Necaxa and Toluca face each other on Sunday 02.22.2026, at 01:00 (UK Time), in a Liga MX 2025/26 match. The game will take place at Necaxa's home ground, the Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Los Rayos and Diablos Rojos, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Los Rayos vs Diablos Rojos
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
Double Chance: Draw or Toluca
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Necaxa preview
Necaxa heads into the match with the following record in the Liga MX: in 23 matches, Los Rayos secured 7 victories, 5 draws, and 11 losses, maintaining an average of 1.13 points per game.
Taking a broader look at Los Electricistas's 2025/26 season, the team has achieved a total of 7 victories so far.
Necaxa has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 33 goals, of which 33 were scored in the Liga MX, resulting in an average of 1.43 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Diber Cambindo, who has found the back of the net 9 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. AgustĂn Palavecino has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 4 assists.
On the defensive side, Necaxa has conceded 40 goals in the Liga MX (an average of 1.74 per game) and 43 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.79 per match in the 2025/26 campaign.
Toluca preview
Toluca comes into the game with 29 matches played so far in the Liga MX. They have secured 17 victories, 8 draws, and 4 losses, maintaining an average of 2.03 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 18 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses.
Diablos Rojos's attack has been highly effective, scoring 59 goals during this period. Of that total, 56 were netted in the Liga MX, with an average of 1.93 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.97.
Los Auriazules's offensive system is led by José Paulo Bezerra Maciel Júnior, the team's top scorer this season. The portuguese forward has found the back of the net 19 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Ernesto Alexis Vega Rojas. The forward has contributed with 10 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 26 goals with an average of 0.9 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 26 goals in 30 matches, averaging 0.87 per match.
Head to head: Necaxa vs Toluca
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Necaxa
Mexico - Liga MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W W L L L |
1.2 |
| Home | W L L W D |
1.4 |
| Away | W L W D W |
2 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 36% | 25% |
| Goals | 3.17 | 2.36 | 3.92 |
| Scored | 1.43 | 1.36 | 1.5 |
| Conceded | 1.74 | 1 | 2.42 |
| Both Teams to Score | 65% | 55% | 75% |
| Without Conceding | 4% | 9% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 36% | 25% |
| 1st to Score | 30% | 36% | 25% |
|
xG
|
1.58 | 1.67 | 1.5 |
|
xGA
|
1.43 | 1.25 | 1.58 |
Toluca
Mexico - Liga MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W D D D W |
1.8 |
| Home | W D W W W |
2.6 |
| Away | D D W L L |
1 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 59% | 67% | 50% |
| Goals | 2.83 | 3.6 | 2 |
| Scored | 1.93 | 2.47 | 1.36 |
| Conceded | 0.9 | 1.13 | 0.64 |
| Both Teams to Score | 52% | 73% | 29% |
| Without Conceding | 38% | 27% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 28% | 7% | 50% |
| 1st to Score | 30% | 60% | 36% |
|
xG
|
1.8 | 2.01 | 1.53 |
|
xGA
|
1.06 | 1.1 | 1.02 |
Access all match stats for Necaxa vs Toluca
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