Jaiba Brava vs CA La Paz
Mexico - Liga de Expansão MX
CA La Paz are creating the better shooting profile with average 5.85 overall shots and 1.86 xG. Their season scoring average is 2.31 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.
Result Probability
The result market leans toward Jaiba Brava at 38%. The points profile supports that read: Jaiba Brava average 2 PPG and CA La Paz average 2.17 PPG in the comparable split.
- 26/04/2026, 03:00Liga de Expansão MXCA La Paz1 - 2Jaiba Brava26/04/2026, 03:00Liga de Expansão MXCA La Paz
1 - 2
Jaiba Brava - 23/04/2026, 03:00Liga de Expansão MXJaiba Brava2 - 0CA La Paz23/04/2026, 03:00Liga de Expansão MXJaiba Brava
2 - 0
CA La Paz - 28/03/2026, 03:00Liga de Expansão MXCA La Paz1 - 1Jaiba Brava28/03/2026, 03:00Liga de Expansão MXCA La Paz
1 - 1
Jaiba Brava - 19/10/2025, 01:00Liga de Expansão MXJaiba Brava3 - 2CA La Paz19/10/2025, 01:00Liga de Expansão MXJaiba Brava
3 - 2
CA La Paz - 23/02/2025, 03:05Liga de Expansão MXJaiba Brava2 - 0CA La Paz23/02/2025, 03:05Liga de Expansão MXJaiba Brava
2 - 0
CA La Paz
Key Statistics
Avg. Goals
Average
3.12League 3.26
Over 2.5 Goals
Average
66%League 64%
Both Teams Score
Average
58%League 60%
Cards
Average
6.07League 6.13
Corners
Average
10.17League 9.98
Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Jaiba Brava average 10.5 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 9.98, which points to sustained attacking territory.
Over / Under
0.5
1+ gol
OVER95%UNDER5%1.5
2+ gol
OVER90%UNDER10%2.5
3+ gol
OVER70%UNDER30%3.5
4+ gol
OVER45%UNDER55%
The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 95% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.
Team Performance
Jaiba Brava
Home
CA La Paz
Away
Points & Results
- 1.15PPG1.85
- 31%Wins54%
- 38%First to Score54%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game1.082.31
- Conceded/game1.541.31
- xG1.281.86
- xGA1.601.49
Trends
- 46%Both Score69%
- 23%Clean Sheet23%
- 18/10/2026, 01:00Liga de Expansão MXMorelia1 - 2WJaiba Brava18/10/2026, 01:00Liga de Expansão MXMorelia
1 - 2
Jaiba BravaW - 11/10/2026, 01:00Liga de Expansão MXJaiba Brava0 - 0DDurango11/10/2026, 01:00Liga de Expansão MXJaiba Brava
0 - 0
DurangoD - 03/10/2026, 01:00Liga de Expansão MXTepatitlán3 - 1LJaiba Brava03/10/2026, 01:00Liga de Expansão MXTepatitlán
3 - 1
Jaiba BravaL - 26/09/2026, 01:00Liga de Expansão MXCorrecaminos UAT1 - 0LJaiba Brava26/09/2026, 01:00Liga de Expansão MXCorrecaminos UAT
1 - 0
Jaiba BravaL - 20/09/2026, 01:00Liga de Expansão MXJaiba Brava1 - 1DDorados20/09/2026, 01:00Liga de Expansão MXJaiba Brava
1 - 1
DoradosD - 12/09/2026, 22:00Liga de Expansão MXTlaxcala3 - 1LJaiba Brava12/09/2026, 22:00Liga de Expansão MXTlaxcala
3 - 1
Jaiba BravaL - 06/09/2026, 01:00Liga de Expansão MXJaiba Brava4 - 3WVenados06/09/2026, 01:00Liga de Expansão MXJaiba Brava
4 - 3
VenadosW
Jaiba Brava scored in 5/7 recent form matches and averaged 1.29 goals.
- 17/10/2026, 03:00Liga de Expansão MXCA La Paz2 - 2DTlaxcala17/10/2026, 03:00Liga de Expansão MXCA La Paz
2 - 2
TlaxcalaD - 09/10/2026, 23:00Liga de Expansão MXTapatío2 - 4WCA La Paz09/10/2026, 23:00Liga de Expansão MXTapatío
2 - 4
CA La PazW - 03/10/2026, 03:00Liga de Expansão MXCA La Paz1 - 2LVenados03/10/2026, 03:00Liga de Expansão MXCA La Paz
1 - 2
VenadosL - 25/09/2026, 01:00Liga de Expansão MXAtlético Zacatepec1 - 3WCA La Paz25/09/2026, 01:00Liga de Expansão MXAtlético Zacatepec
1 - 3
CA La PazW - 19/09/2026, 03:00Liga de Expansão MXCA La Paz3 - 1WCorrecaminos UAT19/09/2026, 03:00Liga de Expansão MXCA La Paz
3 - 1
Correcaminos UATW - 13/09/2026, 18:00Liga de Expansão MXLeones Negros2 - 2DCA La Paz13/09/2026, 18:00Liga de Expansão MXLeones Negros
2 - 2
CA La PazD - 05/09/2026, 03:00Liga de Expansão MXCA La Paz3 - 0WMineros de Zacatecas05/09/2026, 03:00Liga de Expansão MXCA La Paz
3 - 0
Mineros de ZacatecasW
CA La Paz scored in 7/7 recent form matches and averaged 2.57 goals.
