FC Arouca vs Tondela | Prediction | Liga Portugal | 16/05

Portugal - Liga Portugal

3 - 1

16 May 2026 13:00

FC Arouca and Tondela face each other in an official match of the 2025/26 Liga Portugal season. The game takes place at Estádio Municipal de Arouca on Saturday, 16/05/2026, at 18:00 (UK Time).

Our experts have prepared predictions for Futebol Clube de Arouca vs Clube Desportivo de Tondela, based on a detailed statistical review of both teams. Our goal is to assist bettors in making profitable decisions, which is why we offer the best free prediction for today.

APWin predictions for FC Arouca vs Tondela

The top bookmakers have set the odds, and our team has analysed all relevant match data. See our expert match prediction below:

Under 2.5 Goals

Market: Under 2.5 Goals · @ 2.02

2.02

Last updated: 12-05-2026

APWin experts have analysed the main betting markets and selected high-value bets.

Our prediction is: Both teams don't score

It's hard to overlook the part that defence will play in this match. The capable defending of both sides will be tough for opposing offences, which is why it could be a low-scoring affair.

That overwhelming defence is also a great reason to go 'no' on the Both teams to score market.

Our prediction is: Under 2.5 goals in the match

After analysing how the bookmakers have priced this match between FC Arouca and Tondela, we see the total going under 2.5 goals.

We don't expect this match to have too many scoring opportunities, so there shouldn't be more than a couple of goals scored overall.

Os Arouquenses preview

FC Arouca comes into the match having played 33 games in the Liga Portugal so far. They have recorded 11 wins, 6 draws, and 16 losses, with an average of 1.18 points per game in the tournament.

In the 2025/26 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 12 wins, 6 draws, and 17 losses.

FC Arouca's attack has scored 47 goals during this period. Out of this total, 44 goals were scored in the Liga Portugal, averaging 1.33 goals per match. The season's average stands at 1.34.

The offence system of FC Arouca is led by Alfonso Trezza as the top scorer of the season. The uruguayan forward has scored 8 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Tiago Esgaio, who has contributed with 4 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 63 goals with an average of 1.91 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 66 goals conceded in 35 matches, resulting in an average of 1.89.

The Gold-and-Greens preview

On the other hand, Tondela comes into the match having played 33 games in the Liga Portugal so far. They have recorded 6 wins, 10 draws, and 17 losses, with an average of 0.85 points per game in the tournament.

In the 2025/26 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 7 wins, 11 draws, and 17 losses.

Tondela's attack has scored 31 goals during this period. Out of this total, 26 goals were scored in the Liga Portugal, averaging 0.79 goals per match. The season's average stands at 0.89.

The offence system of Tondela is led by Pedro Henryque Pereira dos Santos as the top scorer of the season. The brazilian midfielder has scored 6 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Emmanuel Maviram, who has contributed with 2 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 52 goals with an average of 1.58 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 53 goals conceded in 35 matches, resulting in an average of 1.51.

Head to head: FC Arouca vs Tondela

Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.

FC Arouca

Home

WDLWL
VS

Tondela

Away

WWDLL

Points & Results

  • 1.18
    PPG
    0.85
  • 33%
    Wins
    18%
  • 48%
    First to Score
    33%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.33
    Scored/game
    0.79
  • 1.91
    Conceded/game
    1.58
  • 1.17
    xG
    1.17
  • 1.48
    xGA
    1.56

Trends

  • 55%
    Both Score
    33%
  • 21%
    Clean Sheet
    21%
  • 27%
    Failed to Score
    55%

Access all match stats for FC Arouca vs Tondela

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FC Arouca vs Tondela

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Published: 16 May 2026
Updated: 16 May 2026