Racing de Montevideo vs Peñarol prediction

Uruguay - Primera División

v.s

04 Oct 2026 18:30

Double Chance: Racing de Montevideo or Draw

Market: Double Chance: Racing de Montevideo or Draw · @ 1.76

1.76

Confidence

72%

Last updated: 30-09-2026

Racing de Montevideo and Peñarol face each other in an official match of the 2026 Primera División season. The game takes place at Estadio Parque Osvaldo Roberto (Parque Roberto) on Sunday, 04/10/2026, at 23:30 (UK Time).

Our experts have prepared predictions for Racing Club de Montevideo vs Club Atlético Peñarol, based on a detailed statistical review of both teams. Our goal is to assist bettors in making profitable decisions, which is why we offer the best free prediction for today.

The Little School preview

Racing de Montevideo comes into the match having played 30 games in the Primera División so far. They have recorded 14 wins, 11 draws, and 5 losses, with an average of 1.77 points per game in the tournament.

In the 2026 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 14 wins, 11 draws, and 6 losses.

Racing de Montevideo's attack has scored 36 goals during this period. Out of this total, 36 goals were scored in the Primera División, averaging 1.2 goals per match. The season's average stands at 1.16.

The offence system of Racing de Montevideo is led by Tomás Habib as the top scorer of the season. The argentinian forward has scored 6 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Álex Bacilio Vázquez Álvez, who has contributed with 3 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 24 goals with an average of 0.8 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 25 goals conceded in 31 matches, resulting in an average of 0.81.

Coalmen preview

On the other hand, Peñarol comes into the match having played 31 games in the Primera División so far. They have recorded 19 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, with an average of 2.03 points per game in the tournament.

In the 2026 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 19 wins, 9 draws, and 9 losses.

Peñarol's attack has scored 58 goals during this period. Out of this total, 54 goals were scored in the Primera División, averaging 1.74 goals per match. The season's average stands at 1.57.

The offence system of Peñarol is led by Douglas Matías Arezo Martínez as the top scorer of the season. The uruguayan forward has scored 13 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Javier Cabrera, who has contributed with 5 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 26 goals with an average of 0.84 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 34 goals conceded in 37 matches, resulting in an average of 0.92.

Head to head: Racing de Montevideo vs Peñarol

Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.

Racing de Montevideo

Home

LDWLW
VS

Peñarol

Away

DWWWW

Points & Results

  • 1.77
    PPG
    2.03
  • 47%
    Wins
    61%
  • 67%
    First to Score
    61%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.20
    Scored/game
    1.74
  • 0.80
    Conceded/game
    0.84
  • 1.60
    xG
    1.67
  • 1.09
    xGA
    1.23

Trends

  • 47%
    Both Score
    55%
  • 43%
    Clean Sheet
    32%
  • 23%
    Failed to Score
    16%

Access all match stats for Racing de Montevideo vs Peñarol

Where to watch Racing de Montevideo vs Peñarol live?

Check out the live stream of Racing de Montevideo vs Peñarol below and follow the match in real time.

Racing de Montevideo logoVSPeñarol logo

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Racing de Montevideo vs Peñarol

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Likely Scores

#ScoreProbability%
11 - 1
0.13%
21 - 2
0.09%
30 - 1
0.08%
42 - 1
0.08%
50 - 0
0.08%
61 - 0
0.07%
70 - 2
0.07%
82 - 0
0.06%
92 - 2
0.06%
101 - 3
0.04%
113 - 1
0.03%
120 - 3
0.03%
Published: 1 Oct 2026Updated: 1 Oct 2026