Farense vs FC Penafiel

Portugal - Portugal League 2

v.s

24 Oct 2026 13:00

Farense are creating the better shooting profile with average 6.86 overall shots and 1.89 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.86 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.

Result Probability

47%
Farense to win
29%
Draw
24%
FC Penafiel to win

The result market leans toward Farense at 52%. The points profile supports that read: Farense average 2.5 PPG and FC Penafiel average 2.33 PPG in the comparable split.

Farense
4
wins
6
draws
FC Penafiel
1
wins
55%
BTTS
6/11
73%
OVER 0.5
8/11
73%
OVER 1.5
8/11
45%
OVER 2.5
5/11

Key Statistics

  • Avg. Goals

    Well above avg

    3.17

    League 2.33

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Well above avg

    88%

    League 44%

  • Both Teams Score

    Well above avg

    71%

    League 43%

  • Cards

    Below average

    4.08

    League 5.22

  • Corners

    Well above avg

    11.58

    League 8.92

Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Farense average 12.5 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 8.92, which points to sustained attacking territory.

Over / Under

  • 0.5

    1+ gol

    OVER
    92%
    UNDER
    8%
  • 1.5

    2+ gol

    OVER
    85%
    UNDER
    15%
  • 2.5

    3+ gol

    OVER
    71%
    UNDER
    29%
  • 3.5

    4+ gol

    OVER
    28%
    UNDER
    72%

The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 92% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.

Team Performance

Farense

Home

WWDLD
VS

FC Penafiel

Away

LWWWW

Points & Results

  • 2.00
    PPG
    1.86
  • 57%
    Wins
    57%
  • 57%
    First to Score
    71%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.86
    Scored/game
    2.00
  • 0.86
    Conceded/game
    1.00
  • 1.89
    xG
    1.53
  • 1.34
    xGA
    1.30

Trends

  • 71%
    Both Score
    57%
  • 29%
    Clean Sheet
    29%

Farense vs FC Penafiel: Statistics and Analysis - Portugal League 2 2026/2027

On this page you can check all the key statistics for Farense vs FC Penafiel - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.

This Portugal League 2 match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 18:00.

The venue is Estádio de São Luís.

The fixture is part of game week 8th of the Portugal League 2 season. Farense currently sits in position 3rd of the Portugal League 2 table. FC Penafiel occupies position 4th.

Stat Probabilities for Farense vs FC Penafiel

Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:

Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Farense vs FC Penafiel at 71%.

Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Farense and FC Penafiel point to a 88% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.

Farense over 1.5 goals scored: the numbers give Farense a 75% chance of scoring 2 or more goals.

Farense over 4.5 corners: Farense has taken 5 or more corners in 71% of their matches in the competition.

FC Penafiel over 1.5 goals scored: the numbers give FC Penafiel a 100% chance of scoring 2 or more goals.

For our tips built on these numbers, see the Farense vs FC Penafiel prediction page.

Who is the favorite in Farense vs FC Penafiel?

According to the latest match odds, Farense is the favorite at 2.11 an implied probability of about 47.39%. The full 1X2 market has Farense at 2.11, the draw at 3.59, and FC Penafiel at 4.25.

Overall performance in the Portugal League 2

Farense's record so far reads 4W-2D-1L from 7 played a win rate of 57% at 2 points per game.

FC Penafiel stands at 4W-1D-2L from 7 played, winning 57% of their matches at 1.86 points per game.

In their last five, Farense has gone 2W-2D-1L, averaging 1.6 points per game.

FC Penafiel's last five read 4W-0D-1L, at 2.4 points per game.

At home, Farense has a 75% win rate (3W-1D-0L from 4 played).

On the road, FC Penafiel has won 67% of their matches (2W-1D-0L from 3 played).

Goal statistics for Farense vs FC Penafiel

In attack, Farense averages 1.86 goals scored per game in the Portugal League 2 (13 in total), while conceding 0.86 per game (6 in total).

FC Penafiel averages 2 goals scored per game (14 in total) and 1 conceded per game (7 in total).

Farense's top scorer this season is Cláudio Falcão Santos, with 5 goals.

For FC Penafiel, Luís Manuel Gonçalves Silva leads the scoring charts with 8 goals this season.

Farense's main creator is Derick Poloni, with 5 assists.

Álvaro Santos Correa tops the FC Penafiel assist chart with 4.

More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.

Head-to-head: Farense vs FC Penafiel

Farense and FC Penafiel have met 11 times in recent years. The record:

  • Farense wins: 4

  • Draws: 6

  • FC Penafiel wins: 1

Frequently asked questions about Farense vs FC Penafiel

When is Farense vs FC Penafiel?

The match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 18:00.

What is the head-to-head record between Farense and FC Penafiel?

Across their last 11 meetings the record is 4-6-1 (Farense wins – draws – FC Penafiel wins).

What was the last match between Farense and FC Penafiel?

The two sides last met on 07/03/2026, and the result was FC Penafiel 1 vs 1 Farense. Full details: Farense vs FC Penafiel, 07/03/2026.

Who is the favorite in Farense vs FC Penafiel?

Farense is the favorite at odds of 2.11, an implied probability of about 47.39%. Farense is priced at 2.11, the draw at 3.59 and FC Penafiel at 4.25.

Where can I find a Farense vs FC Penafiel prediction?

You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Farense vs FC Penafiel prediction page.

Where can I find Farense vs FC Penafiel stats?

All key statistics for Farense vs FC Penafiel are on this page, updated in real time.

Where can I watch Farense vs FC Penafiel?

Live streaming information is available on our Farense vs FC Penafiel stream page.