Newcastle United vs Aston Villa: prediction, where to watch, kick-off time and line-ups - 17/10

England - Premier League

v.s

17 Oct 2026 12:30

BTTS - Yes

Market: BTTS - Yes · @ 1.51

1.51

Confidence

65%

Last updated: 13-10-2026

Newcastle United and Aston Villa have a track record that never disappoints football fans.

The two teams meet this 17/10 (Saturday), at St. James' Park, at 17:30, and the Premier League 2026/27 gets another chapter of this rivalry.

In their last 5 across all competitions, Newcastle United have won 2 time(s) and score 1.4 goals per match. Meanwhile, Aston Villa have won 3 time(s). Newcastle United have a 37.04% chance of winning according to the bookmakers.

See the probable line-ups, match details, where to watch and the prediction for Newcastle United vs Aston Villa.

Overview Newcastle United vs Aston Villa

Newcastle United are favourites, with odds of 2.7 and a 37.04% chance of winning. The direct head-to-head also leans towards Newcastle United Football Club, with 14 win(s) against 9 for Aston Villa. The odds for a Aston Villa F.C. win are 3.29 and a draw is 4.334.

In the Premier League, Newcastle United have 2 win(s), 2 draw(s) and 2 defeat(s), with 10 goal(s) scored and 13 conceded, having Joseph Willock as top scorer with 2 goal(s). Meanwhile, Aston Villa have 1 win(s), 2 draw(s) and 3 defeat(s), with 6 goal(s) scored and 11 conceded, and Nicolas Jackson as top scorer with 2 goal(s).

Head-to-head between Newcastle United and Aston Villa

In 34 clashes, Newcastle United have the advantage over Aston Villa: 14 win(s) against 9 and 11 draw(s). The most recent was on 14/02/2026, in the FA Cup. Newcastle United won on that occasion.

The dominance in the head-to-head record is a factor that goes into the predictions for Newcastle United vs Aston Villa, but it does not define the result alone. The context of the tournament and each team's form weigh just as much as the record.

Check out all the predictions for the Premier League and see all the analysis before you bet.

Newcastle United: current form

Newcastle United have played 6 match(es) in the Premier League.

See the team's performance in the Prem 2026/27:

  • 2 win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 defeat(s)
  • Performance: 1.33 point(s) per match
  • 10 goals scored (1.67 per match)
  • Top scorer: Joseph Willock (2 goal(s))

Aston Villa: current form

On the other side, Aston Villa also arrive in attacking rhythm: an average of 3 goals per match in their last 5 across all competitions.

Follow their performance in the Premier League:

  • 1 win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 defeat(s)
  • Performance: 0.83 point(s) per match
  • 6 goals scored (1 per match)
  • Top scorer: Nicolas Jackson (2 goal(s))

Newcastle United vs Aston Villa key players

In the Premier League, Joseph Willock carries Newcastle United Football Club's attack with 2 goal(s).

The playmaker is Harvey Barnes, leading in assists with 2. In the whole season, Anthony Gordon has 10 goal(s).

On the other side, Nicolas Jackson is the name that frightens the most for AVFC with 2 goal(s) in the Premier League.

In terms of playmaking, John McGinn leads in assists with 2. In the whole season, Ollie Watkins has accumulated 16 goal(s).

Newcastle United vs Aston Villa statistics in the Premier League

Newcastle United have an average of 10 corners and 2.17 cards per match. Meanwhile, Aston Villa have 7.16 corners and 2.17 cards. See the numbers for Newcastle United vs Aston Villa in the table below.

Newcastle United

Home

LWLWD
VS

Aston Villa

Away

WDWWL

Points & Results

  • 1.33
    PPG
    0.83
  • 33%
    Wins
    17%
  • 50%
    First to Score
    17%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.67
    Scored/game
    1
  • 2.17
    Conceded/game
    1.83
  • 1.31
    xG
    1.21
  • 1.88
    xGA
    1.74

Trends

  • 83%
    Both Score
    50%
  • 17%
    Clean Sheet
    17%
  • 0%
    Failed to Score
    50%

Correct score prediction for Newcastle United vs Aston Villa

The favoritism in the odds points to Newcastle United. With the available data, we project a narrow win. Correct result: Newcastle United 1-0 Aston Villa. Predicting the exact score is difficult. The odds reflect this. Play with caution.

Where to watch Newcastle United vs Aston Villa

Check out where to watch the live match between Aston Villa and Newcastle United:

Broadcast: no broadcast scheduled

Predicted line-ups for Newcastle United and Aston Villa

The line-ups for Newcastle United vs Aston Villa in the Prem are officially confirmed between 45 minutes and 1 hour before the match, via the referee's official team sheet and the clubs' social media channels.

Follow below who is expected to take to the pitch.

Newcastle United Football Club line-up

The starting eleven is confirmed minutes before kick-off.

Aston Villa F.C. line-up

The Aston Villa starting eleven is confirmed close to the initial whistle.

Match details for Newcastle United vs Aston Villa

Match: Newcastle United vs Aston Villa

Tournament: Prem 2026/27

Date: 17/10/2026

Time: 17:30 (Brasília time)

Venue: St. James' Park

Broadcast: none scheduled

Check out all today's football predictions and follow the best analysis before betting.

Sports betting is entertainment. Set your limits, play responsibly and never bet more than you can afford to lose. If the game is no longer fun, seek out Gamblers Anonymous right away.

Likely Scores

#ScoreProbability%
11 - 1
12.96%
22 - 1
8.47%
31 - 2
8.25%
41 - 0
7.24%
50 - 0
7.03%
60 - 1
7.02%
72 - 0
6.05%
82 - 2
5.93%
90 - 2
5.74%
103 - 1
4.06%
111 - 3
3.85%
123 - 0
2.90%
Published: 16 Oct 2026
Updated: 16 Oct 2026
Abhishek Nandwani

Abhishek Nandwani

English Content Manager

76

Articles

Sports journalist with over 15 years of experience and 4 years working in the betting industry. I focus on football analysis, betting content, and turning match data into clear insights for readers.