Fortaleza vs Náutico prediction

Brazil - Brazil Serie B

v.s

02 Oct 2026 20:35

1st Half Under 1.5 Goals

Market: 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals · @ 1.38

1.38

Last updated: 28-09-2026

Fortaleza and Náutico face each other on Saturday 10.03.2026, at 01:35 (UK Time), in a Brazil Serie B 2026 match. The game will take place at Fortaleza's home ground, the Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo (Arena Castelão).

Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Fortaleza Esporte Clube and Clube Náutico Capibaribe, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.

Fortaleza preview

Fortaleza heads into the match with the following record in the Brazil Serie B: in 30 matches, Fortaleza Esporte Clube secured 14 victories, 10 draws, and 6 losses, maintaining an average of 1.73 points per game.

Taking a broader look at Leão do Pici's 2026 season, the team has achieved a total of 30 victories so far.

Fortaleza has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 73 goals, of which 35 were scored in the Brazil Serie B, resulting in an average of 1.17 goals per game.

Individually, the standout performer is Maílton dos Santos de Sá, who has found the back of the net 7 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Lucas Pacheco Affini has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 2 assists.

On the defensive side, Fortaleza has conceded 26 goals in the Brazil Serie B (an average of 0.87 per game) and 49 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 0.84 per match in the 2026 campaign.

Náutico preview

Náutico comes into the game with 30 matches played so far in the Brazil Serie B. They have secured 11 victories, 8 draws, and 11 losses, maintaining an average of 1.37 points per game in the competition.

Across all competitions in the 2026 season, the team has recorded 27 wins, 9 draws, and 13 losses.

Clube Náutico Capibaribe's attack has been highly effective, scoring 87 goals during this period. Of that total, 38 were netted in the Brazil Serie B, with an average of 1.27 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.78.

Timbu's offensive system is led by Paulo Sérgio Luiz de Souza, the team's top scorer this season. The brazilian forward has found the back of the net 8 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Jean Carlos Vicente. The midfielder has contributed with 4 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 37 goals with an average of 1.23 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 49 goals in 49 matches, averaging 1 per match.

Head to head: Fortaleza vs Náutico

Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.

Fortaleza

Home

DWDWW
VS

Náutico

Away

WLDLW

Points & Results

  • 1.73
    PPG
    1.37
  • 47%
    Wins
    37%
  • 57%
    First to Score
    37%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.17
    Scored/game
    1.27
  • 0.87
    Conceded/game
    1.23
  • 1.51
    xG
    1.80
  • 1.42
    xGA
    1.42

Trends

  • 43%
    Both Score
    47%
  • 43%
    Clean Sheet
    27%
  • 27%
    Failed to Score
    33%

Access all match stats for Fortaleza vs Náutico

Where to watch Fortaleza vs Náutico live?

Check out the live stream of Fortaleza vs Náutico below and follow the match in real time.

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Fortaleza vs Náutico

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Likely Scores

#ScoreProbability%
11 - 1
0.13%
22 - 1
0.09%
31 - 0
0.08%
41 - 2
0.08%
50 - 0
0.07%
62 - 0
0.07%
70 - 1
0.07%
82 - 2
0.06%
90 - 2
0.05%
103 - 1
0.04%
113 - 0
0.04%
121 - 3
0.03%
Published: 30 Sept 2026Updated: 30 Sept 2026
Amauri Barbosa

Amauri Barbosa

Content Manager

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Sports betting analyst with over 15 years of experience. At APWin, he writes football predictions, reviews bookmakers and explains the reasoning behind every bet.