The Netherlands and Japan are set to square off in a key Group F showdown at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City on Sunday, with both teams looking to take a significant step toward the knockout stage.

Expected to be one of the most competitive matches in the group, this encounter could ultimately decide the group winner. The Dutch will rely on their attacking quality and individual brilliance, while Japan aim to continue their impressive run through disciplined defending, quick transitions, and a well-structured team performance.

Have a read of our Netherlands vs Japan prediction before you decide on your bet.

Netherlands vs Japan prediction for the 2026 World Cup

Both sides are kicking off their 2026 World Cup campaign in this tie. We weighed up the history, squad depth and current form of each nation before settling on our prediction.

Here is the bet we recommend:

APWin Prediction

BTTS - No

Who are the favourites?

Based on the leading UK-licensed bookmakers, the Netherlands is tipped to come out on top, with 47% of the odds leaning towards their win.

Looking for more? Browse all the World Cup odds and dig into this and other ties from the planet's biggest football tournament.

Netherlands vs Japan head-to-head record

These two nations have met only a handful of times of late — 1 match(es) in all, which only adds to the unpredictability of this 2026 World Cup tie.

  • Netherlands: 1 win(s)

  • Japan: 0 win(s)

  • Draws: 0

Netherlands: opening the 2026 World Cup

Netherlands make their FIFA World Cup bow having already logged 12 matches in 2026 in the build-up. Here is how they have fared:

  • 8 win(s), 3 draw(s) and 1 loss(es)

  • 32 goals scored (2.67 per game)

  • 8 goals conceded (0.67 per game)

Players to watch for the Netherlands National Team

  • Leading scorer: Memphis Depay with 8 goals

  • Most assists: Memphis Depay with 4

Japan: opening the 2026 World Cup

Japan step out at the FIFA World Cup for the first time this edition after 19 match(es) in 2026.

Here is the Japan National Team record:

This year so far

  • 16 win(s), 2 draw(s) and 1 loss(es)

  • 57 goals scored (3 per game)

  • 3 goals conceded (0.16 per game)

Players to watch for Japan National Team

  • Leading scorer: Ayase Ueda with 8 goal(s)

  • Most assists: Junya Ito with 10

Netherlands vs Japan statistics at the 2026 FIFA World Cup

Before you stake anything, look over the side-by-side comparison that sheds light on each nation's current form for this World Cup tie:

Home Team

Netherlands Team Logo

Netherlands

International - World Cup

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall W L D W W

2

Home W L D W W

2

Away D W W W D

2.2

Away Team

Japan Team Logo

Japan

International - World Cup

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall W W W W W

3

Home W W W W D

2.6

Away W W L D L

1.4

Netherlands vs Japan probable lineups

See the likely starting elevens below for our Netherlands vs Japan prediction at the 2026 World Cup.

Netherlands: Bart Verbruggen, Denzel Dumfries, Jan Paul van Hecke, Virgil van Dijk, Micky van de Ven, Ryan Gravenberch, Frenkie de Jong, Tijjani Reijnders, Donyell Malen, Memphis Depay, Cody Gakpo.

Japan: Zion Suzuki, Yukinari Sugawara, Ko Itakura, Koki Machida, Keingo Tsunoda, Wataru Endo, Hidemasa Morita, Ritsu Doan, Takefusa Kubo, Takumi Minamino, Ayase Ueda.

How to watch Netherlands vs Japan live in the UK

Find out below where you can catch Netherlands vs Japan live during the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

Just remember, kick-off is at 21:00 UK time.

For the full schedule, check our our World Cup live streaming page.

Watch this match

Netherlands logo
X
Japan logo
Where to Watch

More betting tips for this match

Alongside the main tip given at the top of this article, here are some other strong bets for Netherlands vs Japan:

👉 Our prediction is: Both teams don't score

Based on our analysis, we are confident that the best bet is to go 'no' on the Both Teams to Score market.

The matchup figures to be a tight, defensive one, with both teams desperate not to get caught out. That's why we see only one or none of the teams finding the back of the net in this encounter, which are the conditions needed to win the bet.

👉 Our prediction is: Japan to win

Japan is the in their match against Netherlands. Coming away from a formidable ground like Johan Cruyff Arena with all three points is never easy, but we are still tipping Japan to win in this match.

Japan has been in fantastic form of late, with their statistics and their results showing serious upward momentum. That momentum will be put to the test away at Netherlands, but our analysts are confident they can score the big away win.

Further 2026 World Cup predictions

Browse all of our 2026 FIFA World Cup predictions and keep up with the sharpest analysis from start to finish of the tournament.

Match details: Netherlands vs Japan

🆚 Fixture Netherlands vs Japan

🏆 Tournament 2026 FIFA World Cup

📅 Date Sunday, 14/06/2026

🕐 Kick-off 21:00 UK time

🏟️ Venue Arrowhead Stadium

Bet responsibly

Betting should stay a bit of fun. Set yourself limits, keep control, and never wager more than you can comfortably afford to lose.

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Published on 10 June 2026, at 23:36 Last updated on 10 June 2026, at 23:39
Author: Gustavo Porto

Sports betting analyst with over ten years of experience in football analysis, match statistics and betting markets.