Monterrey and Toluca face each other in an official match of the 2025/26 Liga MX season. The game takes place at Estadio BBVA Bancomer on Thursday, 04/12/2025, at 03:10 (UK Time).
Our experts have prepared predictions for Monterrey vs Toluca, based on detailed statistical review of both teams. Our goal is to assist bettors in making profitable decisions, which is why we offer the best free prediction for today.
APWin predictions for Monterrey vs Toluca
The top bookmakers have set the odds, and our team has analyzed all relevant match data. See our expert match prediction below:
Under 11.5 Corners
APWin experts have analyzed the main betting markets and selected high-value bets.
Monterrey preview
Monterrey comes into the match having played 19 games in the Liga MX so far. They have recorded 10 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with an average of 1.79 points per game in the tournament.
In the 2025/26 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 11 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses.
Monterrey's attack has scored 37 goals during this period. Out of this total, 36 goals were scored in the Liga MX, averaging 1.89 goals per match. The season's average stands at 1.85.
The offense system of Monterrey is led by Germán Berterame as the top scorer of the season. The argentinian forward has scored 10 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Lucas Ocampos, who has contributed with 6 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 31 goals with an average of 1.63 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 31 goals conceded in 20 matches, resulting in an average of 1.55.
Toluca preview
On the other hand, Toluca comes into the match having played 19 games in the Liga MX so far. They have recorded 12 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, with an average of 2.16 points per game in the tournament.
In the 2025/26 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 12 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses.
Toluca's attack has scored 45 goals during this period. Out of this total, 45 goals were scored in the Liga MX, averaging 2.37 goals per match. The season's average stands at 2.25.
The offense system of Toluca is led by José Paulo Bezerra Maciel Júnior as the top scorer of the season. The portuguese forward has scored 13 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Ernesto Alexis Vega Rojas, who has contributed with 10 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 19 goals with an average of 1 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 20 goals conceded in 20 matches, resulting in an average of 1.
Head to head: Monterrey vs Toluca
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Monterrey
Mexico - Liga MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L W L D L |
1.79 |
| Home | W D W D W |
2.33 |
| Away | L L L D L |
1.3 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 53% | 67% | 40% |
| Goals | 3.53 | 3.22 | 3.8 |
| Scored | 1.89 | 2.22 | 1.6 |
| Conceded | 1.63 | 1 | 2.2 |
| Both Teams to Score | 63% | 67% | 60% |
| Without Conceding | 26% | 33% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 0% | 20% |
| 1st to Score | 53% | 67% | 40% |
|
xG
|
1.54 | 1.59 | 1.49 |
|
xGA
|
1.37 | 1.27 | 1.48 |
Toluca
Mexico - Liga MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D W W D D |
2.16 |
| Home | D W D W W |
2.1 |
| Away | W D D W W |
2.22 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 63% | 60% | 67% |
| Goals | 3.37 | 3.9 | 2.78 |
| Scored | 2.37 | 2.7 | 2 |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.2 | 0.78 |
| Both Teams to Score | 58% | 70% | 44% |
| Without Conceding | 37% | 30% | 44% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 10% | 33% |
| 1st to Score | 53% | 60% | 44% |
|
xG
|
1.82 | 2.03 | 1.51 |
|
xGA
|
1.13 | 1.19 | 1.05 |
Access all match stats for Monterrey vs Toluca
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