Deportivo Maldonado vs Peñarol | Prediction | Primera División | 22/08
Uruguay - Primera División
The kick off for the match between Deportivo Maldonado and Peñarol will take place at 22:30 (UK time) - Saturday, 08/22 - at the Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel (El Campus). This clash of the 2026 Primera División looks very promising!
Before placing your bets on this match, check out the full analysis, including predictions for Club Deportivo Maldonado, S.A.D. vs Club Atlético Peñarol. We also highlight the most interesting odds and markets with a high chance of winning. Providing today’s best free tip to help you make informed and profitable betting decisions.
APWin predictions for Deportivo Maldonado vs Peñarol
With odds already released by major bookmakers, our experts have crunched the numbers and dissected the key match data. Find our value-packed prediction for this encounter below:
No BTTS 1st Half
Market: No BTTS 1st Half · @ 1.15
Last updated: 18-08-2026
After a thorough assessment of the primary betting markets, APWin analysts have identified bets with strong value potential.
Our prediction is: Both teams to score
The match between Deportivo Maldonado and Peñarol has all the necessary ingredients for plenty of goals. And of course: for both sides - and that's the focus of our bet here.
Therefore, we believe that the Both Teams to Score market is the best recommendation here, as the attacks are working well and, on some occasions, the defenses have been making mistakes.
That's why we're going with BTTS.
Our prediction is: Peñarol to win
Deportivo Maldonado vs Peñarol is a tough match to call, with both teams looking so comparable in our evaluations. But despite the disadvantage of being the away side, we are picking Peñarol to win on the 1X2 market.
We find Peñarol's odds to win outright to be quite good value as the away side. Their away numbers suggest they have the ability to pull off a surprise at Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel (El Campus).
Deportivo Maldonado Preview
Deportivo Maldonado has played 24 matches in the Primera División so far, with 13 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses. This results in an average of 1.88 points per match.
In the 2026 season, the team has recorded 13 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses. Deportivo Maldonado's attack has scored 40 goals, 40 of them in the league, which gives an average of 1.67 goals per league match and 1.67 goals per match across the entire season.
Christian Alejandro Tabó Hornos is the team’s top scorer with 8 goals, while Matías Espíndola leads the team in assists with 3. Defensively, The Green-and-Red has conceded 24 goals in the league (an average of 1) and 24 goals throughout the entire season (an average of 1 over 24 matches).
- 24/10/2026Deportivo MaldonadoDanubioW2124/10/2026Primera DivisiónDeportivo Maldonado
v.s
Danubio2 - 1W - 19/10/2026NacionalDeportivo MaldonadoL3219/10/2026Primera DivisiónNacional
v.s
Deportivo Maldonado3 - 2L - 09/10/2026Deportivo MaldonadoLiverpool de MontevideoD1109/10/2026Primera DivisiónDeportivo Maldonado
v.s
Liverpool de Montevideo1 - 1D - 03/10/2026Deportivo MaldonadoCentral EspañolW3003/10/2026Primera DivisiónDeportivo Maldonado
v.s
Central Español3 - 0W - 27/09/2026Montevideo City TorqueDeportivo MaldonadoW0227/09/2026Primera DivisiónMontevideo City Torque
v.s
Deportivo Maldonado0 - 2W
Peñarol preview
In 24 Primera División matches, Peñarol has recorded 15 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with an average of 2.04 points per game.
In the 2026 season, the team has 15 wins in 30 matches. The team has scored 46 goals, 42 of them in the Primera División (an average of 1.75 goals per match), with Douglas Matías Arezo Martínez being the team's top scorer with 9 goals and Leonardo Cecilio Fernández López providing 3 assists.
Defensively, Coalmen has conceded 21 goals in the league and 29 in the 2026 season overall, resulting in an average of 0.97 goals conceded per match.
- 23/10/2026Juventud de Las PiedrasPeñarolD0023/10/2026Primera DivisiónJuventud de Las Piedras
v.s
Peñarol0 - 0D - 18/10/2026Liverpool de MontevideoPeñarolL1018/10/2026Primera DivisiónLiverpool de Montevideo
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Peñarol1 - 0L - 10/10/2026PeñarolProgresoD1110/10/2026Primera DivisiónPeñarol
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Progreso1 - 1D - 04/10/2026Racing de MontevideoPeñarolW0104/10/2026Primera DivisiónRacing de Montevideo
v.s
Peñarol0 - 1W - 30/09/2026Montevideo City TorquePeñarolD1130/09/2026Primera DivisiónMontevideo City Torque
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Peñarol1 - 1D
Head to head: Deportivo Maldonado vs Peñarol
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Deportivo Maldonado
Home
Peñarol
Away
Points & Results
- PPG1.882.04
- 54%Wins63%
- 63%First to Score58%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game1.671.75
- Conceded/game10.88
- xG1.421.75
- xGA1.241.19
Trends
- 58%Both Score54%
- 38%Clean Sheet33%
- 13%Failed to Score13%
Access all match stats for Deportivo Maldonado vs Peñarol
Where to watch The Green-and-Red vs Coalmen live?
Check out the live stream of Deportivo Maldonado vs Peñarol below and follow the match in real time.
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Deportivo Maldonado vs Peñarol
Likely Scores
| # | Score | Probability | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 - 1 | 13.39% | |
| 2 | 1 - 2 | 8.59% | |
| 3 | 0 - 1 | 8.10% | |
| 4 | 2 - 1 | 7.96% | |
| 5 | 0 - 0 | 7.82% | |
| 6 | 1 - 0 | 7.41% | |
| 7 | 0 - 2 | 6.57% | |
| 8 | 2 - 0 | 5.64% | |
| 9 | 2 - 2 | 5.61% | |
| 10 | 1 - 3 | 4.04% | |
| 11 | 3 - 1 | 3.47% | |
| 12 | 0 - 3 | 3.09% |