Fluminense vs Bahia | Prediction | Brazil Serie A | 30/07

Brazil - Brazil Serie A

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29 Jul 2026 20:30

Fluminense and Bahia face each other in an official match of the 2026 Brazil Serie A season. The game takes place at Estádio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã) on Thursday, 30/07/2026, at 01:30 (UK Time).

Our experts have prepared predictions for Fluminense Football Club vs Esporte Clube Bahia, based on a detailed statistical review of both teams. Our goal is to assist bettors in making profitable decisions, which is why we offer the best free prediction for today.

APWin predictions for Fluminense vs Bahia

The top bookmakers have set the odds, and our team has analysed all relevant match data. See our expert match prediction below:

BTTS - Yes

Market: BTTS - Yes · @ 1.75

1.75

Confidence

71%

Last updated: 25-07-2026

APWin experts have analysed the main betting markets and selected high-value bets.

Our prediction is: Under 2.5 goals in the match

After analysing how the bookmakers have priced this match between Fluminense and Bahia, we see the total going under 2.5 goals.

We don't expect this match to have too many scoring opportunities, so there shouldn't be more than a couple of goals scored overall.

Our prediction is: Bahia win or draw

Even though Bahia will be the away side in this matchup, we do not expect them to go down in defeat. We recommend betting on Bahia to win or draw in the Double Chance market, where a win or a draw will win the bet.

Bahia does have its share of flaws, but Fluminense has also looked quite vulnerable of late, and not even being at home might be enough for them to avoid dropping points to Bahia.

Flu preview

Fluminense comes into the match having played 20 games in the Brazil Serie A so far. They have recorded 9 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, with an average of 1.65 points per game in the tournament.

In the 2026 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 19 wins, 12 draws, and 8 losses.

Fluminense's attack has scored 53 goals during this period. Out of this total, 30 goals were scored in the Brazil Serie A, averaging 1.5 goals per match. The season's average stands at 1.36.

The offence system of Fluminense is led by John Kennedy as the top scorer of the season. The brazilian forward has scored 9 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Luciano Acosta, who has contributed with 4 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 25 goals with an average of 1.25 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 40 goals conceded in 39 matches, resulting in an average of 1.03.

Esquadrão de Aço preview

On the other hand, Bahia comes into the match having played 20 games in the Brazil Serie A so far. They have recorded 8 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, with an average of 1.55 points per game in the tournament.

In the 2026 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 18 wins, 10 draws, and 8 losses.

Bahia's attack has scored 65 goals during this period. Out of this total, 29 goals were scored in the Brazil Serie A, averaging 1.45 goals per match. The season's average stands at 1.81.

The offence system of Bahia is led by Luciano Batista da Silva Junior as the top scorer of the season. The brazilian defender has scored 7 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Éverton Ribeiro, who has contributed with 4 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 25 goals with an average of 1.25 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 44 goals conceded in 36 matches, resulting in an average of 1.22.

Head to head: Fluminense vs Bahia

Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.

Fluminense

Home

DDDWL
VS

Bahia

Away

DDWWL

Points & Results

  • 1.65
    PPG
    1.55
  • 45%
    Wins
    40%
  • 65%
    First to Score
    40%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.50
    Scored/game
    1.45
  • 1.25
    Conceded/game
    1.25
  • 1.68
    xG
    1.61
  • 1.37
    xGA
    1.48

Trends

  • 75%
    Both Score
    70%
  • 15%
    Clean Sheet
    25%
  • 10%
    Failed to Score
    5%

Access all match stats for Fluminense vs Bahia

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Published: 27 Jul 2026
Updated: 20 Oct 2026
Amauri Barbosa

Amauri Barbosa

Content Manager

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Sports betting analyst with over 15 years of experience. At APWin, he writes football predictions, reviews bookmakers and explains the reasoning behind every bet.