Erzgebirge Aue and MSV Duisburg face each other on Friday 05.08.2026, at 18:00 (UK Time), in a 3. Liga 2025/26 match. The game will take place at Erzgebirge Aue's home ground, the Erzgebirgsstadion.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Erzgebirge Aue and MSV Duisburg, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Erzgebirge Aue vs MSV Duisburg
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Erzgebirge Aue preview
Erzgebirge Aue heads into the match with the following record in the 3. Liga: in 36 matches, Erzgebirge Aue secured 6 victories, 12 draws, and 18 losses, maintaining an average of 0.83 points per game.
Taking a broader look at Erzgebirge Aue's 2025/26 season, the team has achieved a total of 6 victories so far.
Erzgebirge Aue has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 47 goals, of which 47 were scored in the 3. Liga, resulting in an average of 1.31 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Julian Guttau, who has found the back of the net 8 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Eric Uhlmann has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 4 assists.
On the defensive side, Erzgebirge Aue has conceded 68 goals in the 3. Liga (an average of 1.89 per game) and 68 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.89 per match in the 2025/26 campaign.
MSV Duisburg preview
MSV Duisburg comes into the game with 36 matches played so far in the 3. Liga. They have secured 19 victories, 9 draws, and 8 losses, maintaining an average of 1.83 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 19 wins, 9 draws, and 8 losses.
MSV Duisburg's attack has been highly effective, scoring 65 goals during this period. Of that total, 65 were netted in the 3. Liga, with an average of 1.81 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.81.
MSV Duisburg's offensive system is led by Connor Noß, the team's top scorer this season. The german forward has found the back of the net 10 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Patrick Sussek. The forward has contributed with 8 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 48 goals with an average of 1.33 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 48 goals in 36 matches, averaging 1.33 per match.
Head to head: Erzgebirge Aue vs MSV Duisburg
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Erzgebirge Aue
Germany - 3. Liga
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W D D D L |
1.2 |
| Home | D D L L L |
0.4 |
| Away | W D L L L |
0.8 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 17% | 22% | 11% |
| Goals | 3.19 | 3.17 | 3.22 |
| Scored | 1.31 | 1.39 | 1.22 |
| Conceded | 1.89 | 1.78 | 2 |
| Both Teams to Score | 67% | 56% | 78% |
| Without Conceding | 19% | 28% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 33% | 17% |
| 1st to Score | 31% | 33% | 28% |
|
xG
|
1.45 | 1.55 | 1.35 |
|
xGA
|
1.71 | 1.73 | 1.7 |
MSV Duisburg
Germany - 3. Liga
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W L W W W |
2.4 |
| Home | W W W W W |
3 |
| Away | L W L L D |
0.8 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 53% | 78% | 28% |
| Goals | 3.14 | 3.17 | 3.11 |
| Scored | 1.81 | 2.17 | 1.44 |
| Conceded | 1.33 | 1 | 1.67 |
| Both Teams to Score | 67% | 83% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 28% | 17% | 39% |
| Failed To Score | 19% | 6% | 33% |
| 1st to Score | 31% | 83% | 33% |
|
xG
|
1.49 | 1.61 | 1.37 |
|
xGA
|
1.39 | 1.32 | 1.46 |
Access all match stats for Erzgebirge Aue vs MSV Duisburg
Where to watch Erzgebirge Aue vs MSV Duisburg live?
Check out the live stream of Erzgebirge Aue vs MSV Duisburg below and follow the match in real time.
Sports betting analyst with over 15 years of experience. At APWin, he writes football predictions, reviews bookmakers and explains the reasoning behind every bet.