Ingolstadt vs MSV Duisburg
Germany - 3. Liga
MSV Duisburg are creating the better shooting profile with average 5.9 overall shots and 1.67 xG. Their season scoring average is 2.7 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.
Result Probability
The result market leans toward MSV Duisburg at 50%. The points profile supports that read: Ingolstadt average 0.8 PPG and MSV Duisburg average 2.4 PPG in the comparable split.
- 04/03/2026, 18:003. LigaIngolstadt0 - 0MSV Duisburg04/03/2026, 18:003. LigaIngolstadt
0 - 0
MSV Duisburg - 27/09/2025, 12:003. LigaMSV Duisburg2 - 1Ingolstadt27/09/2025, 12:003. LigaMSV Duisburg
2 - 1
Ingolstadt - 20/04/2024, 14:303. LigaIngolstadt2 - 0MSV Duisburg20/04/2024, 14:303. LigaIngolstadt
2 - 0
MSV Duisburg - 11/11/2023, 13:003. LigaMSV Duisburg1 - 2Ingolstadt11/11/2023, 13:003. LigaMSV Duisburg
1 - 2
Ingolstadt - 12/05/2023, 17:003. LigaIngolstadt2 - 0MSV Duisburg12/05/2023, 17:003. LigaIngolstadt
2 - 0
MSV Duisburg
Key Statistics
Avg. Goals
Above average
4.00League 3.30
Over 2.5 Goals
Well above avg
90%League 64%
Both Teams Score
Well above avg
80%League 62%
Cards
Well below avg
3.40League 5.06
Corners
Above average
11.20League 9.57
Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Ingolstadt average 10.6 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 9.57, which points to sustained attacking territory.
Over / Under
0.5
1+ gol
OVER100%UNDER0%1.5
2+ gol
OVER90%UNDER10%2.5
3+ gol
OVER75%UNDER25%3.5
4+ gol
OVER30%UNDER70%
The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 100% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.
Team Performance
Ingolstadt
Home
MSV Duisburg
Away
Points & Results
- 1.40PPG2.50
- 40%Wins80%
- 60%First to Score60%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game1.302.70
- Conceded/game1.501.20
- xG1.521.67
- xGA1.731.33
Trends
- 40%Both Score80%
- 40%Clean Sheet20%
- 17/10/2026, 12:003. LigaIngolstadt1 - 0Rot-Weiss EssenW17/10/2026, 12:003. LigaIngolstadt
1 - 0
Rot-Weiss EssenW - 14/10/2026, 17:003. LigaWaldhof Mannheim0 - 3IngolstadtW14/10/2026, 17:003. LigaWaldhof Mannheim
0 - 3
IngolstadtW - 11/10/2026, 11:303. LigaIngolstadt2 - 4Wehen WiesbadenL11/10/2026, 11:303. LigaIngolstadt
2 - 4
Wehen WiesbadenL - 19/09/2026, 12:003. LigaViktoria Köln3 - 0IngolstadtL19/09/2026, 12:003. LigaViktoria Köln
3 - 0
IngolstadtL - 16/09/2026, 17:003. LigaIngolstadt1 - 2Hoffenheim IIL16/09/2026, 17:003. LigaIngolstadt
1 - 2
Hoffenheim IIL - 12/09/2026, 12:003. LigaSaarbrucken0 - 1IngolstadtW12/09/2026, 12:003. LigaSaarbrucken
0 - 1
IngolstadtW - 04/09/2026, 17:003. LigaIngolstadt0 - 3Alemannia AachenL04/09/2026, 17:003. LigaIngolstadt
0 - 3
Alemannia AachenL
Ingolstadt scored in 5/7 recent form matches and averaged 1.14 goals.
- 18/10/2026, 14:303. LigaMSV Duisburg1 - 1Viktoria KölnD18/10/2026, 14:303. LigaMSV Duisburg
1 - 1
Viktoria KölnD - 13/10/2026, 17:003. LigaSaarbrucken2 - 4MSV DuisburgW13/10/2026, 17:003. LigaSaarbrucken
2 - 4
MSV DuisburgW - 10/10/2026, 14:303. LigaMSV Duisburg3 - 2Hoffenheim IIW10/10/2026, 14:303. LigaMSV Duisburg
3 - 2
Hoffenheim IIW - 20/09/2026, 17:303. LigaWehen Wiesbaden1 - 4MSV DuisburgW20/09/2026, 17:303. LigaWehen Wiesbaden
1 - 4
MSV DuisburgW - 15/09/2026, 17:003. LigaMSV Duisburg2 - 1HavelseW15/09/2026, 17:003. LigaMSV Duisburg
2 - 1
HavelseW - 12/09/2026, 12:003. LigaFortuna Dusseldorf2 - 1MSV DuisburgL12/09/2026, 12:003. LigaFortuna Dusseldorf
2 - 1
MSV DuisburgL - 05/09/2026, 12:003. LigaJahn Regensburg1 - 2MSV DuisburgW05/09/2026, 12:003. LigaJahn Regensburg
1 - 2
MSV DuisburgW
MSV Duisburg scored in 7/7 recent form matches and averaged 2.43 goals.
