Southampton and Middlesbrough face each other on Tuesday 05.12.2026, at 20:00 (UK Time), in a EFL Championship 2025/26 match. The game will take place at Southampton's home ground, the St. Mary's Stadium.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Southampton Football Club Limited and Middlesbrough Football and Athletic Company (1986) Limited, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Southampton vs Middlesbrough
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
Over 10.5 Corners
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Southampton preview
Southampton heads into the match with the following record in the EFL Championship: in 46 matches, Southampton Football Club Limited secured 22 victories, 14 draws, and 10 losses, maintaining an average of 1.74 points per game.
Taking a broader look at Southampton Football Club Limited's 2025/26 season, the team has achieved a total of 28 victories so far.
Southampton has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 96 goals, of which 82 were scored in the EFL Championship, resulting in an average of 1.78 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Adam Armstrong, who has found the back of the net 11 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Leonardo Weschenfelder-Scienza has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 10 assists.
On the defensive side, Southampton has conceded 56 goals in the EFL Championship (an average of 1.22 per game) and 64 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.19 per match in the 2025/26 campaign.
Middlesbrough preview
Middlesbrough comes into the game with 46 matches played so far in the EFL Championship. They have secured 22 victories, 14 draws, and 10 losses, maintaining an average of 1.74 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 22 wins, 14 draws, and 12 losses.
Middlesbrough Football and Athletic Company (1986) Limited's attack has been highly effective, scoring 73 goals during this period. Of that total, 72 were netted in the EFL Championship, with an average of 1.57 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.52.
Boro's offensive system is led by Morgan Whittaker, the team's top scorer this season. The english forward has found the back of the net 14 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Finn Azaz. The midfielder has contributed with 8 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 47 goals with an average of 1.02 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 54 goals in 48 matches, averaging 1.13 per match.
Head to head: Southampton vs Middlesbrough
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Southampton
England - Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D W D L D |
1.2 |
| Home | D D W W W |
2.2 |
| Away | D W L W W |
2 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 47% | 52% | 42% |
| Goals | 2.94 | 2.48 | 3.38 |
| Scored | 1.74 | 1.65 | 1.83 |
| Conceded | 1.19 | 0.83 | 1.54 |
| Both Teams to Score | 70% | 52% | 88% |
| Without Conceding | 26% | 43% | 8% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 17% | 8% |
| 1st to Score | 53% | 52% | 54% |
|
xG
|
1.62 | 1.75 | 1.49 |
|
xGA
|
1.37 | 1.21 | 1.53 |
Middlesbrough
England - Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D D W W D |
1.8 |
| Home | D W W L L |
1.4 |
| Away | D D D D W |
1.4 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 47% | 50% | 43% |
| Goals | 2.53 | 2.17 | 2.91 |
| Scored | 1.53 | 1.42 | 1.65 |
| Conceded | 1 | 0.75 | 1.26 |
| Both Teams to Score | 55% | 46% | 65% |
| Without Conceding | 30% | 42% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 26% | 29% | 22% |
| 1st to Score | 53% | 54% | 57% |
|
xG
|
1.8 | 1.9 | 1.7 |
|
xGA
|
1.15 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
Access all match stats for Southampton vs Middlesbrough
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Sports betting analyst with over 15 years of experience. At APWin, he writes football predictions, reviews bookmakers and explains the reasoning behind every bet.