Montpellier and Pau face each other on Friday 09.11.2026, at 19:00 (UK Time), in a Ligue 2 2026/27 match. The game will take place at Montpellier's home ground, the Stade de la Mosson.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Montpellier Hérault Sport Club and Pau Football Club, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Montpellier vs Pau
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
Under 2.5 Goals
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Montpellier preview
Montpellier heads into the match with the following record in the Ligue 2: in 5 matches, Montpellier Hérault Sport Club secured 2 victories, 2 draws, and 1 losses, maintaining an average of 1.6 points per game.
Taking a broader look at La Paillade's 2026/27 season, the team has achieved a total of 20 victories so far.
Montpellier has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 56 goals, of which 4 were scored in the Ligue 2, resulting in an average of 0.8 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Alexandre Mendy, who has found the back of the net 12 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Nathanaël Mbuku has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 5 assists.
On the defensive side, Montpellier has conceded 4 goals in the Ligue 2 (an average of 0.8 per game) and 38 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 0.86 per match in the 2026/27 campaign.
Pau preview
Pau comes into the game with 5 matches played so far in the Ligue 2. They have secured 1 victories, 2 draws, and 2 losses, maintaining an average of 1 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2026/27 season, the team has recorded 14 wins, 11 draws, and 16 losses.
Pau Football Club's attack has been highly effective, scoring 54 goals during this period. Of that total, 4 were netted in the Ligue 2, with an average of 0.8 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.32.
The Yellow-and-Blues's offensive system is led by Taïryk Arconte, the team's top scorer this season. The french forward has found the back of the net 14 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Antonin Bobichon. The midfielder has contributed with 4 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 5 goals with an average of 1 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 68 goals in 41 matches, averaging 1.66 per match.
Head to head: Montpellier vs Pau
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Montpellier
France - Ligue 2
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L D W W D |
1.6 |
| Home | D D L W D |
1.2 |
| Away | L W W D W |
2 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 0% | 67% |
| Goals | 1.6 | 1 | 2 |
| Scored | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1 |
| Conceded | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1 |
| Both Teams to Score | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Without Conceding | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| 1st to Score | 40% | 0% | 67% |
|
xG
|
1.51 | 2.07 | 1.14 |
|
xGA
|
1.54 | 1.46 | 1.6 |
Pau
France - Ligue 2
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D D L W L |
1 |
| Home | D L L L W |
0.8 |
| Away | D W L L W |
1.4 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| Goals | 1.8 | 1.33 | 2.5 |
| Scored | 0.8 | 0.33 | 1.5 |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Both Teams to Score | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 40% | 67% | 0% |
| 1st to Score | 40% | 33% | 100% |
|
xG
|
1.43 | 1.73 | 0.98 |
|
xGA
|
1.35 | 1.06 | 1.78 |
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Sports betting analyst with over ten years of experience in football analysis, match statistics and betting markets.