Mazatlán vs Toluca | Prediction | Liga MX | 23/04

Mexico - Liga MX

4 - 3

22 Apr 2026 21:00

Mazatlán and Toluca face each other in an official match of the 2025/26 Liga MX season. The game takes place at Estadio El Encanto (El Kraken) on Thursday, 23/04/2026, at 02:00 (UK Time).

Our experts have prepared predictions for Mazatlán Fútbol Club vs Deportivo Toluca Fútbol Club S.A. de C.V., based on a detailed statistical review of both teams. Our goal is to assist bettors in making profitable decisions, which is why we offer the best free prediction for today.

APWin predictions for Mazatlán vs Toluca

The top bookmakers have set the odds, and our team has analysed all relevant match data. See our expert match prediction below:

Toluca Win

Market: Toluca Win · @ 1.62

1.62

Last updated: 18-04-2026

APWin experts have analysed the main betting markets and selected high-value bets.

Our prediction is: Toluca to win the 1st half

Toluca will travel looking for a win against Mazatlán. Even as the away side, expect Toluca to be the primary aggressor in this match.

With Mazatlán hardly in the best of form of late, Toluca has the perfect opportunity to capture a half-time lead on their way to a win. So our betting tip is for Toluca to win the first half.

Our prediction is: under 9.5 corners

After scanning the different markets for Mazatlán vs Toluca, we find that under 9.5 corners is the most eye-catching bet based on the playing profile of the two sides.

We don't foresee much free-flowing attacking football from the two teams, which will greatly reduce the chances of them winning the 10 total corners required to sink this bet.

The Gunners preview

Mazatlán comes into the match having played 32 games in the Liga MX so far. They have recorded 5 wins, 11 draws, and 16 losses, with an average of 0.81 points per game in the tournament.

In the 2025/26 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 5 wins, 11 draws, and 16 losses.

Mazatlán's attack has scored 37 goals during this period. Out of this total, 37 goals were scored in the Liga MX, averaging 1.16 goals per match. The season's average stands at 1.16.

The offence system of Mazatlán is led by Facundo Ezequiel Almada as the top scorer of the season. The argentinian defender has scored 6 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Mauro Alberto Laínez Leyva, who has contributed with 3 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 58 goals with an average of 1.81 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 58 goals conceded in 32 matches, resulting in an average of 1.81.

The Red Devils preview

On the other hand, Toluca comes into the match having played 38 games in the Liga MX so far. They have recorded 21 wins, 11 draws, and 6 losses, with an average of 1.95 points per game in the tournament.

In the 2025/26 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 21 wins, 11 draws, and 6 losses.

Toluca's attack has scored 71 goals during this period. Out of this total, 71 goals were scored in the Liga MX, averaging 1.87 goals per match. The season's average stands at 1.87.

The offence system of Toluca is led by José Paulo Bezerra Maciel Júnior as the top scorer of the season. The portuguese forward has scored 21 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Ernesto Alexis Vega Rojas, who has contributed with 10 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 35 goals with an average of 0.92 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 35 goals conceded in 38 matches, resulting in an average of 0.92.

Head to head: Mazatlán vs Toluca

Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.

Mazatlán

Home

DLLDL
VS

Toluca

Away

LDLDD

Points & Results

  • 0.81
    PPG
    1.95
  • 16%
    Wins
    55%
  • 31%
    First to Score
    50%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.16
    Scored/game
    1.87
  • 1.81
    Conceded/game
    0.92
  • 1.15
    xG
    1.83
  • 1.85
    xGA
    1.10

Trends

  • 75%
    Both Score
    55%
  • 6%
    Clean Sheet
    34%
  • 22%
    Failed to Score
    24%

Access all match stats for Mazatlán vs Toluca

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Published: 23 Apr 2026
Updated: 20 Oct 2026