Tuesday's Group I encounter between Norway and Senegal could prove decisive in the race for qualification at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Norway enters the match full of confidence after a commanding 4-1 win over Iraq, a result that leaves Ståle Solbakken's men on the brink of securing a knockout-stage berth.

Senegal, however, faces a must-win situation following a disappointing 3-1 loss to France on Matchday 1. With their World Cup campaign hanging in the balance, the Lions of Teranga need a positive result at MetLife Stadium to stay in contention for the Round of 32.

Read through our Norway vs Senegal prediction before committing to a bet.

Norway vs Senegal prediction for the 2026 World Cup

Our pre-match breakdown shows just how tricky it can be to dig out value in a World Cup tie of this calibre. You will find our top Norway vs Senegal prediction below:

APWin Prediction

BTTS - Yes

Who are the favourites?

Based on the leading UK-licensed bookmakers, Norway is tipped to come out on top, with 41% of the odds leaning towards their win.

Looking for more? Browse all the World Cup odds and dig into this and other ties from the planet's biggest football tournament.

Norway vs Senegal: head-to-head

Norway and Senegal share no recent head-to-head record, so this is effectively their first meeting in years.

Norway at the 2026 World Cup

Norway arrive having already played 1 match(es) at the 2026 World Cup. Here is the record for Norway National Team:

At the World Cup:

  • 1 win(s), 0 draw(s) and 0 loss(es)

  • 3 point(s) per game on average

  • 4 goals scored at the World Cup (4 per game)

  • 1 goals conceded at the World Cup (1 per game)

Norway National Team in 2026

  • 10 win(s), 2 draw(s) and 1 loss(es) in all competitions

  • Leading scorer: Erling Haaland with 16 goal(s)

  • Most assists: Martin Ødegaard with 7

Senegal at the 2026 World Cup

Senegal go into this tie with 1 match(es) already behind them at the 2026 World Cup.

Here is what Seleção do Senegal have managed so far:

At the World Cup

  • 0 win(s), 0 draw(s) and 1 loss(es)

  • 0 point(s) per game on average

  • 1 goals scored at the World Cup (1 per game)

  • 3 goals conceded at the World Cup (3 per game)

Seleção do Senegal in 2026

  • 9 win(s), 4 draw(s) and 2 loss(es) in all competitions

  • Leading scorer: Pape Matar Sarr with 5 goal(s)

  • Most assists: Habib Diallo with 3

Norway vs Senegal statistics at the 2026 FIFA World Cup

Before you stake anything, look over the side-by-side comparison that sheds light on each nation's current form for this World Cup tie:

Home Team

Norway Team Logo

Norway

International - World Cup

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall W D W D L

1.6

Home W D W D W

2.2

Away W D L W W

2

Away Team

Senegal Team Logo

Senegal

International - World Cup

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall L D L W W

1.4

Home W W W W D

2.6

Away L D L W W

1.4

Norway vs Senegal probable lineups

See our likely starting eleven below for our Norway vs Senegal prediction at the 2026 World Cup.

Norway: Ørjan Nyland, Julian Ryerson, Kristoffer Ajer, Torbjørn Heggem, David Møller Wolfe, Martin Ødegaard, Sander Berge, Fredrik Aursnes, Alexander Sørloth, Erling Haaland, Antonio Nusa

Senegal: Édouard Mendy, Krépin Diatta, Kalidou Koulibaly, Moussa Niakhaté, El Hadji Malick Diouf, Pape Gueye, Idrissa Gana Gueye, Lamine Camara, Ismaïla Sarr, Nicolas Jackson, Sadio Mané

The confirmed lineups will be available close to the kickoff time.

Norway lineup

  • 1

    Ørjan Nyland

  • 3

    Kristoffer Ajer

  • 5

    David Møller Wolfe

  • 7

    Alexander Sørloth

    Forward

  • 8

    Sander Berge

  • 9

    Erling Haaland

  • 10

    Martin Ødegaard

  • 14

    Fredrik Aursnes

  • 17

    Torbjørn Heggem

  • 20

    Antonio Nusa

  • 26

    Julian Ryerson

Senegal lineup

  • 3

    Kalidou Koulibaly

  • 5

    Idrissa Gueye

  • 8

    Lamine Camara

  • 10

    Sadio Mané

  • 11

    Nicolas Jackson

  • 15

    Krepin Diatta

    Midfielder

  • 16

    Edouard Mendy

  • 18

    Ismaïla Sarr

    Forward

  • 19

    Moussa Niakhate

  • 25

    El Diouf

  • 26

    Pape Gueye

How to watch Norway vs Senegal live in the UK

Find out below where you can catch Norway vs Senegal live during the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

Just remember, kick-off is at 01:00 UK time.

For the full schedule, check our our World Cup live streaming page.

Watch this match

Norway logo
X
Senegal logo
Where to Watch

More betting tips for this match

Alongside the main tip given at the top of this article, here are some other strong bets for Norway vs Senegal:

👉 Our prediction is: Norway win or draw

Our top betting tip is Norway to win or draw on the Double Chance market. What that means is Norway, the home team, must win or draw for the bet to win, and we feel strongly that the match will end in one of those two outcomes.

We simply don't see Norway losing to Senegal. More than the gulf in quality between the two sides which is clear to see in the statistics, we also have a lot of belief in Norway's ability to make home advantage count in this match.

👉 Our prediction is: Both teams to score

The best betting option for Norway vs Senegal is the Both Teams to Score market - BTTS. After all, both teams need to seek victory and shouldn't 'park the bus' waiting for the opponent.

But that's not the only reason we believe in a game with goals for both teams. We also see value odds in the BTTS market when we have two offensive teams, as is the case with Norway and Senegal in this game.

To guarantee a win on Both Teams to Score, as the name suggests, we need both Norway and Senegal to score goals.

Further 2026 World Cup predictions

Browse all of our 2026 FIFA World Cup predictions and keep up with the sharpest analysis from start to finish of the tournament.

Match details: Norway vs Senegal

🆚 Fixture Norway vs Senegal

🏆 Tournament 2026 FIFA World Cup

📅 Date Tuesday, 23/06/2026

🕐 Kick-off 01:00 UK time

🏟️ Venue MetLife Stadium

Bet responsibly

Betting should stay a bit of fun. Set yourself limits, keep control, and never wager more than you can comfortably afford to lose.

If betting stops being enjoyable or starts to feel like a problem, reach out to GambleAware or GamCare for support.

Published on 20 June 2026, at 20:04 Last updated on 13 September 2026, at 20:05
Author: Amauri Barbosa

Sports betting analyst with over 15 years of experience. At APWin, he writes football predictions, reviews bookmakers and explains the reasoning behind every bet.