Peñarol and Liverpool de Montevideo face each other on Saturday 05.16.2026, at 22:30 (UK Time), in a Primera División 2026 match. The game will take place at Peñarol's home ground, the Estadio Campeón del Siglo.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Club Atlético Peñarol and Liverpool Fútbol Club, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Peñarol vs Liverpool de Montevideo
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
Under 2.5 Goals
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Peñarol preview
Peñarol heads into the match with the following record in the Primera División: in 15 matches, Club Atlético Peñarol secured 8 victories, 3 draws, and 4 losses, maintaining an average of 1.8 points per game.
Taking a broader look at Coalmen's 2026 season, the team has achieved a total of 8 victories so far.
Peñarol has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 26 goals, of which 23 were scored in the Primera División, resulting in an average of 1.53 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Douglas Matías Arezo Martínez, who has found the back of the net 6 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Leonardo Cecilio Fernández López has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 2 assists.
On the defensive side, Peñarol has conceded 16 goals in the Primera División (an average of 1.07 per game) and 22 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.16 per match in the 2026 campaign.
Liverpool de Montevideo preview
Liverpool de Montevideo comes into the game with 15 matches played so far in the Primera División. They have secured 5 victories, 5 draws, and 5 losses, maintaining an average of 1.33 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2026 season, the team has recorded 5 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses.
Liverpool Fútbol Club's attack has been highly effective, scoring 21 goals during this period. Of that total, 20 were netted in the Primera División, with an average of 1.33 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.24.
The Black-and-Blues's offensive system is led by Federico Martínez, the team's top scorer this season. The uruguayan forward has found the back of the net 6 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Diego Romero Lanz. The midfielder has contributed with 2 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 18 goals with an average of 1.2 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 20 goals in 17 matches, averaging 1.18 per match.
Head to head: Peñarol vs Liverpool de Montevideo
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Peñarol
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W D D L L |
1 |
| Home | D D L L L |
0.4 |
| Away | W D L L D |
1 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 53% | 38% | 71% |
| Goals | 2.6 | 3 | 2.14 |
| Scored | 1.53 | 1.63 | 1.43 |
| Conceded | 1.07 | 1.38 | 0.71 |
| Both Teams to Score | 60% | 88% | 29% |
| Without Conceding | 27% | 0% | 57% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 13% | 14% |
| 1st to Score | 47% | 38% | 57% |
|
xG
|
1.8 | 1.89 | 1.7 |
|
xGA
|
1.13 | 1.22 | 1.03 |
Liverpool de Montevideo
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L W D L W |
1.4 |
| Home | W L L D D |
1 |
| Away | L D W D L |
1 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 33% | 29% | 38% |
| Goals | 2.53 | 2.86 | 2.25 |
| Scored | 1.33 | 1.43 | 1.25 |
| Conceded | 1.2 | 1.43 | 1 |
| Both Teams to Score | 47% | 43% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 33% | 43% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 29% | 25% |
| 1st to Score | 47% | 29% | 50% |
|
xG
|
1.35 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
|
xGA
|
1.39 | 1.14 | 1.61 |
Access all match stats for Peñarol vs Liverpool de Montevideo
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Sports betting analyst with over 15 years of experience. At APWin, he writes football predictions, reviews bookmakers and explains the reasoning behind every bet.