The kick off for the match between Peñarol and Nacional will take place at 19:30 (UK time) - Sunday, 11/23 - at the Estadio Campeón del Siglo. This clash of the 2025 Primera División looks very promising!
Before placing your bets on this match, check out the full analysis including predictions for Peñarol vs Nacional. We also highlight the most interesting odds and markets with a high chance of winning. Providing today’s best free tip to help you make informed and profitable betting decisions.
APWin predictions for Peñarol vs Nacional
With odds already released by major bookmakers, our experts have crunched the numbers and dissected the key match data. Find our value-packed prediction for this encounter below:
Under 2.5 Goals
After a thorough assessment of the primary betting markets, APWin analysts have identified bets with strong value potential.
Peñarol preview
Peñarol has played 39 matches in the Primera División so far, with 25 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses. This results in an average of 2.1 points per match.
In the 2025 season, the team has recorded 36 wins, 14 draws, and 15 losses. Peñarol's attack has scored 99 goals, 68 of them in the league, which gives an average of 1.74 goals per league match and 1.52 goals per match across the entire season.
Maximiliano Joaquín Silvera Cabo is the team’s top scorer with 12 goals, while Leonardo Cecilio Fernández López leads the team in assists with 8. Defensively, Peñarol has conceded 35 goals in the league (an average of 0.9) and 61 goals throughout the entire season (an average of 0.94 over 65 matches).
Nacional preview
In 38 Primera División matches, Nacional has recorded 24 wins, 11 draws, and 3 losses, with an average of 2.18 points per game.
In the 2025 season, the team has 32 wins in 60 matches. The team has scored 111 goals, 76 of them in the Primera División (an average of 2 goals per match), with Nicolás Federico López Alonso being the team's top scorer with 20 goals and Luciano Boggio Albín providing 7 assists.
Defensively, Nacional has conceded 33 goals in the league and 66 in the 2025 season overall, resulting in an average of 1.1 goals conceded per match.
Head to head: Peñarol vs Nacional
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Home Team
Peñarol
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W W W L W |
2.1 |
| Home | W W W W W |
2.42 |
| Away | W W L D W |
1.8 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 64% | 79% | 50% |
| Goals | 2.64 | 2.58 | 2.7 |
| Scored | 1.74 | 1.84 | 1.65 |
| Conceded | 0.9 | 0.74 | 1.05 |
| Both Teams to Score | 49% | 32% | 65% |
| Without Conceding | 38% | 53% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 15% | 16% | 15% |
| 1st to Score | 64% | 68% | 60% |
|
xG
|
1.77 | 1.8 | 1.75 |
|
xGA
|
1.07 | 0.97 | 1.17 |
Away Team
Nacional
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D D D W D |
2.18 |
| Home | W W W W D |
2.35 |
| Away | D D D D D |
2 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 63% | 70% | 56% |
| Goals | 2.87 | 3.25 | 2.44 |
| Scored | 2 | 2.3 | 1.67 |
| Conceded | 0.87 | 0.95 | 0.78 |
| Both Teams to Score | 58% | 70% | 44% |
| Without Conceding | 37% | 30% | 44% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 10% | 33% |
| 1st to Score | 64% | 60% | 44% |
|
xG
|
1.65 | 1.66 | 1.63 |
|
xGA
|
1.16 | 1.17 | 1.16 |
Access all match stats for Peñarol vs Nacional
Where to watch Peñarol vs Nacional live?
Check out the live stream of Peñarol vs Nacional below and follow the match in real time.
