latest match odds, Inter Milan is the favorite at 1.48 an implied probability of about 67.57%. The full 1X2 market has Inter Milan at 1.48, the draw at 5.83, and Fiorentina at 8.29.
Overall performance in the Serie A
Inter Milan's record so far reads 6W-1D-0L from 7 played a win rate of 86% at 2.71 points per game.
Fiorentina stands at 1W-1D-5L from 7 played, winning 14% of their matches at 0.57 points per game.
In their last five, Inter Milan has gone 4W-1D-0L, averaging 2.6 points per game.
Fiorentina's last five read 1W-1D-3L, at 0.8 points per game.
At home, Inter Milan has a 100% win rate (4W-0D-0L from 4 played).
On the road, Fiorentina has won 33% of their matches (1W-0D-2L from 3 played).
Goal statistics for Inter Milan vs Fiorentina
In attack, Inter Milan averages 3 goals scored per game in the Serie A (21 in total), while conceding 1.29 per game (9 in total).
Fiorentina averages 1.14 goals scored per game (8 in total) and 2.43 conceded per game (17 in total).
Inter Milan's top scorer this season is Lautaro Martínez, with 17 goals.
For Fiorentina, Moise Kean leads the scoring charts with 8 goals this season.
Inter Milan's main creator is Federico Dimarco, with 16 assists.
Albert Gudmundsson tops the Fiorentina assist chart with 4.
More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.
Head-to-head: Inter Milan vs Fiorentina
Inter Milan and Fiorentina have met 12 times in recent years. The record:
Inter Milan wins: 8
Draws: 2
Fiorentina wins: 2
Frequently asked questions about Inter Milan vs Fiorentina
When is Inter Milan vs Fiorentina?
The match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 11:30.
What is the head-to-head record between Inter Milan and Fiorentina?
Across their last 12 meetings the record is 8-2-2 (Inter Milan wins – draws – Fiorentina wins).
What was the last match between Inter Milan and Fiorentina?
The two sides last met on 22/03/2026, and the result was Fiorentina 1 vs 1 Inter Milan. Full details: Inter Milan vs Fiorentina, 22/03/2026.
Who is the favorite in Inter Milan vs Fiorentina?
Inter Milan is the favorite at odds of 1.48, an implied probability of about 67.57%. Inter Milan is priced at 1.48, the draw at 5.83 and Fiorentina at 8.29.
Where can I find a Inter Milan vs Fiorentina prediction?
You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Inter Milan vs Fiorentina prediction page.
Where can I find Inter Milan vs Fiorentina stats?
All key statistics for Inter Milan vs Fiorentina are on this page, updated in real time.
Where can I watch Inter Milan vs Fiorentina?
Live streaming information is available on our Inter Milan vs Fiorentina stream page.