Moldova and Italy face each other on Thursday 11.13.2025, at 20:45 (UK Time), in a World Cup Qualifiers Europe 2026 match. The game will take place at Moldova's home ground, the Stadionul Zimbru.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Moldova and Italy, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Moldova vs Italy
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
Over 3.5 Goals
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Moldova preview
Moldova heads into the match with the following record in the World Cup Qualifiers Europe: in 6 matches, Moldova secured 0 victories, 1 draws, and 5 losses, maintaining an average of 0.17 points per game.
Taking a broader look at Moldova's 2026 season, the team has achieved a total of 0 victories so far.
Moldova has been effective in the offense, scoring a total of 4 goals, of which 4 were scored in the World Cup Qualifiers Europe, resulting in an average of 0.67 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Mihail Caimacov, who has found the back of the net 1 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offense. Virgiliu Postolachi has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 1 assists.
On the defensive side, Moldova has conceded 26 goals in the World Cup Qualifiers Europe (an average of 4.33 per game) and 26 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 4.33 per match in the 2026 campaign.
Italy preview
Italy comes into the game with 6 matches played so far in the World Cup Qualifiers Europe. They have secured 5 victories, 0 draws, and 1 losses, maintaining an average of 2.5 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2026 season, the team has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses.
Italy's attack has been highly effective, scoring 18 goals during this period. Of that total, 18 were netted in the World Cup Qualifiers Europe, with an average of 3 goals per game. The overall season average is 3.
Italy's offensive system is led by Mateo Retegui, the team's top scorer this season. The argentinian forward has found the back of the net 5 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Mateo Retegui. The forward has contributed with 4 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 8 goals with an average of 1.33 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 8 goals in 6 matches, averaging 1.33 per match.
Head to head: Moldova vs Italy
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Home Team
Moldova
International - WC Qualification Europe
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D L L L L |
0.17 |
| Home | L L L |
0 |
| Away | D L L |
0.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 5 | 4.67 | 5.33 |
| Scored | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| Conceded | 4.33 | 4 | 4.67 |
| Both Teams to Score | 50% | 33% | 67% |
| Without Conceding | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 50% | 67% | 33% |
| 1st to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.31 | 1.42 | 1.2 |
|
xGA
|
2.41 | 2.01 | 2.82 |
Away Team
Italy
International - WC Qualification Europe
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W W W W W |
2.5 |
| Home | W W W |
3 |
| Away | W W L |
2 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 83% | 100% | 67% |
| Goals | 4.33 | 3.33 | 5.33 |
| Scored | 3 | 3.33 | 2.67 |
| Conceded | 1.33 | 0 | 2.67 |
| Both Teams to Score | 33% | 0% | 67% |
| Without Conceding | 50% | 100% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 0% | 33% |
| 1st to Score | 0% | 100% | 33% |
|
xG
|
2.32 | 2.87 | 1.76 |
|
xGA
|
0.98 | 1.07 | 0.9 |
Access all match stats for Moldova vs Italy
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