Monterrey and Toluca face each other on Thursday 12.04.2025, at 03:10 (UK Time), in a Liga MX 2025/26 match. The game will take place at Monterrey's home ground, the Estadio BBVA Bancomer.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Monterrey and Toluca, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Monterrey vs Toluca
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
Under 11.5 Corners
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Monterrey preview
Monterrey heads into the match with the following record in the Liga MX: in 19 matches, Rayados secured 10 victories, 4 draws, and 5 losses, maintaining an average of 1.79 points per game.
Taking a broader look at Monterrey's 2025/26 season, the team has achieved a total of 10 victories so far.
Monterrey has been effective in the offense, scoring a total of 36 goals, of which 36 were scored in the Liga MX, resulting in an average of 1.89 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Germán Berterame, who has found the back of the net 10 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offense. Lucas Ocampos has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 6 assists.
On the defensive side, Monterrey has conceded 31 goals in the Liga MX (an average of 1.63 per game) and 31 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.63 per match in the 2025/26 campaign.
Toluca preview
Toluca comes into the game with 19 matches played so far in the Liga MX. They have secured 12 victories, 5 draws, and 2 losses, maintaining an average of 2.16 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 12 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses.
Diablos Rojos's attack has been highly effective, scoring 45 goals during this period. Of that total, 45 were netted in the Liga MX, with an average of 2.37 goals per game. The overall season average is 2.37.
Los Auriazules's offensive system is led by José Paulo Bezerra Maciel Júnior, the team's top scorer this season. The portuguese forward has found the back of the net 13 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Ernesto Alexis Vega Rojas. The forward has contributed with 10 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 19 goals with an average of 1 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 19 goals in 19 matches, averaging 1 per match.
Head to head: Monterrey vs Toluca
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Monterrey
Mexico - Liga MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L W L D L |
1.79 |
| Home | W D W D W |
2.33 |
| Away | L L L D L |
1.3 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 53% | 67% | 40% |
| Goals | 3.53 | 3.22 | 3.8 |
| Scored | 1.89 | 2.22 | 1.6 |
| Conceded | 1.63 | 1 | 2.2 |
| Both Teams to Score | 63% | 67% | 60% |
| Without Conceding | 26% | 33% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 0% | 20% |
| 1st to Score | 53% | 67% | 40% |
|
xG
|
1.54 | 1.59 | 1.49 |
|
xGA
|
1.37 | 1.27 | 1.48 |
Toluca
Mexico - Liga MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D W W D D |
2.16 |
| Home | D W D W W |
2.1 |
| Away | W D D W W |
2.22 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 63% | 60% | 67% |
| Goals | 3.37 | 3.9 | 2.78 |
| Scored | 2.37 | 2.7 | 2 |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.2 | 0.78 |
| Both Teams to Score | 58% | 70% | 44% |
| Without Conceding | 37% | 30% | 44% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 10% | 33% |
| 1st to Score | 53% | 60% | 44% |
|
xG
|
1.82 | 2.03 | 1.51 |
|
xGA
|
1.13 | 1.19 | 1.05 |
Access all match stats for Monterrey vs Toluca
Where to watch Monterrey vs Toluca live?
Check out the live stream of Monterrey vs Toluca below and follow the match in real time.
Journalist, a football lover and sports betting expert for over 7 years. In addition to being a bet world aficionado, Amauri also practices athletics, and as all good Brazilian, does not refuse a brew.