Lexington vs North Carolina FC | Prediction | USL Championship | 05/09
USA - USL Championship
Lexington and North Carolina FC face each other on Friday 09.05.2025, at 23:00 (UK Time), in a USL Championship 2025 match. The game will take place at Lexington's home ground, the .
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Lexington and North Carolina FC, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Lexington vs North Carolina FC
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Our prediction is: Over 2.5 goals in the match
Expect a good number of goals in this match.
We predict the total to reach over 2.5 goals after closely examining the numbers of Lexington and North Carolina FC, who are among the better attacking sides in the league.
Our prediction is: Lexington to win
Lexington vs North Carolina FC has all the makings of a competitive battle between two sides that are both eyeing an important win. But we are ever so slightly leaning toward Lexington to win on the 1X2 market.
Lexington will enjoy home advantage, which they have capitalised on with their strong form at home. They remain good value to win with their odds, and we expect them to pay out those odds with all three points at home.
Lexington preview
Lexington heads into the match with the following record in the USL Championship: in 22 matches, Lexington secured 7 victories, 7 draws, and 8 losses, maintaining an average of 1.27 points per game.
Taking a broader look at Lexington's 2025 season, the team has achieved a total of 7 victories so far.
Lexington has been effective in the offense, scoring a total of 23 goals, of which 23 were scored in the USL Championship, resulting in an average of 1.05 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Cory Burke, who has found the back of the net 4 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offense. Joseph Hafferty has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 2 assists.
On the defensive side, Lexington has conceded 28 goals in the USL Championship (an average of 1.27 per game) and 28 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.27 per match in the 2025 campaign.
- 25/10/2026Phoenix RisingLexingtonD3325/10/2026USL ChampionshipPhoenix Rising
v.s
Lexington3 - 3D - 18/10/2026Las Vegas LightsLexingtonW3518/10/2026USL ChampionshipLas Vegas Lights
v.s
Lexington3 - 5W - 09/10/2026LexingtonTulsa RoughnecksD0009/10/2026USL ChampionshipLexington
v.s
Tulsa Roughnecks0 - 0D - 03/10/2026LexingtonEl Paso LocomotiveW3103/10/2026USL ChampionshipLexington
v.s
El Paso Locomotive3 - 1W - 27/09/2026Monterey BayLexingtonW2327/09/2026USL ChampionshipMonterey Bay
v.s
Lexington2 - 3W
North Carolina FC preview
North Carolina FC comes into the game with 21 matches played so far in the USL Championship. They have secured 10 victories, 3 draws, and 8 losses, maintaining an average of 1.57 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2025 season, the team has recorded 10 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses.
North Carolina FC's attack has been highly effective, scoring 33 goals during this period. Of that total, 33 were netted in the USL Championship, with an average of 1.57 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.57.
North Carolina FC's offensive system is led by Evan Conway, the team's top scorer this season. The american forward has found the back of the net 6 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Michael Maldonado. The midfielder has contributed with 8 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 30 goals with an average of 1.43 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 30 goals in 21 matches, averaging 1.43 per match.
- 09/11/2025North Carolina FCRhode IslandL0209/11/2025USL ChampionshipNorth Carolina FC
v.s
Rhode Island0 - 2L - 01/11/2025North Carolina FCLoudoun UnitedW1001/11/2025USL ChampionshipNorth Carolina FC
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Loudoun United1 - 0W - 25/10/2025Loudoun UnitedNorth Carolina FCW0125/10/2025USL ChampionshipLoudoun United
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North Carolina FC0 - 1W - 10/10/2025North Carolina FCPhoenix RisingL0210/10/2025USL ChampionshipNorth Carolina FC
v.s
Phoenix Rising0 - 2L - 04/10/2025Detroit City FCNorth Carolina FCL2004/10/2025USL ChampionshipDetroit City FC
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North Carolina FC2 - 0L
Head to head: Lexington vs North Carolina FC
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Lexington
Home
North Carolina FC
Away
Points & Results
- PPG1.271.57
- 32%Wins48%
- 41%First to Score62%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game1.051.57
- Conceded/game1.271.43
- xG1.231.23
- xGA1.171.34
Trends
- 55%Both Score71%
- 32%Clean Sheet19%
- 27%Failed to Score10%
Access all match stats for Lexington vs North Carolina FC
Where to watch Lexington vs North Carolina FC live?
Check out the live stream of Lexington vs North Carolina FC below and follow the match in real time.