Toluca and León face each other on Sunday 04.26.2026, at 02:00 (UK Time), in a Liga MX 2025/26 match. The game will take place at Toluca's home ground, the Estadio Nemesio Díez.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Deportivo Toluca Fútbol Club S.A. de C.V. and Club León FC, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Toluca vs León
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
Toluca Win
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Toluca preview
Toluca heads into the match with the following record in the Liga MX: in 39 matches, Deportivo Toluca Fútbol Club S.A. de C.V. secured 21 victories, 11 draws, and 7 losses, maintaining an average of 1.9 points per game.
Taking a broader look at The Red Devils's 2025/26 season, the team has achieved a total of 21 victories so far.
Toluca has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 71 goals, of which 74 were scored in the Liga MX, resulting in an average of 1.9 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is José Paulo Bezerra Maciel Júnior, who has found the back of the net 21 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Ernesto Alexis Vega Rojas has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 10 assists.
On the defensive side, Toluca has conceded 39 goals in the Liga MX (an average of 1 per game) and 35 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 0.92 per match in the 2025/26 campaign.
León preview
León comes into the game with 33 matches played so far in the Liga MX. They have secured 10 victories, 5 draws, and 18 losses, maintaining an average of 1.06 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 10 wins, 5 draws, and 18 losses.
Club León FC's attack has been highly effective, scoring 35 goals during this period. Of that total, 35 were netted in the Liga MX, with an average of 1.06 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.06.
The Green Bellies's offensive system is led by Ismael Díaz, the team's top scorer this season. The panamanian forward has found the back of the net 10 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Iván Jared Moreno Füguemann. The midfielder has contributed with 5 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 59 goals with an average of 1.79 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 59 goals in 33 matches, averaging 1.79 per match.
Head to head: Toluca vs León
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Toluca
Mexico - Liga MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L L D L D |
0.4 |
| Home | D D W W W |
2.2 |
| Away | L L L D W |
0.8 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 54% | 63% | 45% |
| Goals | 2.9 | 3.37 | 2.45 |
| Scored | 1.9 | 2.32 | 1.5 |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.05 | 0.95 |
| Both Teams to Score | 56% | 74% | 40% |
| Without Conceding | 33% | 26% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 23% | 5% | 40% |
| 1st to Score | 51% | 63% | 40% |
|
xG
|
1.83 | 2.02 | 1.63 |
|
xGA
|
1.11 | 1.07 | 1.16 |
León
Mexico - Liga MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L W W W W |
2.4 |
| Home | L W W L W |
1.8 |
| Away | W W L L L |
1.2 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 41% | 19% |
| Goals | 2.85 | 3.06 | 2.63 |
| Scored | 1.06 | 1.53 | 0.56 |
| Conceded | 1.79 | 1.53 | 2.06 |
| Both Teams to Score | 52% | 71% | 31% |
| Without Conceding | 18% | 18% | 19% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 12% | 56% |
| 1st to Score | 51% | 47% | 25% |
|
xG
|
1.42 | 1.53 | 1.3 |
|
xGA
|
1.67 | 1.48 | 1.87 |
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I’m a journalist and content creator with over 7 years of experience in sports betting. At APWin, I live football and betting markets, and outside the screen I’m also a marathon runner always chasing performance.