Barcelona vs Real Madrid

Spain - La Liga

v.s

25 Oct 2026 16:00

Barcelona are creating the better shooting profile with average 8.44 overall shots and 2.39 xG. Their season scoring average is 4.33 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

59%
Barcelona to win
17%
Draw
24%
Real Madrid to win

The result market leans toward Barcelona at 61%. The points profile supports that read: Barcelona average 3 PPG and Real Madrid average 1.5 PPG in the comparable split.

Barcelona
8
wins
0
draws
Real Madrid
4
wins
67%
BTTS
8/12
100%
OVER 0.5
12/12
92%
OVER 1.5
11/12
83%
OVER 2.5
10/12

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Well above avg

    4.13

    League 3.08

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Well above avg

    75%

    League 56%

  • Both Teams Score

    Average

    63%

    League 60%

  • Cards

    Below average

    4.25

    League 4.93

  • Corners

    Well above avg

    18.00

    League 9.80

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Barcelona average 15 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 9.8, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    100%
    UNDER
    0%
  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    88%
    UNDER
    12%
  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    83%
    UNDER
    17%
  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    66%
    UNDER
    34%

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 100% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Barcelona

Home

WWWWW
VS

Real Madrid

Away

WWLWW

Points & Results

  • 3.00
    PPG
    2.33
  • 100%
    Wins
    78%
  • 78%
    First to Score
    78%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 4.33
    Scored/game
    2.56
  • 1.00
    Conceded/game
    1.00
  • 2.39
    xG
    2.03
  • 0.87
    xGA
    1.44

Trends

  • 56%
    Both Score
    67%
  • 44%
    Clean Sheet
    22%

Barcelona vs Real Madrid: Statistics and Analysis - La Liga 2026/2027

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Barcelona vs Real Madrid - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This La Liga match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 20:00.

The venue is Camp Nou.

The fixture is part of game week 10th of the La Liga season. Barcelona currently sits in position 1st of the La Liga table. Real Madrid occupies position 3rd.

Stat Probabilities for Barcelona vs Real Madrid

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Barcelona vs Real Madrid at 63%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Barcelona and Real Madrid point to a 75% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

Barcelona over 1.5 goals scored: the numbers give Barcelona a 100% chance of scoring 2 or more goals.

Scored in both halves: Barcelona has scored in both halves in 100% of their matches in the competition.

Over 4.5 cards: Barcelona's matches have produced 5 or more total cards 75% of the time.

Over 4.5 cards: Real Madrid's matches have produced 5 or more total cards 75% of the time.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Barcelona vs Real Madrid prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Barcelona vs Real Madrid?

According to the latest match odds, Barcelona is the favorite at 1.73 an implied probability of about 57.80%. The full 1X2 market has Barcelona at 1.73, the draw at 10, and Real Madrid at 4.51.

Overall performance in the La Liga

Barcelona's record so far reads 9W-0D-0L from 9 played a win rate of 100% at 3 points per game.

Real Madrid stands at 7W-0D-2L from 9 played, winning 78% of their matches at 2.33 points per game.

In their last five, Barcelona has gone 5W-0D-0L, averaging 3 points per game.

Real Madrid's last five read 4W-0D-1L, at 2.4 points per game.

At home, Barcelona has a 100% win rate (4W-0D-0L from 4 played).

On the road, Real Madrid has won 50% of their matches (2W-0D-2L from 4 played).

Goal statistics for Barcelona vs Real Madrid

In attack, Barcelona averages 4.33 goals scored per game in the La Liga (39 in total), while conceding 1 per game (9 in total).

Real Madrid averages 2.56 goals scored per game (23 in total) and 1 conceded per game (9 in total).

Barcelona's top scorer this season is Ferrán Torres, with 16 goals.

For Real Madrid, Kylian Mbappé leads the scoring charts with 25 goals this season.

Barcelona's main creator is Lamine Yamal, with 11 assists.

Arda Guler tops the Real Madrid assist chart with 9.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Barcelona vs Real Madrid

Barcelona and Real Madrid have met 12 times in recent years. The record:

  • Barcelona wins: 8

  • Draws: 0

  • Real Madrid wins: 4

Frequently asked questions about Barcelona vs Real Madrid

When is Barcelona vs Real Madrid?

The match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 20:00.

What is the head-to-head record between Barcelona and Real Madrid?

Across their last 12 meetings the record is 8-0-4 (Barcelona wins – draws – Real Madrid wins).

What was the last match between Barcelona and Real Madrid?

The two sides last met on 10/05/2026, and the result was Barcelona 2 vs 0 Real Madrid. Full details: Barcelona vs Real Madrid, 10/05/2026.

Who is the favorite in Barcelona vs Real Madrid?

Barcelona is the favorite at odds of 1.73, an implied probability of about 57.80%. Barcelona is priced at 1.73, the draw at 10 and Real Madrid at 4.51.

Where can I find a Barcelona vs Real Madrid prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Barcelona vs Real Madrid prediction page.

Where can I find Barcelona vs Real Madrid stats?

All key statistics for Barcelona vs Real Madrid are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Barcelona vs Real Madrid?

Live streaming information is available on our Barcelona vs Real Madrid stream page.