The kick off for the match between Leones Negros and Cancún will take place at 19:00 (UK time) - Sunday, 04/19 - at the Estadio Jalisco. This clash of the 2025/26 Liga de Expansão MX looks very promising!
Before placing your bets on this match, check out the full analysis, including predictions for Leones Negros vs Cancún. We also highlight the most interesting odds and markets with a high chance of winning. Providing today’s best free tip to help you make informed and profitable betting decisions.
APWin predictions for Leones Negros vs Cancún
With odds already released by major bookmakers, our experts have crunched the numbers and dissected the key match data. Find our value-packed prediction for this encounter below:
Double Chance: Leones Negros or Draw
After a thorough assessment of the primary betting markets, APWin analysts have identified bets with strong value potential.
Leones Negros Preview
Leones Negros has played 29 matches in the Liga de Expansão MX so far, with 9 wins, 8 draws, and 12 losses. This results in an average of 1.21 points per match.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 9 wins, 8 draws, and 12 losses. Leones Negros's attack has scored 35 goals, 35 of them in the league, which gives an average of 1.21 goals per league match and 1.21 goals per match across the entire season.
Alejandro de Jesús Bravo Santiago is the team’s top scorer with 9 goals, while Alejandro de Jesús Bravo Santiago leads the team in assists with 4. Defensively, Leones Negros has conceded 44 goals in the league (an average of 1.52) and 44 goals throughout the entire season (an average of 1.52 over 29 matches).
Cancún preview
In 29 Liga de Expansão MX matches, Cancún has recorded 15 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses, with an average of 1.83 points per game.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has 15 wins in 29 matches. The team has scored 49 goals, 49 of them in the Liga de Expansão MX (an average of 1.69 goals per match), with José Gabriel Rodríguez Novoa being the team's top scorer with 14 goals and Jorge Roberto Díaz Price providing 8 assists.
Defensively, Cancún has conceded 27 goals in the league and 27 in the 2025/26 season overall, resulting in an average of 0.93 goals conceded per match.
Head to head: Leones Negros vs Cancún
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Leones Negros
Mexico - Ascenso MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L W D L D |
1 |
| Home | W L D D D |
1.2 |
| Away | L D D L L |
0.4 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 31% | 43% | 20% |
| Goals | 2.72 | 2.5 | 2.93 |
| Scored | 1.21 | 1.5 | 0.93 |
| Conceded | 1.52 | 1 | 2 |
| Both Teams to Score | 55% | 50% | 60% |
| Without Conceding | 24% | 43% | 7% |
| Failed To Score | 28% | 21% | 33% |
| 1st to Score | 55% | 57% | 53% |
|
xG
|
1.49 | 1.74 | 1.24 |
|
xGA
|
1.76 | 1.52 | 1.99 |
Cancún
Mexico - Ascenso MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W W D D D |
1.8 |
| Home | W D D L W |
1.6 |
| Away | W D W L W |
2 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 52% | 53% | 50% |
| Goals | 2.62 | 2.73 | 2.5 |
| Scored | 1.69 | 2 | 1.36 |
| Conceded | 0.93 | 0.73 | 1.14 |
| Both Teams to Score | 55% | 53% | 57% |
| Without Conceding | 34% | 40% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 13% | 21% |
| 1st to Score | 55% | 80% | 64% |
|
xG
|
1.4 | 1.64 | 1.15 |
|
xGA
|
1.64 | 1.3 | 2 |
Access all match stats for Leones Negros vs Cancún
Where to watch Leones Negros vs Cancún live?
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I’m a journalist and content creator with over 7 years of experience in sports betting. At APWin, I live football and betting markets, and outside the screen I’m also a marathon runner always chasing performance.