The kick off for the match between Monterrey and Toluca will take place at 03:05 (UK time) - Sunday, 01/11 - at the Estadio BBVA Bancomer. This clash of the 2025/26 Liga MX looks very promising!
Before placing your bets on this match, check out the full analysis including predictions for Monterrey vs Toluca. We also highlight the most interesting odds and markets with a high chance of winning. Providing today’s best free tip to help you make informed and profitable betting decisions.
APWin predictions for Monterrey vs Toluca
With odds already released by major bookmakers, our experts have crunched the numbers and dissected the key match data. Find our value-packed prediction for this encounter below:
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals
After a thorough assessment of the primary betting markets, APWin analysts have identified bets with strong value potential.
Monterrey preview
Monterrey has played 21 matches in the Liga MX so far, with 11 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses. This results in an average of 1.76 points per match.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 11 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses. Monterrey's attack has scored 39 goals, 39 of them in the league, which gives an average of 1.86 goals per league match and 1.77 goals per match across the entire season.
Germán Berterame is the team’s top scorer with 11 goals, while Lucas Ocampos leads the team in assists with 6. Defensively, Monterrey has conceded 34 goals in the league (an average of 1.62) and 35 goals throughout the entire season (an average of 1.59 over 22 matches).
Toluca preview
In 23 Liga MX matches, Toluca has recorded 14 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, with an average of 2.04 points per game.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has 15 wins in 24 matches. The team has scored 51 goals, 50 of them in the Liga MX (an average of 2.17 goals per match), with José Paulo Bezerra Maciel Júnior being the team's top scorer with 15 goals and Ernesto Alexis Vega Rojas providing 10 assists.
Defensively, Toluca has conceded 24 goals in the league and 24 in the 2025/26 season overall, resulting in an average of 1 goals conceded per match.
Head to head: Monterrey vs Toluca
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Monterrey
Mexico - Liga MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L W L W L |
1.76 |
| Home | W W D W D |
2.4 |
| Away | L L L L D |
1.18 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 52% | 70% | 36% |
| Goals | 3.48 | 3 | 3.91 |
| Scored | 1.86 | 2.1 | 1.64 |
| Conceded | 1.62 | 0.9 | 2.27 |
| Both Teams to Score | 62% | 60% | 64% |
| Without Conceding | 29% | 40% | 18% |
| Failed To Score | 10% | 0% | 18% |
| 1st to Score | 52% | 70% | 36% |
|
xG
|
1.49 | 1.51 | 1.46 |
|
xGA
|
1.37 | 1.3 | 1.45 |
Toluca
Mexico - Liga MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W L W L D |
2.04 |
| Home | W W D W D |
2.25 |
| Away | L L W D D |
1.82 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 61% | 67% | 55% |
| Goals | 3.22 | 3.92 | 2.45 |
| Scored | 2.17 | 2.67 | 1.64 |
| Conceded | 1.04 | 1.25 | 0.82 |
| Both Teams to Score | 57% | 75% | 36% |
| Without Conceding | 30% | 25% | 36% |
| Failed To Score | 26% | 8% | 45% |
| 1st to Score | 52% | 58% | 36% |
|
xG
|
1.79 | 2.06 | 1.44 |
|
xGA
|
1.11 | 1.17 | 1.03 |
Access all match stats for Monterrey vs Toluca
Where to watch Monterrey vs Toluca live?
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