MSV Duisburg is +108% better in terms of Scored/game
MSV Duisburg is +25% better in terms of Conceded/game
MSV Duisburg is +10% better in terms of xG
MSV Duisburg is +30% better in terms of xGA
MSV Duisburg is +31% better in terms of First-Half Form
Ingolstadt is +30% better in terms of Offsides
Ingolstadt is +17% better in terms of Corners
Ingolstadt is +33% better in terms of Cards
MSV Duisburg is +37% better in terms of Shots on Target
- 47David Klein
Goalkeeper
- 6Giorgos Antzoulas
Defender
- 15Jonas Scholz
Defender
- 18Keanan Bennetts
Defender
- 19Linus Rosenlöcher
Defender
- 10Dennis Kaygin
Midfielder
- 14Max Plath
Midfielder
- 37Benjamin Kanuric
Midfielder
- 34Lukas Fröde
Midfielder
- 13Lars Lokotsch
Forward
- 28Nishan Velupillay
Forward
- Markus Ponath
Goalkeeper
- Elias Decker
Defender
- Emre Gül
Midfielder
- Jongmin Seo
Forward
- Frederik Carlsen
Midfielder
- Obed Chidindu Ugondu
Forward
- Yannick Deichmann
Defender
- Vinko Sapina
Midfielder
- Joseph Gande
Forward
| # | Form | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MSV Duisburg | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 12 | +15 | 25 | |
| 2 | Viktoria Köln | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 14 | +13 | 20 | |
| 3 | Rot-Weiss Essen | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 13 | +5 | 18 | |
| 4 | Saarbrucken | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 17 | +7 | 17 | |
| 5 | Hoffenheim II | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 15 | +5 | 16 | |
| 6 | Hansa Rostock | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 15 | |
| 7 | Alemannia Aachen | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 14 | |
| 8 | Stuttgart II | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 14 | |
| 9 | Fortuna Dusseldorf | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 14 | |
| 10 | Ingolstadt | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 14 | |
| 11 | Waldhof Mannheim | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 13 | |
| 12 | Wehen Wiesbaden | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 12 | |
| 13 | Preussen Munster | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 12 | |
| 14 | Verl | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 12 | |
| 15 | Sonnenhof Großaspach | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 12 | |
| 16 | Würzburger Kickers | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 11 | |
| 17 | Meppen | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 | |
| 18 | Jahn Regensburg | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 19 | +1 | 10 | |
| 19 | Fortuna Köln | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 | |
| 20 | Havelse | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 6 |
Ingolstadt vs MSV Duisburg: Statistics and Analysis - 3. Liga 2026/2027
On this page you can check all the key statistics for Ingolstadt vs MSV Duisburg - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.
This 3. Liga match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 13:00.
The venue is Audi-Sportpark.
The fixture is part of game week 11th of the 3. Liga season. Ingolstadt currently sits in position 10th of the 3. Liga table. MSV Duisburg occupies position 1st.
Stat Probabilities for Ingolstadt vs MSV Duisburg
Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:
Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Ingolstadt vs MSV Duisburg at 80%.
Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Ingolstadt and MSV Duisburg point to a 90% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.
For our tips built on these numbers, see the Ingolstadt vs MSV Duisburg prediction page.
Who is the favorite in Ingolstadt vs MSV Duisburg?
According to the latest match odds, MSV Duisburg is the favorite at 2.27 an implied probability of about 44.05%. The full 1X2 market has Ingolstadt at 3.29, the draw at 3.88, and MSV Duisburg at 2.27.
Overall performance in the 3. Liga
Ingolstadt's record so far reads 4W-2D-4L from 10 played a win rate of 40% at 1.4 points per game.
MSV Duisburg stands at 8W-1D-1L from 10 played, winning 80% of their matches at 2.5 points per game.
In their last five, Ingolstadt has gone 2W-0D-3L, averaging 1.2 points per game.
MSV Duisburg's last five read 4W-1D-0L, at 2.6 points per game.
At home, Ingolstadt has a 20% win rate (1W-1D-3L from 5 played).
On the road, MSV Duisburg has won 80% of their matches (4W-0D-1L from 5 played).
Goal statistics for Ingolstadt vs MSV Duisburg
In attack, Ingolstadt averages 1.3 goals scored per game in the 3. Liga (13 in total), while conceding 1.5 per game (15 in total).
MSV Duisburg averages 2.7 goals scored per game (27 in total) and 1.2 conceded per game (12 in total).
Ingolstadt's top scorer this season is Marcel Costly, with 17 goals.
For MSV Duisburg, Connor Noß leads the scoring charts with 10 goals this season.
Ingolstadt's main creator is Marcel Costly, with 11 assists.
Patrick Sussek tops the MSV Duisburg assist chart with 8.
More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.
Head-to-head: Ingolstadt vs MSV Duisburg
Ingolstadt and MSV Duisburg have met 12 times in recent years. The record:
Ingolstadt wins: 8
Draws: 3
MSV Duisburg wins: 1
Frequently asked questions about Ingolstadt vs MSV Duisburg
When is Ingolstadt vs MSV Duisburg?
The match will be played on 24/10/2026 (Saturday) at 13:00.
What is the head-to-head record between Ingolstadt and MSV Duisburg?
Across their last 12 meetings the record is 8-3-1 (Ingolstadt wins – draws – MSV Duisburg wins).
What was the last match between Ingolstadt and MSV Duisburg?
The two sides last met on 04/03/2026, and the result was Ingolstadt 0 vs 0 MSV Duisburg. Full details: Ingolstadt vs MSV Duisburg, 04/03/2026.
Who is the favorite in Ingolstadt vs MSV Duisburg?
MSV Duisburg is the favorite at odds of 2.27, an implied probability of about 44.05%. Ingolstadt is priced at 3.29, the draw at 3.88 and MSV Duisburg at 2.27.
Where can I find a Ingolstadt vs MSV Duisburg prediction?
You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Ingolstadt vs MSV Duisburg prediction page.
Where can I find Ingolstadt vs MSV Duisburg stats?
All key statistics for Ingolstadt vs MSV Duisburg are on this page, updated in real time.
Where can I watch Ingolstadt vs MSV Duisburg?
Live streaming information is available on our Ingolstadt vs MSV Duisburg stream page.