Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction

Germany - Bundesliga

v.s

10 Oct 2026 09:30

BTTS - Yes

Market: BTTS - Yes · @ 1.30

1.30

Confidence

72%

Last updated: 06-10-2026

Mainz 05 Form and Insights

Mainz 05 hosts Bayer Leverkusen at the MEWA ARENA (Stadion am Europakreisel) for this Bundesliga fixture. The match will kick off at 14:30 (UK Time) on 10/10/2026.

Their performance in the Bundesliga so far:

  • 2 Wins

  • 1 Draws

  • 1 Losses

Offensive and defensive statistics:

  • 10 goals scored

  • 2.5 average goals per match

  • 6 goals conceded

  • 1.5 average goals conceded per match

The Factory Squad Form and Insights

Bayer Leverkusen has played 4 matches in the Bundesliga so far this season.

Here’s how the team comes into their match with Mainz 05:

  • 2 Wins

  • 1 Draws

  • 1 Losses

Goals scored and conceded:

  • 10 goals scored

  • 2.5 average goals per match

  • 5 goals conceded

  • 1.25 average goals conceded per match

Head-to-Head Statistics

We have seen the match between Mainz 05 and Bayer Leverkusen on the match calendar 36 times across all competitions in the last couple of years.

  • 1. Fußball- und Sportverein Mainz 05 e. V. win - 21

  • Bayer Leverkusen win - 29

  • Draw - 7

Mainz 05

Home

WLWDW
VS

Bayer Leverkusen

Away

WWDWL

Points & Results

  • 1.75
    PPG
    1.75
  • 50%
    Wins
    50%
  • 25%
    First to Score
    75%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 2.50
    Scored/game
    2.50
  • 1.50
    Conceded/game
    1.25
  • 1.99
    xG
    2.30
  • 1.26
    xGA
    1.06

Trends

  • 50%
    Both Score
    50%
  • 50%
    Clean Sheet
    50%
  • 25%
    Failed to Score
    0%

Access all match stats for Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen

The last match was played on 28/02/2026 in the Bundesliga and ended in a 1–1 draw.

In the table below, you can find the head-to-head results of the last few meetings.

[match-teams-h2h-widget home_id=34 away_id=40 date_unix=1791639000 title="Head-to-Head Results" title_tag="div" league_id=2]

Players to Watch

APWin’s team of experts has compiled a list of insights to help you place informed bets on player props and goal-scoring markets.

The Nullfünfer Top Players

  • Nadiem Amiri has scored 11 goals so far this season.

  • Benedict Hollerbach has given 3 assists this season.

The Factory Squad Top Players

  • Patrik Schick has scored 16 goals so far this season.

  • Álex Grimaldo has given 8 assists this season.

Betting Insights for Cards and Corners

If you prefer betting on over/under markets for corners and cards, you can use the section below to find the statistics for this Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen match.

Mainz 05 Cards and Corners

  • 2.25 average cards per match

  • 0.5 average cards when playing at home

  • 10.25 average corners per match

  • 11 average corners when playing at home

Bayer Leverkusen Cards and Corners

  • 1.75 average cards per match

  • 1.5 average cards when playing away

  • 12.5 average corners per match

  • 11.5 average corners when playing away

Match Details

  • Match date: 10/10/2026

  • Kick-off time: 14:30

  • Competition: Bundesliga

  • Game week: 5

  • Stadium: MEWA ARENA (Stadion am Europakreisel)

How APWin Makes Its Predictions

Our football predictions are written using a structured analysis of factors that impact match outcomes. We combine long-term performance with the latest team news and real-time market signals to write our predictions.

Here's what we take into account:

  • Historical match data

  • Home and away performance trends

  • Recent form, squad news, and team dynamics

  • Betting market odds and line movement analysis

BTTS - Yes

Market: BTTS - Yes · @ 1.30

1.30

Confidence

72%

Last updated: 06-10-2026

Likely Scores

#ScoreProbability%
11 - 1
0.12%
21 - 2
0.09%
32 - 1
0.08%
42 - 2
0.07%
50 - 1
0.06%
60 - 2
0.06%
71 - 0
0.05%
80 - 0
0.05%
92 - 0
0.05%
101 - 3
0.05%
113 - 1
0.04%
122 - 3
0.04%
Published: 8 Oct 2026Updated: 8 Oct 2026
Amauri Barbosa

Amauri Barbosa

Content Manager

222

Articles

Sports betting analyst with over 15 years of experience. At APWin, he writes football predictions, reviews bookmakers and explains the reasoning behind every bet.