Peñarol and Nacional face each other on Sunday 11.23.2025, at 19:30 (UK Time), in a Primera División 2025 match. The game will take place at Peñarol's home ground, the Estadio Campeón del Siglo.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Peñarol and Nacional, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Peñarol vs Nacional
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
Under 2.5 Goals
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Peñarol preview
Peñarol heads into the match with the following record in the Primera División: in 39 matches, Peñarol secured 25 victories, 7 draws, and 7 losses, maintaining an average of 2.1 points per game.
Taking a broader look at Peñarol's 2025 season, the team has achieved a total of 36 victories so far.
Peñarol has been effective in the offense, scoring a total of 99 goals, of which 68 were scored in the Primera División, resulting in an average of 1.74 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Maximiliano Joaquín Silvera Cabo, who has found the back of the net 12 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offense. Leonardo Cecilio Fernández López has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 8 assists.
On the defensive side, Peñarol has conceded 35 goals in the Primera División (an average of 0.9 per game) and 61 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 0.94 per match in the 2025 campaign.
Nacional preview
Nacional comes into the game with 38 matches played so far in the Primera División. They have secured 24 victories, 11 draws, and 3 losses, maintaining an average of 2.18 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2025 season, the team has recorded 32 wins, 17 draws, and 11 losses.
Nacional's attack has been highly effective, scoring 111 goals during this period. Of that total, 76 were netted in the Primera División, with an average of 2 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.85.
Nacional's offensive system is led by Nicolás Federico López Alonso, the team's top scorer this season. The uruguayan forward has found the back of the net 20 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Luciano Boggio Albín. The midfielder has contributed with 7 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 33 goals with an average of 0.87 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 66 goals in 60 matches, averaging 1.1 per match.
Head to head: Peñarol vs Nacional
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Peñarol
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W W W L W |
2.4 |
| Home | W W W W W |
3 |
| Away | W W L D W |
2 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 64% | 79% | 50% |
| Goals | 2.64 | 2.58 | 2.7 |
| Scored | 1.74 | 1.84 | 1.65 |
| Conceded | 0.9 | 0.74 | 1.05 |
| Both Teams to Score | 49% | 32% | 65% |
| Without Conceding | 38% | 53% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 15% | 16% | 15% |
| 1st to Score | 64% | 68% | 60% |
|
xG
|
1.77 | 1.8 | 1.75 |
|
xGA
|
1.07 | 0.97 | 1.17 |
Nacional
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D D D W D |
1.4 |
| Home | W W W W D |
2.6 |
| Away | D D D D D |
1 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 63% | 70% | 56% |
| Goals | 2.87 | 3.25 | 2.44 |
| Scored | 2 | 2.3 | 1.67 |
| Conceded | 0.87 | 0.95 | 0.78 |
| Both Teams to Score | 58% | 70% | 44% |
| Without Conceding | 37% | 30% | 44% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 10% | 33% |
| 1st to Score | 64% | 60% | 44% |
|
xG
|
1.65 | 1.66 | 1.63 |
|
xGA
|
1.16 | 1.17 | 1.16 |
Access all match stats for Peñarol vs Nacional
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