Italy and Northern Ireland face each other on Thursday 03.26.2026, at 19:45 (UK Time), in a World Cup Qualifiers Europe 2026 match. The game will take place at Italy's home ground, the Stadio Olimpico.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Seleção da Itália and Seleção da Irlanda do Norte, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Italy vs Northern Ireland
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
Italy Win
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Italy preview
Italy heads into the match with the following record in the World Cup Qualifiers Europe: in 8 matches, Seleção da Itália secured 6 victories, 0 draws, and 2 losses, maintaining an average of 2.25 points per game.
Taking a broader look at The Blues's 2026 season, the team has achieved a total of 6 victories so far.
Italy has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 21 goals, of which 21 were scored in the World Cup Qualifiers Europe, resulting in an average of 2.63 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Mateo Retegui, who has found the back of the net 5 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Mateo Retegui has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 4 assists.
On the defensive side, Italy has conceded 12 goals in the World Cup Qualifiers Europe (an average of 1.5 per game) and 12 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.5 per match in the 2026 campaign.
Northern Ireland preview
Northern Ireland comes into the game with 6 matches played so far in the World Cup Qualifiers Europe. They have secured 3 victories, 0 draws, and 3 losses, maintaining an average of 1.5 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2026 season, the team has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses.
Seleção da Irlanda do Norte's attack has been highly effective, scoring 7 goals during this period. Of that total, 7 were netted in the World Cup Qualifiers Europe, with an average of 1.17 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.17.
Green and White Army's offensive system is led by Trai Hume, the team's top scorer this season. The irish defender has found the back of the net 1 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Ethan Stuart William Galbraith. The midfielder has contributed with 1 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 6 goals with an average of 1 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 6 goals in 6 matches, averaging 1 per match.
Head to head: Italy vs Northern Ireland
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Italy
International - WC Qualification Europe
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L W W W W |
2.4 |
| Home | L W W W L |
1.8 |
| Away | W W W L D |
2 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Goals | 4.13 | 3.75 | 4.5 |
| Scored | 2.63 | 2.75 | 2.5 |
| Conceded | 1.5 | 1 | 2 |
| Both Teams to Score | 38% | 25% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 50% | 75% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 0% | 25% |
| 1st to Score | 75% | 100% | 50% |
|
xG
|
2.32 | 2.54 | 2.11 |
|
xGA
|
1 | 1.21 | 0.78 |
Northern Ireland
International - WC Qualification Europe
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W L L W L |
1.2 |
| Home | W L W W D |
2 |
| Away | L L W L L |
0.6 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 67% | 33% |
| Goals | 2.17 | 1.33 | 3 |
| Scored | 1.17 | 1 | 1.33 |
| Conceded | 1 | 0.33 | 1.67 |
| Both Teams to Score | 33% | 0% | 67% |
| Without Conceding | 33% | 67% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| 1st to Score | 75% | 67% | 33% |
|
xG
|
1.07 | 1.2 | 0.94 |
|
xGA
|
1.19 | 1.12 | 1.26 |
Access all match stats for Italy vs Northern Ireland
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Sports betting analyst with over ten years of experience in football analysis, match statistics and betting markets.