Valencia vs Villarreal

Spain - La Liga

v.s

24 Oct 2026 12:30

Villarreal are creating the better shooting profile with average 6.33 overall shots and 1.97 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.44 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

29%
Valencia to win
27%
Draw
44%
Villarreal to win

The result market leans toward Villarreal at 46%. The points profile supports that read: Valencia average 0.4 PPG and Villarreal average 1 PPG in the comparable split.

Valencia
3
wins
3
draws
Villarreal
6
wins
67%
BTTS
8/12
100%
OVER 0.5
12/12
92%
OVER 1.5
11/12
42%
OVER 2.5
5/12

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Below average

    2.50

    League 3.08

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Below average

    50%

    League 56%

  • Both Teams Score

    Well below avg

    40%

    League 60%

  • Cards

    Below average

    4.20

    League 4.93

  • Corners

    Average

    10.40

    League 9.80

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Villarreal average 12.4 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 9.8, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    83%
    UNDER
    17%
  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    55%
    UNDER
    45%
  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    55%
    UNDER
    45%
  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    50%
    UNDER
    50%

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 83% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Valencia

Home

DDLWL
VS

Villarreal

Away

DLWWL

Points & Results

  • 0.67
    PPG
    1.00
  • 11%
    Wins
    22%
  • 22%
    First to Score
    33%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 0.67
    Scored/game
    1.44
  • 1.67
    Conceded/game
    1.44
  • 1.17
    xG
    1.97
  • 1.73
    xGA
    1.28

Trends

  • 33%
    Both Score
    67%
  • 33%
    Clean Sheet
    11%

Valencia vs Villarreal: Statistics and Analysis - La Liga 2026/2027

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Valencia vs Villarreal - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This La Liga match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 17:30.

The venue is Estadio de Mestalla.

The fixture is part of game week 10th of the La Liga season. Valencia currently sits in position 19th of the La Liga table. Villarreal occupies position 12th.

Stat Probabilities for Valencia vs Villarreal

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Valencia vs Villarreal at 40%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Valencia and Villarreal point to a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

Over 4.5 cards: Valencia's matches have produced 5 or more total cards 80% of the time.

Villarreal over 4.5 corners: Villarreal has taken 5 or more corners in 78% of their matches in the competition.

Over 4.5 cards: Villarreal's matches have produced 5 or more total cards 80% of the time.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Valencia vs Villarreal prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Valencia vs Villarreal?

According to the latest match odds, Villarreal is the favorite at 2.33 an implied probability of about 42.92%. The full 1X2 market has Valencia at 3.48, the draw at 8, and Villarreal at 2.33.

Overall performance in the La Liga

Valencia's record so far reads 1W-3D-5L from 9 played a win rate of 11% at 0.67 points per game.

Villarreal stands at 2W-3D-4L from 9 played, winning 22% of their matches at 1 points per game.

In their last five, Valencia has gone 1W-2D-2L, averaging 1 points per game.

Villarreal's last five read 2W-1D-2L, at 1.4 points per game.

At home, Valencia has a 0% win rate (0W-2D-3L from 5 played).

On the road, Villarreal has won 20% of their matches (1W-2D-2L from 5 played).

Goal statistics for Valencia vs Villarreal

In attack, Valencia averages 0.67 goals scored per game in the La Liga (6 in total), while conceding 1.67 per game (15 in total).

Villarreal averages 1.44 goals scored per game (13 in total) and 1.44 conceded per game (13 in total).

Valencia's top scorer this season is Hugo Duro, with 10 goals.

For Villarreal, Georges Mikautadze leads the scoring charts with 12 goals this season.

Valencia's main creator is Luis Rioja, with 6 assists.

Nicolas Pépé tops the Villarreal assist chart with 6.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Valencia vs Villarreal

Valencia and Villarreal have met 12 times in recent years. The record:

  • Valencia wins: 3

  • Draws: 3

  • Villarreal wins: 6

Frequently asked questions about Valencia vs Villarreal

When is Valencia vs Villarreal?

The match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 17:30.

What is the head-to-head record between Valencia and Villarreal?

Across their last 12 meetings the record is 3-3-6 (Valencia wins – draws – Villarreal wins).

What was the last match between Valencia and Villarreal?

The two sides last met on 22/02/2026, and the result was Villarreal 2 vs 1 Valencia. Full details: Valencia vs Villarreal, 22/02/2026.

Who is the favorite in Valencia vs Villarreal?

Villarreal is the favorite at odds of 2.33, an implied probability of about 42.92%. Valencia is priced at 3.48, the draw at 8 and Villarreal at 2.33.

Where can I find a Valencia vs Villarreal prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Valencia vs Villarreal prediction page.

Where can I find Valencia vs Villarreal stats?

All key statistics for Valencia vs Villarreal are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Valencia vs Villarreal?

Live streaming information is available on our Valencia vs Villarreal stream page.