Toluca and Santos Laguna face each other on Monday 09.21.2026, at 01:00 (UK Time), in a Liga MX 2026/27 match. The game will take place at Toluca's home ground, the Estadio Nemesio Díez (La Bombonera).
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Deportivo Toluca Fútbol Club S.A. de C.V. and Club Santos Laguna S.A. de C.V., grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Toluca vs Santos Laguna
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
Toluca Win
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Toluca preview
Toluca heads into the match with the following record in the Liga MX: in 8 matches, Deportivo Toluca Fútbol Club S.A. de C.V. secured 6 victories, 1 draws, and 1 losses, maintaining an average of 2.38 points per game.
Taking a broader look at The Red Devils's 2026/27 season, the team has achieved a total of 28 victories so far.
Toluca has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 96 goals, of which 18 were scored in the Liga MX, resulting in an average of 2.25 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is José Paulo Bezerra Maciel Júnior, who has found the back of the net 21 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Ernesto Alexis Vega Rojas has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 12 assists.
On the defensive side, Toluca has conceded 6 goals in the Liga MX (an average of 0.75 per game) and 49 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 0.98 per match in the 2026/27 campaign.
Santos Laguna preview
Santos Laguna comes into the game with 8 matches played so far in the Liga MX. They have secured 1 victories, 1 draws, and 6 losses, maintaining an average of 0.5 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2026/27 season, the team has recorded 10 wins, 6 draws, and 26 losses.
Club Santos Laguna S.A. de C.V.'s attack has been highly effective, scoring 48 goals during this period. Of that total, 6 were netted in the Liga MX, with an average of 0.75 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.14.
The Warriors's offensive system is led by Jordan Carrillo Rodríguez, the team's top scorer this season. The mexican forward has found the back of the net 6 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, José Javier Abella Fanjul. The defender has contributed with 5 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 13 goals with an average of 1.63 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 79 goals in 42 matches, averaging 1.88 per match.
Head to head: Toluca vs Santos Laguna
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Toluca
Mexico - Liga MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W W W W D |
2.6 |
| Home | W W W L L |
1.8 |
| Away | W W D W L |
2 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Goals | 3 | 4.5 | 1.5 |
| Scored | 2.25 | 3.25 | 1.25 |
| Conceded | 0.75 | 1.25 | 0.25 |
| Both Teams to Score | 50% | 75% | 25% |
| Without Conceding | 50% | 25% | 75% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 0% | 25% |
| 1st to Score | 88% | 100% | 75% |
|
xG
|
1.81 | 2.25 | 1.37 |
|
xGA
|
1.17 | 0.84 | 1.51 |
Santos Laguna
Mexico - Liga MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W L D L L |
0.8 |
| Home | W D L L W |
1.4 |
| Away | L L L L L |
0 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 13% | 25% | 0% |
| Goals | 2.38 | 1.25 | 3.5 |
| Scored | 0.75 | 0.5 | 1 |
| Conceded | 1.63 | 0.75 | 2.5 |
| Both Teams to Score | 38% | 25% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 13% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 63% | 75% | 50% |
| 1st to Score | 88% | 0% | 25% |
|
xG
|
1.4 | 1.72 | 1.09 |
|
xGA
|
1.82 | 1.45 | 2.19 |
Access all match stats for Toluca vs Santos Laguna
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Sports betting analyst with over 15 years of experience. At APWin, he writes football predictions, reviews bookmakers and explains the reasoning behind every bet.