Cerro and Peñarol face each other on Saturday 09.19.2026, at 19:30 (UK Time), in a Primera División 2026 match. The game will take place at Cerro's home ground, the Estadio Luis Tróccoli (El Monumental de la Villa).
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Club Atlético Cerro and Club Atlético Peñarol, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Cerro vs Peñarol
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Cerro preview
Cerro heads into the match with the following record in the Primera División: in 28 matches, Club Atlético Cerro secured 9 victories, 5 draws, and 14 losses, maintaining an average of 1.14 points per game.
Taking a broader look at The Villagers's 2026 season, the team has achieved a total of 9 victories so far.
Cerro has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 22 goals, of which 22 were scored in the Primera División, resulting in an average of 0.79 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Augusto Cambón Rosas, who has found the back of the net 5 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Brahian Milton Alemán Athaydes has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 2 assists.
On the defensive side, Cerro has conceded 41 goals in the Primera División (an average of 1.46 per game) and 41 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.46 per match in the 2026 campaign.
Peñarol preview
Peñarol comes into the game with 28 matches played so far in the Primera División. They have secured 17 victories, 5 draws, and 6 losses, maintaining an average of 2 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2026 season, the team has recorded 17 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses.
Club Atlético Peñarol's attack has been highly effective, scoring 53 goals during this period. Of that total, 49 were netted in the Primera División, with an average of 1.75 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.56.
Coalmen's offensive system is led by Douglas Matías Arezo Martínez, the team's top scorer this season. The uruguayan forward has found the back of the net 11 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Cristian Jaime. The forward has contributed with 4 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 23 goals with an average of 0.82 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 31 goals in 34 matches, averaging 0.91 per match.
Head to head: Cerro vs Peñarol
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Cerro
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W W D L W |
2 |
| Home | W W W L W |
2.4 |
| Away | W D L W L |
1.4 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 32% | 46% | 20% |
| Goals | 2.25 | 1.38 | 3 |
| Scored | 0.79 | 0.77 | 0.8 |
| Conceded | 1.46 | 0.62 | 2.2 |
| Both Teams to Score | 43% | 31% | 53% |
| Without Conceding | 21% | 38% | 7% |
| Failed To Score | 36% | 31% | 40% |
| 1st to Score | 50% | 62% | 40% |
|
xG
|
1.23 | 1.24 | 1.22 |
|
xGA
|
1.59 | 1.36 | 1.79 |
Peñarol
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W W L D W |
2 |
| Home | W L W W W |
2.4 |
| Away | W D D W W |
2.2 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 61% | 56% | 67% |
| Goals | 2.57 | 3 | 2 |
| Scored | 1.75 | 1.94 | 1.5 |
| Conceded | 0.82 | 1.06 | 0.5 |
| Both Teams to Score | 50% | 69% | 25% |
| Without Conceding | 36% | 13% | 67% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 19% | 17% |
| 1st to Score | 50% | 56% | 58% |
|
xG
|
1.72 | 1.83 | 1.56 |
|
xGA
|
1.23 | 1.21 | 1.26 |
Access all match stats for Cerro vs Peñarol
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Sports betting analyst with over 15 years of experience. At APWin, he writes football predictions, reviews bookmakers and explains the reasoning behind every bet.