The kick off for the match between Noroeste and Comercial-SP will take place at 19:00 (UK time) - Saturday, 08/22 - at the Estádio Alfredo de Castilho (Alfredão). This clash of the 2026 Copa Paulista looks very promising!
Before placing your bets on this match, check out the full analysis, including predictions for Esporte Clube Noroeste vs Comercial Futebol Clube (Ribeirão Preto). We also highlight the most interesting odds and markets with a high chance of winning. Providing today’s best free tip to help you make informed and profitable betting decisions.
APWin predictions for Noroeste vs Comercial-SP
With odds already released by major bookmakers, our experts have crunched the numbers and dissected the key match data. Find our value-packed prediction for this encounter below:
Under 2.5 Goals
After a thorough assessment of the primary betting markets, APWin analysts have identified bets with strong value potential.
Noroeste Preview
Noroeste has played 5 matches in the Copa Paulista so far, with 1 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses. This results in an average of 1.2 points per match.
In the 2026 season, the team has recorded 11 wins, 19 draws, and 16 losses. Noroeste's attack has scored 48 goals, 6 of them in the league, which gives an average of 1.2 goals per league match and 1.04 goals per match across the entire season.
Carlos Henrique de Moura Brito is the team’s top scorer with 5 goals, while Diego Mathias de Almeida leads the team in assists with 3. Defensively, Norusca has conceded 7 goals in the league (an average of 1.4) and 55 goals throughout the entire season (an average of 1.2 over 46 matches).
Comercial-SP preview
In 5 Copa Paulista matches, Comercial-SP has recorded 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, with an average of 1.4 points per game.
In the 2026 season, the team has 8 wins in 20 matches. The team has scored 22 goals, 5 of them in the Copa Paulista (an average of 1 goals per match), with being the team's top scorer with 0 goals and providing 0 assists.
Defensively, Lion of the North has conceded 3 goals in the league and 19 in the 2026 season overall, resulting in an average of 0.95 goals conceded per match.
Head to head: Noroeste vs Comercial-SP
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Noroeste
Brazil - Copa Paulista
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D W D D L |
1.2 |
| Home | W D L D W |
1.6 |
| Away | D D L D D |
0.8 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| Goals | 2.6 | 3.5 | 2 |
| Scored | 1.2 | 2 | 0.67 |
| Conceded | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.33 |
| Both Teams to Score | 80% | 100% | 67% |
| Without Conceding | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| 1st to Score | 40% | 50% | 33% |
|
xG
|
1.47 | 1.6 | 1.38 |
|
xGA
|
1.32 | 1.36 | 1.3 |
Comercial-SP
Brazil - Copa Paulista
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L D L W W |
1.4 |
| Home | L L W W W |
1.8 |
| Away | D W L W D |
1.6 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Goals | 1.6 | 1.33 | 2 |
| Scored | 1 | 0.67 | 1.5 |
| Conceded | 0.6 | 0.67 | 0.5 |
| Both Teams to Score | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 40% | 67% | 0% |
| 1st to Score | 40% | 33% | 50% |
|
xG
|
1.31 | 1.2 | 1.47 |
|
xGA
|
1.57 | 1.29 | 2.01 |
Access all match stats for Noroeste vs Comercial-SP
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Sports betting analyst with over ten years of experience in football analysis, match statistics and betting markets.