Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara and Tapatío face each other in an official match of the 2024/25 Ascenso MX season. The game takes place at Estadio Jalisco (Guadalajara) on Sunday, 08/06/2025, at 02:00 (UK Time).

Our experts have prepared prediction for Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs Tapatío, based on in-depth study and analysis of both teams' probabilities. Our goal is to assist bettors in making profitable decisions, which is why we offer the best free predictions for today. Find more Ascenso MX predictions by clicking the link.

Check out our predictions below:

APWin's prediction for Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs Tapatío

More predictions for Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs Tapatío

Discover betting tips and predictions that could be profitable for this match.

👉 Our prediction is: Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara win or draw

The home team is usually a safe bet in the Double Chance market, and that is no different in the upcoming match. Our top tip is to bet a Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara win or draw against Tapatío.

Our analysis of Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara points to them being the superior side, which is why they have a strong chance to win the match outright. And with the added benefit of needing only a draw at home against Tapatío, their chances of cashing in the 1X Double Chance bet grow even stronger.

👉 Our prediction is: Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara to win

Our big betting tip for this match is a Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara home win. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara may not be in the best of form, but we believe they have the quality to pull off a big win against Tapatío.

Moreover, home support has consistently given Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara a big boost, and the crowd should be cheering and full of energy throughout this massive match.

How Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara arrives for the match

Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara comes into the match having played 39 games in the Ascenso MX so far. They have recorded 21 wins, 9 draws, and 9 losses, with an average of 1.85 points per game in the tournament.

In the 2024/25 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 21 wins, 9 draws, and 9 losses.

Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara's attack has scored 70 goals during this period. Out of this total, 70 goals were scored in the Ascenso MX, averaging 1.79 goals per match. The season's average stands at 1.79.

The offense system of Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is led by Jesús Alberto Ocejo Zazueta as the top scorer of the season. The Mexican Midfielder has scored 25 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Felipe López Gutiérrez, who has contributed with 0 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 48 goals with an average of 1.23 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 48 goals conceded in 39 matches, resulting in an average of 1.23.

How Tapatío arrives for the match

On the other hand, Tapatío comes into the match having played 35 games in the Ascenso MX so far. They have recorded 17 wins, 10 draws, and 8 losses, with an average of 1.74 points per game in the tournament.

In the 2024/25 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 17 wins, 10 draws, and 8 losses.

Tapatío's attack has scored 62 goals during this period. Out of this total, 62 goals were scored in the Ascenso MX, averaging 1.77 goals per match. The season's average stands at 1.77.

The offense system of Tapatío is led by Teun Wilke as the top scorer of the season. The Mexican Forward has scored 10 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Eduardo García Mendoza, who has contributed with 0 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 41 goals with an average of 1.17 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 41 goals conceded in 35 matches, resulting in an average of 1.17.

Both Teams in the Standings

To provide context on how both teams are coming into this match, we present here the current campaigns of the two clubs at this moment.

# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts PPG
1
Leones Negros Team Logo

Leones Negros

14 9 2 3 31 18 +13 29 2.07
3
Tapatío Team Logo

Tapatío

14 8 5 1 32 14 +18 29 2.07
5
Leones Negros Team Logo

Leones Negros

14 8 4 2 23 15 +8 28 2.00
16
Tapatío Team Logo

Tapatío

14 6 1 7 18 18 0 19 1.36
View more standings Hide

Data and Statistics for Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs Tapatío

Check out the summary of team statistics with various relevant information to support your football prediction.

Home Team

Leones Negros Team Logo

Leones Negros

Mexico - Ascenso MX

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall L W L W L

1.85

Home W W W W L

2.42

Away L L L L W

1.3

Away Team

Tapatío Team Logo

Tapatío

Mexico - Ascenso MX

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall W L W W D

1.74

Home W W D W L

2.11

Away L W L L L

1.35

You can check all the statistics for Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs Tapatío below.

Leones Negros vs Tapatío stats, standings and H2H | APWin

Leones Negros vs Tapatío stats, standings and H2H | APWin

On APWin, you can also check all the statistics for the Ascenso MX.

Where to watch Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs Tapatío live?

See below where to watch the match.

You can also find all the options to watch the Ascenso MX.

Facts and Curiosities for Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs Tapatío

The bookmakers place Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara as the favorite to win the match, with a 56% chance of victory. During the analysis of this prediction, the average odds were as follows:

  • Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara - 1.77.

  • Draw - 4.57.

  • Tapatío - 5.36.

The last match between the teams took place on 01/06/2025, in the Ascenso MX, and Tapatío won the match. The final score was 1-0.

Published on 5 June 2025, at 20:33 Last updated on 19 December 2025, at 19:01
Author: Amauri Barbosa

Journalist, a football lover and sports betting expert for over 7 years. In addition to being a bet world aficionado, Amauri also practices athletics, and as all good Brazilian, does not refuse a brew.