Sturm Graz vs Salzburg prediction
Austria - Austria Bundesliga
Under 3.5 Goals
Market: Under 3.5 Goals · @ 1.83
Confidence
51%
Last updated: 05-11-2026
Sturm Graz and Salzburg face each other on Sunday 11.08.2026, at 16:00 (UK Time), in a Austria Bundesliga 2026/27 match. The game will take place at Sturm Graz's home ground, the Merkur Arena (Stadion Liebenau).
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Sport-Club Puntigamer Sturm Graz and Fußballclub Red Bull Salzburg, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
Sturm Graz preview
Sturm Graz heads into the match with the following record in the Austria Bundesliga: in 11 matches, Sport-Club Puntigamer Sturm Graz secured 5 victories, 4 draws, and 2 losses, maintaining an average of 1.73 points per game.
Taking a broader look at The Blacks's 2026/27 season, the team has achieved a total of 32 victories so far.
Sturm Graz has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 105 goals, of which 19 were scored in the Austria Bundesliga, resulting in an average of 1.73 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Otar Kiteishvili, who has found the back of the net 15 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Simon Seidl has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 8 assists.
On the defensive side, Sturm Graz has conceded 13 goals in the Austria Bundesliga (an average of 1.18 per game) and 79 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.16 per match in the 2026/27 campaign.
- 05/11/2026Sturm GrazCeljeL2305/11/2026UEFA Europa LeagueSturm Graz
v.s
Celje2 - 3L - 01/11/2026Wolfsberger ACSturm GrazD1101/11/2026BundesligaWolfsberger AC
v.s
Sturm Graz1 - 1D - 29/10/2026Austria LustenauSturm GrazL3229/10/2026Austrian CupAustria Lustenau
v.s
Sturm Graz3 - 2L - 25/10/2026Sturm GrazRiedD2225/10/2026BundesligaSturm Graz
v.s
Ried2 - 2D - 22/10/2026Sturm GrazOlympique de MarseilleW1022/10/2026UEFA Europa LeagueSturm Graz
v.s
Olympique de Marseille1 - 0W
Salzburg preview
Salzburg comes into the game with 11 matches played so far in the Austria Bundesliga. They have secured 8 victories, 3 draws, and 0 losses, maintaining an average of 2.45 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2026/27 season, the team has recorded 36 wins, 15 draws, and 20 losses.
Fußballclub Red Bull Salzburg's attack has been highly effective, scoring 141 goals during this period. Of that total, 29 were netted in the Austria Bundesliga, with an average of 2.64 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.99.
The Red Bulls's offensive system is led by Petar Ratkov, the team's top scorer this season. The serbian forward has found the back of the net 9 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Frans Krätzig. The midfielder has contributed with 7 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 6 goals with an average of 0.55 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 83 goals in 71 matches, averaging 1.17 per match.
- 05/11/2026RSC AnderlechtSalzburgL2005/11/2026UEFA Europa LeagueRSC Anderlecht
v.s
Salzburg2 - 0L - 01/11/2026SalzburgAustria LustenauW5101/11/2026BundesligaSalzburg
v.s
Austria Lustenau5 - 1W - 28/10/2026Schwarz-Weiß BregenzSalzburgW2328/10/2026Austrian CupSchwarz-Weiß Bregenz
v.s
Salzburg2 - 3W - 25/10/2026LASKSalzburgW1325/10/2026BundesligaLASK
v.s
Salzburg1 - 3W - 22/10/2026CeljeSalzburgD2222/10/2026UEFA Europa LeagueCelje
v.s
Salzburg2 - 2D
Head to head: Sturm Graz vs Salzburg
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Sturm Graz
Home
Salzburg
Away
Points & Results
- PPG1.732.45
- 45%Wins73%
- 55%First to Score73%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game1.732.64
- Conceded/game1.180.55
- xG1.872.17
- xGA1.371.30
Trends
- 64%Both Score55%
- 27%Clean Sheet45%
- 9%Failed to Score9%
Access all match stats for Sturm Graz vs Salzburg
Where to watch Sturm Graz vs Salzburg live?
Check out the live stream of Sturm Graz vs Salzburg below and follow the match in real time.
Watch this match
Sturm Graz vs Salzburg
Likely Scores
| # | Score | Probability | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 - 1 | 11.61% | |
| 2 | 1 - 2 | 8.57% | |
| 3 | 2 - 1 | 8.15% | |
| 4 | 2 - 2 | 6.62% | |
| 5 | 0 - 1 | 5.78% | |
| 6 | 0 - 2 | 5.55% | |
| 7 | 1 - 0 | 5.44% | |
| 8 | 0 - 0 | 5.26% | |
| 9 | 2 - 0 | 5.01% | |
| 10 | 1 - 3 | 4.64% | |
| 11 | 3 - 1 | 4.19% | |
| 12 | 2 - 3 | 3.58% |