Real Madrid and Benfica face each other on Wednesday 02.25.2026, at 20:00 (UK Time), in a UEFA Champions League 2025/26 match. The game will take place at Real Madrid's home ground, the Estadio Santiago Bernabéu.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Real Madrid Club de Fútbol and Sport Lisboa e Benfica, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Real Madrid Club de Fútbol vs Sport Lisboa e Benfica
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
Double Chance: Home or Away
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Real Madrid preview
Real Madrid heads into the match with the following record in the UEFA Champions League: in 9 matches, Real Madrid Club de Fútbol secured 6 victories, 0 draws, and 3 losses, maintaining an average of 2 points per game.
Taking a broader look at Real Madrid CF's 2025/26 season, the team has achieved a total of 27 victories so far.
Real Madrid has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 85 goals, of which 22 were scored in the UEFA Champions League, resulting in an average of 2.44 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Kylian Mbappé, who has found the back of the net 23 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Federico Valverde has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 7 assists.
On the defensive side, Real Madrid has conceded 12 goals in the UEFA Champions League (an average of 1.33 per game) and 42 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.11 per match in the 2025/26 campaign.
Benfica preview
Benfica comes into the game with 13 matches played so far in the UEFA Champions League. They have secured 6 victories, 1 draws, and 6 losses, maintaining an average of 1.46 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 26 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses.
Sport Lisboa e Benfica's attack has been highly effective, scoring 71 goals during this period. Of that total, 15 were netted in the UEFA Champions League, with an average of 1.15 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.73.
The Eagles's offensive system is led by Evangelos Pavlidis, the team's top scorer this season. The greek forward has found the back of the net 20 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Fredrik Aursnes. The midfielder has contributed with 4 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 13 goals with an average of 1 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 27 goals in 41 matches, averaging 0.66 per match.
Head to head: Real Madrid vs Benfica
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Real Madrid
Europe - UEFA Champions League
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L W W W W |
2.4 |
| Home | W W W W W |
3 |
| Away | L W W L W |
1.8 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 67% | 75% | 60% |
| Goals | 3.78 | 3.5 | 4 |
| Scored | 2.44 | 2.5 | 2.4 |
| Conceded | 1.33 | 1 | 1.6 |
| Both Teams to Score | 56% | 75% | 40% |
| Without Conceding | 33% | 25% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 0% | 20% |
| 1st to Score | 67% | 75% | 60% |
|
xG
|
2.12 | 2.48 | 1.84 |
|
xGA
|
1.73 | 1.66 | 1.8 |
Benfica
Europe - UEFA Champions League
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W L W W D |
2 |
| Home | W L W W W |
2.4 |
| Away | W D L W L |
1.4 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 46% | 57% | 33% |
| Goals | 2.15 | 2.57 | 1.67 |
| Scored | 1.15 | 1.57 | 0.67 |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Both Teams to Score | 15% | 29% | 0% |
| Without Conceding | 46% | 43% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 46% | 29% | 67% |
| 1st to Score | 67% | 57% | 33% |
|
xG
|
1.51 | 1.77 | 1.21 |
|
xGA
|
1.31 | 1.21 | 1.42 |
Access all match stats for Real Madrid vs Benfica
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