Paços de Ferreira vs FC Penafiel | Prediction | Portugal League 2 | 17/05

Portugal - Portugal League 2

2 - 1

17 May 2026 15:30

Paços de Ferreira and FC Penafiel face each other on Sunday 05.17.2026, at 20:30 (UK Time), in a Portugal League 2 2025/26 match. The game will take place at Paços de Ferreira's home ground, the Estádio da Capital do Móvel.

Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Paços de Ferreira and FC Penafiel, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.

APWin predictions for Paços de Ferreira vs FC Penafiel

With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:

No BTTS 1st Half

Market: No BTTS 1st Half · @ 1.19

1.19

Last updated: 13-05-2026

The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.

Our prediction is: Paços de Ferreira to win

In all honesty, there is no other result we can foresee for this match other than Paços de Ferreira to win outright, which is our betting tip.

Paços de Ferreira's strong form this season, particularly at home, is hard to overlook, as are FC Penafiel's shaky overall results and performances of late. And we expect the two sides to play true to form when they meet for their upcoming match.

Our prediction is: Under 2.5 goals in the match

Based on our analysis, Paços de Ferreira vs FC Penafiel looks like going to fall safely under 2.5 goals.

The statistics point to the match being more of a defensive struggle, with the two teams more likely to play cautiously than they are to go out and attack.

Paços de Ferreira preview

Paços de Ferreira heads into the match with the following record in the Portugal League 2: in 33 matches, Paços de Ferreira secured 8 victories, 12 draws, and 13 losses, maintaining an average of 1.09 points per game.

Taking a broader look at Paços de Ferreira's 2025/26 season, the team has achieved a total of 9 victories so far.

Paços de Ferreira has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 35 goals, of which 32 were scored in the Portugal League 2, resulting in an average of 0.97 goals per game.

Individually, the standout performer is João Victor Lopes do Nascimento Silveira, who has found the back of the net 8 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Francisco Augusto Neto Ramos has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 3 assists.

On the defensive side, Paços de Ferreira has conceded 47 goals in the Portugal League 2 (an average of 1.42 per game) and 50 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.43 per match in the 2025/26 campaign.

FC Penafiel preview

FC Penafiel comes into the game with 33 matches played so far in the Portugal League 2. They have secured 11 victories, 8 draws, and 14 losses, maintaining an average of 1.24 points per game in the competition.

Across all competitions in the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 11 wins, 10 draws, and 14 losses.

FC Penafiel's attack has been highly effective, scoring 38 goals during this period. Of that total, 36 were netted in the Portugal League 2, with an average of 1.09 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.09.

FC Penafiel's offensive system is led by Luís Manuel Gonçalves Silva, the team's top scorer this season. The portuguese midfielder has found the back of the net 8 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Álvaro Santos Correa. The midfielder has contributed with 4 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 37 goals with an average of 1.12 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 39 goals in 35 matches, averaging 1.11 per match.

Head to head: Paços de Ferreira vs FC Penafiel

Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.

Paços de Ferreira

Home

DLLWD
VS

FC Penafiel

Away

WLWLW

Points & Results

  • 1.09
    PPG
    1.24
  • 24%
    Wins
    33%
  • 27%
    First to Score
    39%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 0.97
    Scored/game
    1.09
  • 1.42
    Conceded/game
    1.12
  • 1.40
    xG
    1.29
  • 1.67
    xGA
    1.53

Trends

  • 45%
    Both Score
    42%
  • 30%
    Clean Sheet
    39%
  • 48%
    Failed to Score
    33%

Access all match stats for Paços de Ferreira vs FC Penafiel

Where to watch Paços de Ferreira vs FC Penafiel live?

Check out the live stream of Paços de Ferreira vs FC Penafiel below and follow the match in real time.

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Published: 17 May 2026
Updated: 25 Oct 2026