CA La Paz is +114% better in terms of Scored/game
CA La Paz is +18% better in terms of Conceded/game
CA La Paz is +45% better in terms of xG
CA La Paz is +7% better in terms of xGA
CA La Paz is +37% better in terms of First-Half Form
CA La Paz is +24% better in terms of Offsides
CA La Paz is +6% better in terms of Corners
Jaiba Brava is +8% better in terms of Cards
CA La Paz is +73% better in terms of Shots on Target
Starting
Jaiba Brava
Coach: Marco Antonio Ruiz García
CA La Paz
Substitutes
Jaiba Brava
| # | Form | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CA La Paz | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 30 | 17 | +13 | 24 | |
| 2 | Leones Negros | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 29 | 19 | +10 | 24 | |
| 3 | Morelia | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 15 | +8 | 23 | |
| 4 | Cancún | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 18 | +8 | 22 | |
| 5 | Piratas | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 14 | +7 | 21 | |
| 6 | Durango | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 11 | +5 | 21 | |
| 7 | Venados | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 23 | +5 | 21 | |
| 8 | Atlético Zacatepec | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 19 | |
| 9 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 23 | +3 | 18 | |
| 10 | Tapatío | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 | |
| 11 | Correcaminos UAT | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 16 | |
| 12 | Dorados | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 16 | |
| 13 | Tlaxcala | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 16 | |
| 14 | Jaiba Brava | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 | |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 14 | |
| 16 | Tepatitlán | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 41 | -31 | 7 |
Jaiba Brava vs CA La Paz: Statistics and Analysis - Liga de Expansão MX 2026/2027
On this page you can check all the key statistics for Jaiba Brava vs CA La Paz - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.
This Liga de Expansão MX match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 01:00.
The venue is Estadio Tamaulipas.
The fixture is part of game week 14th of the Liga de Expansão MX season. Jaiba Brava currently sits in position 14th of the Liga de Expansão MX table. CA La Paz occupies position 1st.
Stat Probabilities for Jaiba Brava vs CA La Paz
Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:
Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Jaiba Brava vs CA La Paz at 58%.
Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Jaiba Brava and CA La Paz point to a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.
Over 4.5 cards: Jaiba Brava's matches have produced 5 or more total cards 92% of the time.
CA La Paz over 1.5 goals scored: the numbers give CA La Paz a 100% chance of scoring 2 or more goals.
Over 4.5 cards: CA La Paz's matches have produced 5 or more total cards 92% of the time.
Cards for CA La Paz's opponents: CA La Paz's opponents have received 3 or more cards in 85% of their matches.
For our tips built on these numbers, see the Jaiba Brava vs CA La Paz prediction page.
Who is the favorite in Jaiba Brava vs CA La Paz?
According to the latest match odds, CA La Paz is the favorite at 2.703 an implied probability of about 37.00%. The full 1X2 market has Jaiba Brava at 2.778, the draw at 4.082, and CA La Paz at 2.703.
Overall performance in the Liga de Expansão MX
Jaiba Brava's record so far reads 4W-3D-6L from 13 played a win rate of 31% at 1.15 points per game.
CA La Paz stands at 7W-3D-3L from 13 played, winning 54% of their matches at 1.85 points per game.
In their last five, Jaiba Brava has gone 1W-2D-2L, averaging 1 points per game.
CA La Paz's last five read 3W-1D-1L, at 2 points per game.
At home, Jaiba Brava has a 50% win rate (3W-3D-0L from 6 played).
On the road, CA La Paz has won 67% of their matches (4W-1D-1L from 6 played).
Goal statistics for Jaiba Brava vs CA La Paz
In attack, Jaiba Brava averages 1.08 goals scored per game in the Liga de Expansão MX (14 in total), while conceding 1.54 per game (20 in total).
CA La Paz averages 2.31 goals scored per game (30 in total) and 1.31 conceded per game (17 in total).
Jaiba Brava's top scorer this season is Eduardo Pérez Reyes, with 10 goals.
For CA La Paz, Martín Barragán Negrete leads the scoring charts with 14 goals this season.
Jaiba Brava's main creator is Edson Enrique Torres Ulloa, with 11 assists.
Martín Barragán Negrete tops the CA La Paz assist chart with 5.
More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.
Head-to-head: Jaiba Brava vs CA La Paz
Jaiba Brava and CA La Paz have met 6 times in recent years. The record:
Jaiba Brava wins: 4
Draws: 1
CA La Paz wins: 1
Frequently asked questions about Jaiba Brava vs CA La Paz
When is Jaiba Brava vs CA La Paz?
The match will be played on 25/10/2026 (Sunday) at 01:00.
What is the head-to-head record between Jaiba Brava and CA La Paz?
Across their last 6 meetings the record is 4-1-1 (Jaiba Brava wins – draws – CA La Paz wins).
What was the last match between Jaiba Brava and CA La Paz?
The two sides last met on 26/04/2026, and the result was CA La Paz 1 vs 2 Jaiba Brava. Full details: Jaiba Brava vs CA La Paz, 26/04/2026.
Who is the favorite in Jaiba Brava vs CA La Paz?
CA La Paz is the favorite at odds of 2.703, an implied probability of about 37.00%. Jaiba Brava is priced at 2.778, the draw at 4.082 and CA La Paz at 2.703.
Where can I find a Jaiba Brava vs CA La Paz prediction?
You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Jaiba Brava vs CA La Paz prediction page.
Where can I find Jaiba Brava vs CA La Paz stats?
All key statistics for Jaiba Brava vs CA La Paz are on this page, updated in real time.
Where can I watch Jaiba Brava vs CA La Paz?
Live streaming information is available on our Jaiba Brava vs CA La Paz stream page.