São Paulo and Bahia face each other in an official match of the 2026 Brazil Serie A season. The game takes place at Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (MorumBIS) on Sunday, 03/05/2026, at 20:00 (UK Time).

Our experts have prepared predictions for São Paulo Futebol Clube vs Esporte Clube Bahia, based on a detailed statistical review of both teams. Our goal is to assist bettors in making profitable decisions, which is why we offer the best free prediction for today.

APWin predictions for São Paulo vs Bahia

The top bookmakers have set the odds, and our team has analysed all relevant match data. See our expert match prediction below:

APWin Prediction

HT/FT - 1/2

APWin experts have analysed the main betting markets and selected high-value bets.

👉 Our prediction is: under 9.5 corners

According to our projections for São Paulo vs Bahia, this is a match where we can find a good deal of value in the corner market.

With little offensive action anticipated from the two sides, our best tip is to take the under on 9.5 corners. That means 9 total corners or fewer throughout the match will win the bet.

👉 Our prediction is: Bahia to win the 1st half

The various signs and statistics we have studied point to this being a one-sided affair, with the favoured Bahia likely coming out on top away from home. Bahia has simply been the superior team this season, whereas São Paulo has struggled.

But for some added value, we recommend betting on Bahia to win the first half, which would bring a higher potential payout.

Tricolor Paulista preview

São Paulo comes into the match having played 13 games in the Brazil Serie A so far. They have recorded 7 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with an average of 1.77 points per game in the tournament.

In the 2026 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 15 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses.

São Paulo's attack has scored 35 goals during this period. Out of this total, 17 goals were scored in the Brazil Serie A, averaging 1.31 goals per match. The season's average stands at 1.3.

The offence system of São Paulo is led by Jonathan Calleri as the top scorer of the season. The argentinian forward has scored 6 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Luciano da Rocha Neves, who has contributed with 2 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 11 goals with an average of 0.85 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 26 goals conceded in 27 matches, resulting in an average of 0.96.

Esquadrão de Aço preview

On the other hand, Bahia comes into the match having played 12 games in the Brazil Serie A so far. They have recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with an average of 1.75 points per game in the tournament.

In the 2026 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 16 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses.

Bahia's attack has scored 52 goals during this period. Out of this total, 17 goals were scored in the Brazil Serie A, averaging 1.42 goals per match. The season's average stands at 2.

The offence system of Bahia is led by Luciano Batista da Silva Junior as the top scorer of the season. The brazilian defender has scored 5 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Jean Lucas, who has contributed with 2 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 14 goals with an average of 1.17 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 31 goals conceded in 26 matches, resulting in an average of 1.19.

Head to head: São Paulo vs Bahia

Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.

Home Team

São Paulo Team Logo

São Paulo

Brazil - Serie A

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall D W W L W

2

Home W W W W L

2.4

Away D L L W D

1

Away Team

Bahia Team Logo

Bahia

Brazil - Serie A

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall D L L W L

0.8

Home D L L W W

1.4

Away L W L W W

1.8

Access all match stats for São Paulo vs Bahia

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Published on 30 April 2026, at 20:05 Last updated on 30 April 2026, at 20:05
Author: Amauri Barbosa

I’m a journalist and content creator with over 7 years of experience in sports betting. At APWin, I live football and betting markets, and outside the screen I’m also a marathon runner always chasing performance.