SD Aucas and CD El Nacional face each other on Saturday 11.01.2025, at 22:30 (UK Time), in a Liga Pro 2025 match. The game will take place at SD Aucas's home ground, the Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda.

Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between SD Aucas and CD El Nacional, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.

APWin predictions for SD Aucas vs CD El Nacional

With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:

APWin Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.

👉 Our prediction is: Under 2.5 goals in the match

From what they have shown thus far this season, SD Aucas and CD El Nacional both tend to play quite defensive styles and like to keep things tight in midfield.

As a result, we predict the total going under 2.5 goals to be the most attractive betting option for this upcoming match.

👉 Our prediction is: Draw

SD Aucas vs CD El Nacional is a matchup that is as close as they come, with our analysis finding hardly anything to separate the two sides. And so, our betting tip is to take the draw on the 1X2 market.

The 3.65 odds for a draw are quite favourable and would result in a substantial payout if the match does end in a stalemate.

SD Aucas preview

SD Aucas heads into the match with the following record in the Liga Pro: in 33 matches, SD Aucas secured 12 victories, 9 draws, and 12 losses, maintaining an average of 1.36 points per game.

Taking a broader look at SD Aucas's 2025 season, the team has achieved a total of 20 victories so far.

SD Aucas has been effective in the offense, scoring a total of 69 goals, of which 42 were scored in the Liga Pro, resulting in an average of 1.27 goals per game.

Individually, the standout performer is Michael Carcelén, who has found the back of the net 8 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offense. Jonnathan Gabriel Mina Jara has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 8 assists.

On the defensive side, SD Aucas has conceded 45 goals in the Liga Pro (an average of 1.36 per game) and 70 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.25 per match in the 2025 campaign.

CD El Nacional preview

CD El Nacional comes into the game with 33 matches played so far in the Liga Pro. They have secured 10 victories, 8 draws, and 15 losses, maintaining an average of 1.15 points per game in the competition.

Across all competitions in the 2025 season, the team has recorded 19 wins, 16 draws, and 27 losses.

CD El Nacional's attack has been highly effective, scoring 73 goals during this period. Of that total, 36 were netted in the Liga Pro, with an average of 1.09 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.18.

CD El Nacional's offensive system is led by Djorkaeff Neicer Reasco González, the team's top scorer this season. The ecuadorian midfielder has found the back of the net 12 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Darío Fabián Pazmiño Daza. The midfielder has contributed with 7 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 50 goals with an average of 1.52 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 91 goals in 62 matches, averaging 1.47 per match.

Head to head: SD Aucas vs CD El Nacional

Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.

Home Team

Aucas Team Logo

Aucas

Ecuador - Primera Categoria Serie A

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall W D L D D

1.2

Home D D D L W

1.2

Away W L D D L

1

Away Team

CD El Nacional Team Logo

CD El Nacional

Ecuador - Primera Categoria Serie A

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall W L D L L

0.8

Home W L L L W

1.2

Away D L D W W

1.6

Access all match stats for SD Aucas vs CD El Nacional

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Published on 1 November 2025, at 08:44 Last updated on 27 May 2026, at 20:01
Author: Gustavo Porto

Sports betting analyst with over ten years of experience in football analysis, match statistics and betting markets.