Villarreal and Ajax face each other on Tuesday 01.20.2026, at 20:00 (UK Time), in a UEFA Champions League 2025/26 match. The game will take place at Villarreal's home ground, the Estadio de la Cerámica.

Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Villarreal and Ajax, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.

APWin predictions for Villarreal vs Ajax

With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:

APWin Prediction

Handicap: Ajax (+1.5)

The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.

👉 Our prediction is: Villarreal to win

Villarreal vs Ajax has all the makings of a competitive battle between two sides that are both eyeing an important win. But we are ever so slightly leaning toward Villarreal to win on the 1X2 market.

Villarreal will enjoy home advantage, which they have capitalised on with their strong form at home. They remain good value to win with their odds, and we expect them to pay out those odds with all three points at home.

👉 Our prediction is: Under 2.5 goals in the match

If you're expecting Villarreal vs Ajax to be a goal fest, think again.

We predict the total to remain under 2.5 goals in this match as neither side figures to have enough attacking firepower to give the opposition's defence much trouble.

Villarreal preview

Villarreal heads into the match with the following record in the UEFA Champions League: in 6 matches, Villarreal Club de Fútbol secured 0 victories, 1 draws, and 5 losses, maintaining an average of 0.17 points per game.

Taking a broader look at Villarreal's 2025/26 season, the team has achieved a total of 14 victories so far.

Villarreal has been effective in the offense, scoring a total of 49 goals, of which 4 were scored in the UEFA Champions League, resulting in an average of 0.67 goals per game.

Individually, the standout performer is Alberto Moleiro, who has found the back of the net 8 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offense. Sergi Cardona has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 3 assists.

On the defensive side, Villarreal has conceded 13 goals in the UEFA Champions League (an average of 2.17 per game) and 35 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.25 per match in the 2025/26 campaign.

Ajax preview

Ajax comes into the game with 6 matches played so far in the UEFA Champions League. They have secured 1 victories, 0 draws, and 5 losses, maintaining an average of 0.5 points per game in the competition.

Across all competitions in the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 11 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses.

Ajax's attack has been highly effective, scoring 49 goals during this period. Of that total, 5 were netted in the UEFA Champions League, with an average of 0.83 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.81.

Ajax's offensive system is led by Mika Godts, the team's top scorer this season. The belgian forward has found the back of the net 8 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Mika Godts. The forward has contributed with 7 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 18 goals with an average of 3 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 52 goals in 27 matches, averaging 1.93 per match.

Head to head: Villarreal vs Ajax

Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.

Home Team

Villarreal Team Logo

Villarreal

Europe - UEFA Champions League

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall L L L L D

0.17

Home L L D

0.33

Away L L L L

0

Away Team

Ajax Team Logo

Ajax

Europe - UEFA Champions League

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall W L L L L

0.5

Home L L L L

0

Away W L L

1

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Published on 19 January 2026, at 06:56 Last updated on 19 January 2026, at 06:56
Author: Amauri Barbosa

I’m a journalist and content creator with over 7 years of experience in sports betting. At APWin, I live football and betting markets, and outside the screen I’m also a marathon runner always chasing performance.