Over 2.5 Goals
Market: Over 2.5 Goals · @ 1.65
Confidence
56%
Secondary prediction
Home Win
Last updated: 10-11-2026
Morelia and Leones Negros face each other on Wednesday 11.11.2026, at 00:00 (UK Time), in a Liga de Expansão MX 2026/27 match. The game will take place at Morelia's home ground, the .
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Morelia and Leones Negros, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
Morelia preview
Morelia heads into the match with the following record in the Liga de Expansão MX: in 17 matches, Morelia secured 10 victories, 2 draws, and 5 losses, maintaining an average of 1.88 points per game.
Taking a broader look at Morelia's 2026/27 season, the team has achieved a total of 24 victories so far.
Morelia has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 74 goals, of which 30 were scored in the Liga de Expansão MX, resulting in an average of 1.76 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Ruben Del Campo, who has found the back of the net 12 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Diego de Jesús Aguilar Millán has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 7 assists.
On the defensive side, Morelia has conceded 21 goals in the Liga de Expansão MX (an average of 1.24 per game) and 60 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.18 per match in the 2026/27 campaign.
- 08/11/2026MoreliaVenadosW2108/11/2026Ascenso MXMorelia
2 - 1
VenadosW - 04/11/2026VenadosMoreliaW1204/11/2026Ascenso MXVenados
1 - 2
MoreliaW - 01/11/2026DurangoMoreliaL3101/11/2026Ascenso MXDurango
3 - 1
MoreliaL - 25/10/2026TapatíoMoreliaW1225/10/2026Ascenso MXTapatío
1 - 2
MoreliaW - 18/10/2026MoreliaJaiba BravaL1218/10/2026Ascenso MXMorelia
1 - 2
Jaiba BravaL
Leones Negros preview
Leones Negros comes into the game with 17 matches played so far in the Liga de Expansão MX. They have secured 10 victories, 3 draws, and 4 losses, maintaining an average of 1.94 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2026/27 season, the team has recorded 19 wins, 11 draws, and 17 losses.
Leones Negros's attack has been highly effective, scoring 72 goals during this period. Of that total, 36 were netted in the Liga de Expansão MX, with an average of 2.12 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.53.
Leones Negros's offensive system is led by Alejandro de Jesús Bravo Santiago, the team's top scorer this season. The mexican midfielder has found the back of the net 9 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Óscar Gil Vázquez. The forward has contributed with 5 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 22 goals with an average of 1.29 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 68 goals in 47 matches, averaging 1.45 per match.
- 08/11/2026Leones NegrosDurangoW2108/11/2026Ascenso MXLeones Negros
2 - 1
DurangoW - 06/11/2026DurangoLeones NegrosL1006/11/2026Ascenso MXDurango
1 - 0
Leones NegrosL - 01/11/2026Leones NegrosTepatitlánW3101/11/2026Ascenso MXLeones Negros
3 - 1
TepatitlánW - 25/10/2026Mineros de ZacatecasLeones NegrosW0225/10/2026Ascenso MXMineros de Zacatecas
0 - 2
Leones NegrosW - 18/10/2026Leones NegrosAtlético ZacatepecL1218/10/2026Ascenso MXLeones Negros
1 - 2
Atlético ZacatepecL
Head to head: Morelia vs Leones Negros
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Morelia
Home
Leones Negros
Away
Points & Results
- 17Played17
- 10Wins10
- 2Draws3
- 5Losses4
- 1.88PPG1.94
- 59%Wins59%
- 53%First to Score76%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- 30Goals Scored36
- 1.76Scored/game2.12
- 21Goals Conceded22
- 1.24Conceded/game1.29
- 1.89xG1.73
- 1.25xGA1.61
Corners
- 184Total Corners152
- 121Corners For93
- 63Corners Against59
- 7.56Corners For/game5.47
- 3.94Corners Against/game3.47
Trends
- 76%Both Score71%
- 18%Clean Sheet18%
- 6%Failed to Score12%
Access all match stats for Morelia vs Leones Negros
Where to watch Morelia vs Leones Negros live?
Check out the live stream of Morelia vs Leones Negros below and follow the match in real time.
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Morelia vs Leones Negros
Likely Scores
| # | Score | Probability | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 - 1 | 11.78% | |
| 2 | 2 - 1 | 8.61% | |
| 3 | 1 - 2 | 8.13% | |
| 4 | 2 - 2 | 6.54% | |
| 5 | 1 - 0 | 5.98% | |
| 6 | 2 - 0 | 5.67% | |
| 7 | 0 - 1 | 5.59% | |
| 8 | 0 - 0 | 5.45% | |
| 9 | 0 - 2 | 5.06% | |
| 10 | 3 - 1 | 4.62% | |
| 11 | 1 - 3 | 4.12% | |
| 12 | 3 - 2 | 3.51% |