Noroeste vs Comercial-SP | Prediction | Copa Paulista | 22/08
Brazil - Copa Paulista
The kick off for the match between Noroeste and Comercial-SP will take place at 19:00 (UK time) - Saturday, 08/22 - at the Estádio Alfredo de Castilho (Alfredão). This clash of the 2026 Copa Paulista looks very promising!
Before placing your bets on this match, check out the full analysis, including predictions for Esporte Clube Noroeste vs Comercial Futebol Clube (Ribeirão Preto). We also highlight the most interesting odds and markets with a high chance of winning. Providing today’s best free tip to help you make informed and profitable betting decisions.
APWin predictions for Noroeste vs Comercial-SP
With odds already released by major bookmakers, our experts have crunched the numbers and dissected the key match data. Find our value-packed prediction for this encounter below:
Under 2.5 Goals
Market: Under 2.5 Goals · @ 1.71
Confidence
62%
Last updated: 21-08-2026
After a thorough assessment of the primary betting markets, APWin analysts have identified bets with strong value potential.
Our prediction is: Both teams to score
The best betting option for Noroeste vs Comercial-SP is the Both Teams to Score market - BTTS. After all, both teams need to seek victory and shouldn't 'park the bus' waiting for the opponent.
But that's not the only reason we believe in a game with goals for both teams. We also see value odds in the BTTS market when we have two offensive teams, as is the case with Noroeste and Comercial-SP in this game.
To guarantee a win on Both Teams to Score, as the name suggests, we need both Noroeste and Comercial-SP to score goals.
Our prediction is: Noroeste to win
Noroeste to win is our top betting tip for this upcoming match against Comercial-SP. Noroeste's odds in the online betting sites have them heavily favoured at home, where they have been quite strong all season.
And our expert analysts fancy their chances as well given their current form and overall statistics.
Noroeste Preview
Noroeste has played 5 matches in the Copa Paulista so far, with 1 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses. This results in an average of 1.2 points per match.
In the 2026 season, the team has recorded 11 wins, 19 draws, and 16 losses. Noroeste's attack has scored 48 goals, 6 of them in the league, which gives an average of 1.2 goals per league match and 1.04 goals per match across the entire season.
Carlos Henrique de Moura Brito is the team’s top scorer with 5 goals, while Diego Mathias de Almeida leads the team in assists with 3. Defensively, Norusca has conceded 7 goals in the league (an average of 1.4) and 55 goals throughout the entire season (an average of 1.2 over 46 matches).
- 03/10/2026São José-SPNoroesteL1003/10/2026Copa PaulistaSão José-SP
v.s
Noroeste1 - 0L - 27/09/2026NoroesteSão José-SPD1127/09/2026Copa PaulistaNoroeste
v.s
São José-SP1 - 1D - 19/09/2026NoroestePrimaveraD0019/09/2026Copa PaulistaNoroeste
v.s
Primavera0 - 0D - 12/09/2026PrimaveraNoroesteD2212/09/2026Copa PaulistaPrimavera
v.s
Noroeste2 - 2D - 22/08/2026NoroesteComercial-SPW4322/08/2026Copa PaulistaNoroeste
v.s
Comercial-SP4 - 3W
Comercial-SP preview
In 5 Copa Paulista matches, Comercial-SP has recorded 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, with an average of 1.4 points per game.
In the 2026 season, the team has 8 wins in 20 matches. The team has scored 22 goals, 5 of them in the Copa Paulista (an average of 1 goals per match), with being the team's top scorer with 0 goals and providing 0 assists.
Defensively, Lion of the North has conceded 3 goals in the league and 19 in the 2026 season overall, resulting in an average of 0.95 goals conceded per match.
- 19/09/2026São José-SPComercial-SPL3019/09/2026Copa PaulistaSão José-SP
v.s
Comercial-SP3 - 0L - 13/09/2026Comercial-SPSão José-SPD0013/09/2026Copa PaulistaComercial-SP
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São José-SP0 - 0D - 05/09/2026São BernardoComercial-SPL2005/09/2026Copa PaulistaSão Bernardo
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Comercial-SP2 - 0L - 31/08/2026Comercial-SPSão BernardoW2031/08/2026Copa PaulistaComercial-SP
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São Bernardo2 - 0W - 22/08/2026NoroesteComercial-SPL4322/08/2026Copa PaulistaNoroeste
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Comercial-SP4 - 3L
Head to head: Noroeste vs Comercial-SP
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Noroeste
Home
Comercial-SP
Away
Points & Results
- PPG1.201.40
- 20%Wins40%
- 40%First to Score40%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game1.201
- Conceded/game1.400.60
- xG1.471.31
- xGA1.321.57
Trends
- 80%Both Score20%
- 0%Clean Sheet40%
- 20%Failed to Score40%
Access all match stats for Noroeste vs Comercial-SP
Where to watch Norusca vs Lion of the North live?
Check out the live stream of Noroeste vs Comercial-SP below and follow the match in real time.
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Noroeste vs Comercial-SP

Gustavo Porto
Sporting betting analyst
69
Articles
Sports betting analyst with over ten years of experience in football analysis, match statistics and betting markets.