Venados vs Tapatío | Prediction | Liga de Expansão MX | 09/08
Mexico - Liga de Expansão MX
Venados and Tapatío face each other on Sunday 08.09.2026, at 00:00 (UK Time), in a Liga de Expansão MX 2026/27 match. The game will take place at Venados's home ground, the Estadio Olímpico Carlos Iturralde Rivero.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Venados and Tapatío, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Venados vs Tapatío
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
BTTS - Yes
Market: BTTS - Yes · @ 1.67
Confidence
72%
Last updated: 09-08-2026
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Our prediction is: Draw
Venados vs Tapatío is a matchup that is as close as they come, with our analysis finding hardly anything to separate the two sides. And so, our betting tip is to take the draw on the 1X2 market.
The 3.26 odds for a draw are quite favourable and would result in a substantial payout if the match does end in a stalemate.
Our prediction is: Both teams to score
The Both Teams to Score market predicts that both teams will score in the game, and this is an excellent opportunity in this match between Venados and Tapatío. Based on the odds that betting sites project, we believe this is the best betting recommendation.
Therefore, this is a value bet that has everything to win.
Venados preview
Venados heads into the match with the following record in the Liga de Expansão MX: in 2 matches, Venados secured 1 victories, 1 draws, and 0 losses, maintaining an average of 2 points per game.
Taking a broader look at Venados's 2026/27 season, the team has achieved a total of 10 victories so far.
Venados has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 58 goals, of which 4 were scored in the Liga de Expansão MX, resulting in an average of 2 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Juan José Calero Sierra, who has found the back of the net 22 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Wiliam Oswaldo Guzmán Aguilar has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 8 assists.
On the defensive side, Venados has conceded 1 goals in the Liga de Expansão MX (an average of 0.5 per game) and 56 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.87 per match in the 2026/27 campaign.
- 18/10/2026CancúnVenadosD1118/10/2026Ascenso MXCancún
v.s
Venados1 - 1D - 10/10/2026VenadosLeones NegrosD1110/10/2026Ascenso MXVenados
v.s
Leones Negros1 - 1D - 03/10/2026CA La PazVenadosW1203/10/2026Ascenso MXCA La Paz
v.s
Venados1 - 2W - 26/09/2026VenadosMoreliaW2126/09/2026Ascenso MXVenados
v.s
Morelia2 - 1W - 19/09/2026PiratasVenadosL2119/09/2026Ascenso MXPiratas
v.s
Venados2 - 1L
Tapatío preview
Tapatío comes into the game with 2 matches played so far in the Liga de Expansão MX. They have secured 1 victories, 1 draws, and 0 losses, maintaining an average of 2 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2026/27 season, the team has recorded 11 wins, 7 draws, and 14 losses.
Tapatío's attack has been highly effective, scoring 50 goals during this period. Of that total, 1 were netted in the Liga de Expansão MX, with an average of 0.5 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.56.
Tapatío's offensive system is led by Vladimir Moragrega Soto, the team's top scorer this season. The mexican forward has found the back of the net 12 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Leonardo Sebastián Jiménez Quintero. The forward has contributed with 7 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 0 goals with an average of 0 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 44 goals in 32 matches, averaging 1.38 per match.
- 18/10/2026DurangoTapatíoL5018/10/2026Ascenso MXDurango
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Tapatío5 - 0L - 13/10/2026TapatíoTepatitlánW4113/10/2026Ascenso MXTapatío
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Tepatitlán4 - 1W - 09/10/2026TapatíoCA La PazL2409/10/2026Ascenso MXTapatío
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CA La Paz2 - 4L - 04/10/2026CancúnTapatíoL1004/10/2026Ascenso MXCancún
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Tapatío1 - 0L - 20/09/2026TapatíoTlaxcalaW4020/09/2026Ascenso MXTapatío
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Tlaxcala4 - 0W
Head to head: Venados vs Tapatío
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Venados
Home
Tapatío
Away
Points & Results
- PPG22
- 50%Wins50%
- 100%First to Score50%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game20.50
- Conceded/game0.500
- xG2.520.87
- xGA1.650.96
Trends
- 50%Both Score0%
- 50%Clean Sheet100%
- 0%Failed to Score50%
Access all match stats for Venados vs Tapatío
Where to watch Venados vs Tapatío live?
Check out the live stream of Venados vs Tapatío below and follow the match in real time.
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Venados vs Tapatío
Likely Scores
| # | Score | Probability | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 - 1 | 12.97% | |
| 2 | 1 - 0 | 10.19% | |
| 3 | 2 - 1 | 9.54% | |
| 4 | 2 - 0 | 9.20% | |
| 5 | 0 - 0 | 8.20% | |
| 6 | 1 - 2 | 6.12% | |
| 7 | 0 - 1 | 6.11% | |
| 8 | 3 - 1 | 5.15% | |
| 9 | 3 - 0 | 4.96% | |
| 10 | 2 - 2 | 4.95% | |
| 11 | 0 - 2 | 3.78% | |
| 12 | 3 - 2 | 2.67% |