Progreso vs Racing de Montevideo prediction

Published: 23 Sept 2026Updated: 23 Sept 2026

Uruguay - Primera División

v.s

26 Sept 2026 10:00

Under 2.5 Goals

Market: Under 2.5 Goals · @ 1.52

1.52

Confidence

56%

Last updated: 23-09-2026

Progreso and Racing de Montevideo face each other in an official match of the 2026 Primera División season. The game takes place at Estadio Parque Abraham Paladino (Parque Paladino) on Saturday, 26/09/2026, at 15:00 (UK Time).

Our experts have prepared predictions for Club Atlético Progreso vs Racing Club de Montevideo, based on a detailed statistical review of both teams. Our goal is to assist bettors in making profitable decisions, which is why we offer the best free prediction for today.

The Gauchos of the Pantanoso preview

Progreso comes into the match having played 29 games in the Primera División so far. They have recorded 7 wins, 4 draws, and 18 losses, with an average of 0.86 points per game in the tournament.

In the 2026 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 7 wins, 4 draws, and 18 losses.

Progreso's attack has scored 23 goals during this period. Out of this total, 23 goals were scored in the Primera División, averaging 0.79 goals per match. The season's average stands at 0.79.

The offence system of Progreso is led by Elvis Nahuel López Barboza as the top scorer of the season. The uruguayan forward has scored 6 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Facundo de León Abate, who has contributed with 2 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 42 goals with an average of 1.45 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 42 goals conceded in 29 matches, resulting in an average of 1.45.

The Little School preview

On the other hand, Racing de Montevideo comes into the match having played 29 games in the Primera División so far. They have recorded 14 wins, 11 draws, and 4 losses, with an average of 1.83 points per game in the tournament.

In the 2026 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 14 wins, 11 draws, and 5 losses.

Racing de Montevideo's attack has scored 35 goals during this period. Out of this total, 35 goals were scored in the Primera División, averaging 1.21 goals per match. The season's average stands at 1.17.

The offence system of Racing de Montevideo is led by Tomás Habib as the top scorer of the season. The argentinian forward has scored 6 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Álex Bacilio Vázquez Álvez, who has contributed with 2 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 22 goals with an average of 0.76 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 23 goals conceded in 30 matches, resulting in an average of 0.77.

Head to head: Progreso vs Racing de Montevideo

Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.

Progreso

Home

WLWWL
VS

Racing de Montevideo

Away

DWLWD

Points & Results

  • 0.86
    PPG
    1.83
  • 24%
    Wins
    48%
  • 28%
    First to Score
    69%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 0.79
    Scored/game
    1.21
  • 1.45
    Conceded/game
    0.76
  • 1.18
    xG
    1.61
  • 1.46
    xGA
    1.08

Trends

  • 41%
    Both Score
    45%
  • 14%
    Clean Sheet
    45%
  • 45%
    Failed to Score
    24%

Access all match stats for Progreso vs Racing de Montevideo

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Likely Scores

#ScoreProbability%
11 - 1
0.14%
20 - 1
0.11%
30 - 0
0.10%
41 - 2
0.09%
50 - 2
0.09%
61 - 0
0.08%
72 - 1
0.07%
82 - 0
0.05%
92 - 2
0.05%
101 - 3
0.04%
110 - 3
0.04%
123 - 1
0.02%