Leones Negros and Tampico Madero face each other on Friday 11.14.2025, at 03:30 (UK Time), in a Liga de Expansão MX 2025/26 match. The game will take place at Leones Negros's home ground, the Estadio Jalisco.

Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Leones Negros and Tampico Madero, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.

APWin predictions for Leones Negros vs Tampico Madero

With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:

APWin Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.

👉 Our prediction is: Leones Negros to win

Leones Negros vs Tampico Madero has all the makings of a competitive battle between two sides that are both eyeing an important win. But we are ever so slightly leaning toward Leones Negros to win on the 1X2 market.

Leones Negros will enjoy home advantage, which they have capitalised on with their strong form at home. They remain good value to win with their odds, and we expect them to pay out those odds with all three points at home.

👉 Our prediction is: Under 2.5 goals in the match

It's hard to see too many goals in this match between Leones Negros and Tampico Madero given their lack of goalscoring ability.

That is why we project the total to go under 2.5 goals. So if 2 or fewer goals are scored, the bet wins.

Leones Negros preview

Leones Negros heads into the match with the following record in the Liga de Expansão MX: in 14 matches, Leones Negros secured 6 victories, 3 draws, and 5 losses, maintaining an average of 1.5 points per game.

Taking a broader look at Leones Negros's 2025/26 season, the team has achieved a total of 7 victories so far.

Leones Negros has been effective in the offense, scoring a total of 20 goals, of which 19 were scored in the Liga de Expansão MX, resulting in an average of 1.36 goals per game.

Individually, the standout performer is Alejandro de Jesús Bravo Santiago, who has found the back of the net 6 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offense. Édson Ulises Rivera Vargas has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 2 assists.

On the defensive side, Leones Negros has conceded 17 goals in the Liga de Expansão MX (an average of 1.21 per game) and 17 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.13 per match in the 2025/26 campaign.

Tampico Madero preview

Tampico Madero comes into the game with 6 matches played so far in the Liga de Expansão MX. They have secured 2 victories, 4 draws, and 0 losses, maintaining an average of 1.67 points per game in the competition.

Across all competitions in the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 2 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses.

Tampico Madero's attack has been highly effective, scoring 11 goals during this period. Of that total, 11 were netted in the Liga de Expansão MX, with an average of 1.83 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.57.

Tampico Madero's offensive system is led by , the team's top scorer this season. The has found the back of the net 0 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, . The has contributed with 0 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 8 goals with an average of 1.33 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 9 goals in 7 matches, averaging 1.29 per match.

Head to head: Leones Negros vs Tampico Madero

Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.

Home Team

Leones Negros Team Logo

Leones Negros

Mexico - Ascenso MX

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall W W W L L

1.8

Home W L W L D

1.4

Away W W L L D

1.4

Away Team

Jaiba Brava Team Logo

Jaiba Brava

Mexico - Ascenso MX

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall D W D W D

1.8

Home W W D W W

2.6

Away D D D W W

1.8

Access all match stats for Leones Negros vs Tampico Madero

Where to watch Leones Negros vs Tampico Madero live?

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Published on 14 November 2025, at 03:10 Last updated on 31 March 2026, at 20:04
Author: Gustavo Porto

I am a journalist with ten years of experience in sports content, SEO, and digital marketing, focused on building and optimizing products for the iGaming industry. My background includes work as a sports TV reporter, producing news stories, writing for major digital portals, and delivering live broadcasts, as well as strategic roles in SEO, growth, and community management across WhatsApp and social media platforms. Throughout my career, I have combined editorial expertise, data-driven analysis, and performance-oriented strategies to drive audience growth and engagement.