Under 2.5 Goals
Toluca Form and Insights
Toluca hosts Guadalajara at the Estadio Nemesio Díez for this Liga MX fixture. The match will kick off at 23:00 (UK Time) on 28/02/2026.
Their performance in the Liga MX so far:
18 Wins
8 Draws
4 Losses
Offensive and defensive statistics:
59 goals scored
1.97 average goals per match
26 goals conceded
59 average goals conceded per match
Chivas Form and Insights
Guadalajara has played 30 matches in the Liga MX so far this season.
Here’s how the team comes into their match with Toluca:
15 Wins
3 Draws
8 Losses
Goals scored and conceded:
43 goals scored
1.65 average goals per match
31 goals conceded
43 average goals conceded per match
Head-to-Head Statistics
We have seen the match between Toluca and Guadalajara on the match calendar 34 times across all competitions in the last couple of years.
Diablos Rojos win - 18
Guadalajara win - 15
Draw - 15
Toluca
Mexico - Liga MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W W D D D |
1.8 |
| Home | W D W W W |
2.6 |
| Away | W D D W L |
1.6 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 67% | 53% |
| Goals | 2.83 | 3.6 | 2.07 |
| Scored | 1.97 | 2.47 | 1.47 |
| Conceded | 0.87 | 1.13 | 0.6 |
| Both Teams to Score | 50% | 73% | 27% |
| Without Conceding | 40% | 27% | 53% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 7% | 47% |
| 1st to Score | 50% | 60% | 40% |
|
xG
|
1.81 | 2.01 | 1.57 |
|
xGA
|
1.08 | 1.1 | 1.05 |
Guadalajara
Mexico - Liga MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L W W W W |
2.4 |
| Home | W W W D W |
2.6 |
| Away | L W W W L |
1.8 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 58% | 62% | 54% |
| Goals | 2.85 | 3 | 2.69 |
| Scored | 1.65 | 1.85 | 1.46 |
| Conceded | 1.19 | 1.15 | 1.23 |
| Both Teams to Score | 54% | 54% | 54% |
| Without Conceding | 31% | 38% | 23% |
| Failed To Score | 23% | 23% | 23% |
| 1st to Score | 50% | 62% | 54% |
|
xG
|
1.53 | 1.52 | 1.53 |
|
xGA
|
1.11 | 1.2 | 1.03 |
Access all match stats for Toluca vs Guadalajara
The last match was played on 21/09/2025 in the Liga MX, and Toluca won the match. The match ended in 0–3.
In the table below, you can find the head-to-head results of the last few meetings.
Players to Watch
APWin’s team of experts has compiled a list of insights to help you place informed bets on player props and goal-scoring markets.
Los Auriazules Top Players
José Paulo Bezerra Maciel Júnior has scored 19 goals so far this season.
Ernesto Alexis Vega Rojas has given 10 assists this season.
Rojiblancos Top Players
Armando González Alba has scored 17 goals so far this season.
Richard Ledezma has given 6 assists this season.
Betting Insights for Cards and Corners
If you prefer betting on over/under markets for corners and cards, you can use the section below to find the statistics for this Toluca vs Guadalajara match.
Toluca Cards and Corners
2.33 average cards per match
1.87 average cards when playing at home
9.16 average corners per match
8.6 average corners when playing at home
Guadalajara Cards and Corners
2.23 average cards per match
2.08 average cards when playing away
8.88 average corners per match
8.53 average corners when playing away
Additional Betting Tips
After thorough analysis of the past data, our team of experts has come up with additional predictions for the match.
Keep in mind that the prediction on the top of the page is our main tip. In case you are looking for more value picks, you can use our additional predictions below.
Match Details
Match date: 28/02/2026
Kick-off time: 23:00
Competition: Liga MX
Game week: 8
Stadium: Estadio Nemesio Díez
How APWin Makes Its Predictions
Our football predictions are written using a structured analysis of factors that impact match outcomes. We combine long-term performance with the latest team news and real-time market signals to write our predictions.
Here's what we take into account:
Historical match data
Home and away performance trends
Recent form, squad news, and team dynamics
Betting market odds and line movement analysis
Under 2.5 Goals
I’m a journalist and content creator with over 7 years of experience in sports betting. At APWin, I live football and betting markets, and outside the screen I’m also a marathon runner always chasing performance.