The kick off for the match between Erzgebirge Aue and MSV Duisburg will take place at 18:00 (UK time) - Friday, 05/08 - at the Erzgebirgsstadion. This clash of the 2025/26 3. Liga looks very promising!
Before placing your bets on this match, check out the full analysis, including predictions for Erzgebirge Aue vs MSV Duisburg. We also highlight the most interesting odds and markets with a high chance of winning. Providing today’s best free tip to help you make informed and profitable betting decisions.
APWin predictions for Erzgebirge Aue vs MSV Duisburg
With odds already released by major bookmakers, our experts have crunched the numbers and dissected the key match data. Find our value-packed prediction for this encounter below:
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals
After a thorough assessment of the primary betting markets, APWin analysts have identified bets with strong value potential.
Erzgebirge Aue Preview
Erzgebirge Aue has played 36 matches in the 3. Liga so far, with 6 wins, 12 draws, and 18 losses. This results in an average of 0.83 points per match.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 6 wins, 12 draws, and 18 losses. Erzgebirge Aue's attack has scored 47 goals, 47 of them in the league, which gives an average of 1.31 goals per league match and 1.31 goals per match across the entire season.
Julian Guttau is the team’s top scorer with 8 goals, while Eric Uhlmann leads the team in assists with 4. Defensively, Erzgebirge Aue has conceded 68 goals in the league (an average of 1.89) and 68 goals throughout the entire season (an average of 1.89 over 36 matches).
MSV Duisburg preview
In 36 3. Liga matches, MSV Duisburg has recorded 19 wins, 9 draws, and 8 losses, with an average of 1.83 points per game.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has 19 wins in 36 matches. The team has scored 65 goals, 65 of them in the 3. Liga (an average of 1.81 goals per match), with Connor Noß being the team's top scorer with 10 goals and Patrick Sussek providing 8 assists.
Defensively, MSV Duisburg has conceded 48 goals in the league and 48 in the 2025/26 season overall, resulting in an average of 1.33 goals conceded per match.
Head to head: Erzgebirge Aue vs MSV Duisburg
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Erzgebirge Aue
Germany - 3. Liga
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W D D D L |
1.2 |
| Home | D D L L L |
0.4 |
| Away | W D L L L |
0.8 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 17% | 22% | 11% |
| Goals | 3.19 | 3.17 | 3.22 |
| Scored | 1.31 | 1.39 | 1.22 |
| Conceded | 1.89 | 1.78 | 2 |
| Both Teams to Score | 67% | 56% | 78% |
| Without Conceding | 19% | 28% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 33% | 17% |
| 1st to Score | 31% | 33% | 28% |
|
xG
|
1.45 | 1.55 | 1.35 |
|
xGA
|
1.71 | 1.73 | 1.7 |
MSV Duisburg
Germany - 3. Liga
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W L W W W |
2.4 |
| Home | W W W W W |
3 |
| Away | L W L L D |
0.8 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 53% | 78% | 28% |
| Goals | 3.14 | 3.17 | 3.11 |
| Scored | 1.81 | 2.17 | 1.44 |
| Conceded | 1.33 | 1 | 1.67 |
| Both Teams to Score | 67% | 83% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 28% | 17% | 39% |
| Failed To Score | 19% | 6% | 33% |
| 1st to Score | 31% | 83% | 33% |
|
xG
|
1.49 | 1.61 | 1.37 |
|
xGA
|
1.39 | 1.32 | 1.46 |
Access all match stats for Erzgebirge Aue vs MSV Duisburg
Where to watch Erzgebirge Aue vs MSV Duisburg live?
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