Hamburger SV and Mainz 05 face each other on Sunday 10.05.2025, at 16:30 (UK Time), in a Bundesliga 2025/26 match. The game will take place at Hamburger SV's home ground, the Volksparkstadion.

Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Hamburger SV and Mainz 05, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.

APWin predictions for Hamburger SV vs Mainz 05

With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:

APWin Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.

👉 Our prediction is: under 9.5 corners

After scanning the different markets for Hamburger SV vs Mainz 05, we find that under 9.5 corners is the most eye-catching bet based on the playing profile of the two sides.

We don't foresee much free-flowing attacking football from the two teams, which will greatly reduce the chances of them winning the 10 total corners required to sink this bet.

👉 Our prediction is: Over 2.5 goals in the match

After careful analysis of Hamburger SV and Mainz 05, we predict that the match will go over 2.5 goals. This means the two teams are likely to score 3 or more goals combined.

The two attacks have been playing quite well of late, which is why we feel this is the best bet for this upcoming match.

Hamburger SV preview

Hamburger SV heads into the match with the following record in the Bundesliga: in 5 matches, Die Rothosen secured 1 victories, 2 draws, and 2 losses, maintaining an average of 1 points per game.

Taking a broader look at Hamburger SV's 2025/26 season, the team has achieved a total of 2 victories so far.

Hamburger SV has been effective in the offense, scoring a total of 4 goals, of which 2 were scored in the Bundesliga, resulting in an average of 0.4 goals per game.

Individually, the standout performer is Ransford Königsdörffer, who has found the back of the net 1 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offense. Miro Muheim has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 1 assists.

On the defensive side, Hamburger SV has conceded 8 goals in the Bundesliga (an average of 1.6 per game) and 9 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.5 per match in the 2025/26 campaign.

Mainz 05 preview

Mainz 05 comes into the game with 5 matches played so far in the Bundesliga. They have secured 1 victories, 1 draws, and 3 losses, maintaining an average of 0.8 points per game in the competition.

Across all competitions in the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 3 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses.

Mainz's attack has been highly effective, scoring 11 goals during this period. Of that total, 5 were netted in the Bundesliga, with an average of 1 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.38.

FSV Mainz 05's offensive system is led by Nadiem Amiri, the team's top scorer this season. The german midfielder has found the back of the net 1 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Kaishu Sano. The midfielder has contributed with 1 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 6 goals with an average of 1.2 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 9 goals in 8 matches, averaging 1.13 per match.

Head to head: Hamburger SV vs Mainz 05

Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.

Home Team

Hamburger SV Team Logo

Hamburger SV

Germany - Bundesliga

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall D W L L D

1

Home W L

1.5

Away D L D

0.67

Away Team

Mainz 05 Team Logo

Mainz 05

Germany - Bundesliga

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall L W L D L

0.8

Home L L L

0

Away W D

2

Access all match stats for Hamburger SV vs Mainz 05

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