Italy and Norway face each other on Sunday 11.16.2025, at 20:45 (UK Time), in a World Cup Qualifiers Europe 2026 match. The game will take place at Italy's home ground, the .
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Italy and Norway, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Italy vs Norway
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
Italy Win
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Italy preview
Italy heads into the match with the following record in the World Cup Qualifiers Europe: in 7 matches, Italy secured 6 victories, 0 draws, and 1 losses, maintaining an average of 2.57 points per game.
Taking a broader look at Italy's 2026 season, the team has achieved a total of 6 victories so far.
Italy has been effective in the offense, scoring a total of 20 goals, of which 20 were scored in the World Cup Qualifiers Europe, resulting in an average of 2.86 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Mateo Retegui, who has found the back of the net 5 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offense. Mateo Retegui has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 4 assists.
On the defensive side, Italy has conceded 8 goals in the World Cup Qualifiers Europe (an average of 1.14 per game) and 8 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.14 per match in the 2026 campaign.
Norway preview
Norway comes into the game with 7 matches played so far in the World Cup Qualifiers Europe. They have secured 7 victories, 0 draws, and 0 losses, maintaining an average of 3 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2026 season, the team has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses.
Norway's attack has been highly effective, scoring 33 goals during this period. Of that total, 33 were netted in the World Cup Qualifiers Europe, with an average of 4.71 goals per game. The overall season average is 4.71.
Norway's offensive system is led by Erling Haaland, the team's top scorer this season. The norwegian forward has found the back of the net 14 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Martin Ødegaard. The midfielder has contributed with 7 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 4 goals with an average of 0.57 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 4 goals in 7 matches, averaging 0.57 per match.
Head to head: Italy vs Norway
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Italy
International - WC Qualification Europe
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W W W W W |
2.57 |
| Home | W W W |
3 |
| Away | W W W L |
2.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 86% | 100% | 75% |
| Goals | 4 | 3.33 | 4.5 |
| Scored | 2.86 | 3.33 | 2.5 |
| Conceded | 1.14 | 0 | 2 |
| Both Teams to Score | 29% | 0% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 57% | 100% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 0% | 25% |
| 1st to Score | 71% | 100% | 50% |
|
xG
|
2.43 | 2.87 | 2.11 |
|
xGA
|
0.9 | 1.07 | 0.78 |
Norway
International - WC Qualification Europe
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W W W W W |
3 |
| Home | W W W W |
3 |
| Away | W W W |
3 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Goals | 5.29 | 6.25 | 4 |
| Scored | 4.71 | 5.75 | 3.33 |
| Conceded | 0.57 | 0.5 | 0.67 |
| Both Teams to Score | 43% | 50% | 33% |
| Without Conceding | 57% | 50% | 67% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 1st to Score | 71% | 100% | 100% |
|
xG
|
2.31 | 2.2 | 2.46 |
|
xGA
|
0.8 | 0.6 | 1.06 |
Access all match stats for Italy vs Norway
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Journalist since 2016, post-graduate during pandemic, and in love with football since child. Sporting was always part of the Gustavo's life, be practicing, watching, making the coverage, and a few years prae here, betting.