São Paulo vs Vitória prediction

Brazil - Brazil Serie A

v.s

10 Oct 2026 20:00

1st Half Over 0.5 Goals

Market: 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals · @ 1.30

1.30

Last updated: 06-10-2026

São Paulo and Vitória face each other in an official match of the 2026 Brazil Serie A season. The game takes place at Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (MorumBIS) on Sunday, 11/10/2026, at 01:00 (UK Time).

Our experts have prepared predictions for São Paulo Futebol Clube vs Esporte Clube Vitória, based on a detailed statistical review of both teams. Our goal is to assist bettors in making profitable decisions, which is why we offer the best free prediction for today.

Tricolor Paulista preview

São Paulo comes into the match having played 29 games in the Brazil Serie A so far. They have recorded 10 wins, 6 draws, and 13 losses, with an average of 1.24 points per game in the tournament.

In the 2026 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 20 wins, 12 draws, and 19 losses.

São Paulo's attack has scored 60 goals during this period. Out of this total, 33 goals were scored in the Brazil Serie A, averaging 1.14 goals per match. The season's average stands at 1.18.

The offence system of São Paulo is led by Luciano da Rocha Neves as the top scorer of the season. The brazilian forward has scored 9 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Wendell Nascimento Borges, who has contributed with 3 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 34 goals with an average of 1.17 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 57 goals conceded in 51 matches, resulting in an average of 1.12.

Leão da Barra preview

On the other hand, Vitória comes into the match having played 29 games in the Brazil Serie A so far. They have recorded 10 wins, 6 draws, and 13 losses, with an average of 1.24 points per game in the tournament.

In the 2026 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 24 wins, 12 draws, and 20 losses.

Vitória's attack has scored 83 goals during this period. Out of this total, 32 goals were scored in the Brazil Serie A, averaging 1.1 goals per match. The season's average stands at 1.48.

The offence system of Vitória is led by Carlos Rene de Sousa Ferreira as the top scorer of the season. The brazilian forward has scored 9 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Erick de Arruda Serafim, who has contributed with 5 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 42 goals with an average of 1.45 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 71 goals conceded in 56 matches, resulting in an average of 1.27.

Head to head: São Paulo vs Vitória

Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.

São Paulo

Home

LLWDL
VS

Vitória

Away

WLDWL

Points & Results

  • 1.24
    PPG
    1.24
  • 34%
    Wins
    34%
  • 52%
    First to Score
    45%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.14
    Scored/game
    1.10
  • 1.17
    Conceded/game
    1.45
  • 1.48
    xG
    1.34
  • 1.31
    xGA
    1.67

Trends

  • 55%
    Both Score
    38%
  • 21%
    Clean Sheet
    38%
  • 24%
    Failed to Score
    31%

Access all match stats for São Paulo vs Vitória

Where to watch São Paulo vs Vitória live?

Check out the live stream of São Paulo vs Vitória below and follow the match in real time.

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Likely Scores

#ScoreProbability%
11 - 1
0.13%
21 - 0
0.10%
32 - 1
0.09%
42 - 0
0.08%
50 - 0
0.08%
61 - 2
0.07%
70 - 1
0.07%
82 - 2
0.05%
93 - 1
0.05%
100 - 2
0.04%
113 - 0
0.04%
123 - 2
0.03%
Published: 8 Oct 2026Updated: 8 Oct 2026
Gustavo Porto

Gustavo Porto

Sporting betting analyst

69

Articles

Sports betting analyst with over ten years of experience in football analysis, match statistics and betting markets.