Parma vs Fiorentina | Prediction | Serie A | 27/12
Italy - Serie A
Parma and Fiorentina face each other on Saturday 12.27.2025, at 11:30 (UK Time), in a Serie A 2025/26 match. The game will take place at Parma's home ground, the Stadio Ennio Tardini.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Parma and Fiorentina, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Parma vs Fiorentina
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
Under 2.5 Goals
Market: Under 2.5 Goals · @ 1.69
Last updated: 30-04-2026
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Our prediction is: under 9.5 corners
After analysing the odds in the different markets, our best betting tip for this match is on the corners market and taking the total to go under 9.5 corners.
We anticipate Parma vs Fiorentina to be quite a controlled match with the main action concentrated in the middle of the pitch. That should limit the number of opportunities for corners, and so the odds of 1.41 for 9 corners or fewer looks quite attractive.
Our prediction is: Parma to win the 1st half
Parma has been a strong home team overall this season, and the statistics point to them being particularly quick to pounce in the opening 45 minutes. Whether that aggressive mentality is due to the energy of the home crowd or an intentional plan on the part of the manager, it has proven to be very effective.
We foresee that plan paying off once again in their match against Fiorentina, so our top tip is for Parma to win the first half.
Parma preview
Parma heads into the match with the following record in the Serie A: in 15 matches, Parma Calcio secured 3 victories, 5 draws, and 7 losses, maintaining an average of 0.93 points per game.
Taking a broader look at Parma's 2025/26 season, the team has achieved a total of 11 victories so far.
Parma has been effective in the offense, scoring a total of 59 goals, of which 10 were scored in the Serie A, resulting in an average of 0.67 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Ange-Yoan Bonny, who has found the back of the net 6 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offense. Emanuele Valeri has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 6 assists.
On the defensive side, Parma has conceded 18 goals in the Serie A (an average of 1.2 per game) and 81 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.42 per match in the 2025/26 campaign.
- 02/11/2026AtalantaParmaW0302/11/2026Serie AAtalanta
v.s
Parma0 - 3W - 28/10/2026ParmaUdineseD0028/10/2026Serie AParma
v.s
Udinese0 - 0D - 24/10/2026LazioParmaL2124/10/2026Serie ALazio
v.s
Parma2 - 1L - 19/10/2026ParmaTorinoL0319/10/2026Serie AParma
v.s
Torino0 - 3L - 10/10/2026Inter MilanParmaL3010/10/2026Serie AInter Milan
v.s
Parma3 - 0L
Fiorentina preview
Fiorentina comes into the game with 16 matches played so far in the Serie A. They have secured 1 victories, 6 draws, and 9 losses, maintaining an average of 0.56 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 31 wins, 20 draws, and 26 losses.
Fiorentina's attack has been highly effective, scoring 127 goals during this period. Of that total, 17 were netted in the Serie A, with an average of 1.06 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.65.
Fiorentina's offensive system is led by Moise Kean, the team's top scorer this season. The italian forward has found the back of the net 18 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Yacine Adli. The midfielder has contributed with 6 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 27 goals with an average of 1.69 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 99 goals in 77 matches, averaging 1.29 per match.
- 02/11/2026SassuoloFiorentinaW2402/11/2026Serie ASassuolo
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Fiorentina2 - 4W - 29/10/2026FiorentinaAtalantaD2229/10/2026Serie AFiorentina
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Atalanta2 - 2D - 25/10/2026Inter MilanFiorentinaL2125/10/2026Serie AInter Milan
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Fiorentina2 - 1L - 18/10/2026FiorentinaComoL1318/10/2026Serie AFiorentina
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Como1 - 3L - 10/10/2026GenoaFiorentinaL2110/10/2026Serie AGenoa
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Fiorentina2 - 1L
Head to head: Parma vs Fiorentina
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Parma
Home
Fiorentina
Away
Points & Results
- PPG0.930.56
- 20%Wins6%
- 27%First to Score38%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game0.671.06
- Conceded/game1.201.69
- xG1.201.28
- xGA1.491.47
Trends
- 40%Both Score69%
- 27%Clean Sheet13%
- 53%Failed to Score31%
Access all match stats for Parma vs Fiorentina
Where to watch Parma vs Fiorentina live?
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Gustavo Porto
Sporting betting analyst
72
Articles
Sports betting analyst with over ten years of experience in football analysis, match statistics and betting markets.