The kick off for the match between Sport Recife and Atlético-MG will take place at 20:00 (UK time) - Saturday, 11/08 - at the Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho (Ilha do Retiro). This clash of the 2025 Brazil Serie A looks very promising!
Before placing your bets on this match, check out the full analysis including predictions for Sport Recife vs Atlético-MG. We also highlight the most interesting odds and markets with a high chance of winning. Providing today’s best free tip to help you make informed and profitable betting decisions.
APWin predictions for Sport Recife vs Atlético-MG
With odds already released by major bookmakers, our experts have crunched the numbers and dissected the key match data. Find our value-packed prediction for this encounter below:
Under 2.5 Goals
After a thorough assessment of the primary betting markets, APWin analysts have identified bets with strong value potential.
Sport Recife preview
Sport Recife has played 31 matches in the Brazil Serie A so far, with 2 wins, 11 draws, and 18 losses. This results in an average of 0.55 points per match.
In the 2025 season, the team has recorded 14 wins, 16 draws, and 24 losses. Sport Recife's attack has scored 60 goals, 22 of them in the league, which gives an average of 0.71 goals per league match and 1.11 goals per match across the entire season.
Derik Gean Severino Lacerda is the team’s top scorer with 6 goals, while Lucas Rafael Araujo Lima leads the team in assists with 5. Defensively, Sport Recife has conceded 51 goals in the league (an average of 1.65) and 70 goals throughout the entire season (an average of 1.3 over 54 matches).
Atlético-MG preview
In 31 Brazil Serie A matches, Atlético-MG has recorded 10 wins, 10 draws, and 11 losses, with an average of 1.29 points per game.
In the 2025 season, the team has 33 wins in 76 matches. The team has scored 99 goals, 30 of them in the Brazil Serie A (an average of 0.97 goals per match), with Hulk being the team's top scorer with 7 goals and Gustavo Scarpa providing 4 assists.
Defensively, Atlético-MG has conceded 32 goals in the league and 65 in the 2025 season overall, resulting in an average of 0.86 goals conceded per match.
Head to head: Sport Recife vs Atlético-MG
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Sport Recife
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L L L L D |
0.55 |
| Home | L L D D W |
0.67 |
| Away | L L L D L |
0.44 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 6% | 7% | 6% |
| Goals | 2.35 | 2.4 | 2.31 |
| Scored | 0.71 | 0.87 | 0.56 |
| Conceded | 1.65 | 1.53 | 1.75 |
| Both Teams to Score | 48% | 53% | 44% |
| Without Conceding | 16% | 20% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 45% | 40% | 50% |
| 1st to Score | 26% | 27% | 25% |
|
xG
|
1.38 | 1.41 | 1.36 |
|
xGA
|
1.59 | 1.43 | 1.75 |
Atlético-MG
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W D W L D |
1.29 |
| Home | W W D W D |
2 |
| Away | D L L L L |
0.63 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 32% | 53% | 13% |
| Goals | 2 | 2.13 | 1.88 |
| Scored | 0.97 | 1.4 | 0.56 |
| Conceded | 1.03 | 0.73 | 1.31 |
| Both Teams to Score | 39% | 47% | 31% |
| Without Conceding | 39% | 53% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 39% | 20% | 56% |
| 1st to Score | 26% | 60% | 19% |
|
xG
|
1.56 | 1.81 | 1.33 |
|
xGA
|
1.34 | 1.11 | 1.56 |
Access all match stats for Sport Recife vs Atlético-MG
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I’m a journalist and content creator with over 7 years of experience in sports betting. At APWin, I live football and betting markets, and outside the screen I’m also a marathon runner always chasing performance.